Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors Picks and Prediction for Saturday, December 20, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Phoenix Suns (15-12, 2nd Pacific) complete a home-and-home on the road Saturday when visiting the Golden State Warriors (13-15, 3rd Pacific), after playing the Warriors at home on Thursday night. Phoenix defeated Golden State 99-98 on Thursday, in the first of two meetings between the two in three days. Phoenix snapped a two-game losing streak with its victory, and the Suns trail first place in the Pacific Division by 4.5 games. Golden State suffered its third consecutive loss when falling to the Suns on Thursday, and trails first place in the division by seven games. Make sure to read this in-depth Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors prediction. Fast breaks, big wins! See why our NBA picks for the Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors prediction stand above the rest.
Phoenix needs more offense, but its defense is solid
The Phoenix Suns score an average of 114.2 points (22nd) per game on 46.3% (18th) shooting overall and 36.3% (13th) from 3-point territory. The Suns are 12th in free-throw shooting percentage at 79.2%. Phoenix’s defense allows an average of 113.9 (8th) per game. The Suns allow 47.6% (19th) shooting overall, 35.7% (12th) from 3-point territory.
Devin Booker leads Phoenix in scoring, averaging 25.1 points per game, and Dillon Brooks is second, averaging 21.6 points per game. Phoenix has seven players who average double figures in scoring. Phoenix pulls down an average of 42.1 rebounds per game, led by Mark Williams, averaging 8.3 boards per contest. Booker is the dish leader, averaging 6.7 assists per game, while Grayson Allen leads in steals at 1.7 per game, and Williams is the rim protector, averaging 0.9 blocked shots per game. Phoenix averages 25.5 assists and 15.3 turnovers per game, for an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.7.
Injuries: Phoenix will play without Jalen Green and Isaiah Livers, while Koby Brea and Grayson Allen are questionable.
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Golden State must improve its offense, while at defense is strong
The Golden State Warriors score an average of 113.8 points (23rd) per game on 44.9% (27th) shooting overall and 36.5% (9th) from 3-point land. Golden State is 4th in free-throw shooting percentage at 82.0%. The Warriors allow an average of 112.7 points per game, which is fifth best in the league. Golden State is holding opponents to 46.0% (8th) shooting overall and 34.2% (5th) from 3-point territory.
Stephen Curry is the leading scorer for Golden State, averaging 29.6 points per game, and Jimmy Butler III is second, averaging 19.1 points per game. Golden State has five players who average double figures in scoring. The Warriors grab an average of 43.1 rebounds per game, led by Jonathan Kuminga, averaging 6.3 boards per contest. Draymond Green is the dish leader, averaging 5.5 assists per game, and the rim protector, averaging 0.9 blocked shots per game. Butler III leads the Warriors in steals at 1.6 per game. Golden State averages 27.6 assists and 15.3 turnovers per game for an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.8.
Injuries: Golden State will play without Al Horford, while Seth Curry and Pat Spencer are questionable.
Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors Pick
Spread Pick for Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors
- Phoenix Suns (4 units)
This will be a tightly contested game from start to finish, as evidenced by the meeting between the two on Thursday in which Phoenix won by just one point. Phoenix covered the spread in that matchup as a 2-point home underdog. The Suns have covered the spread in 13 of the last 19 games overall, in seven of the last nine games played on the road, and in 10 of the last 14 games head-to-head versus Golden State. The Warriors have covered the spread in just four of the last 13 games overall, and Golden State is 1-5 ATS in its last six games played on its home court. Golden State is playing without veteran Al Horford, which takes away from the Warriors’ presence in the paint, on the boards, and in rim protection. Golden State's Stephen Curry scored 39 and 48 points in his first two games back from nearly a month-long injury, but in his third game back, which was against Phoenix on Thursday, Curry had just 15 points.
Over/Under Pick for Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors
- Under ( units)
Defense is what dictates the outcome for both of these teams, as Phoenix is 8th in points allowed at 113.9 points per game, and Golden State is 5th, allowing 112.7 points per game. In Thursday’s match-up between the two, a total of just 197 points were scored, finishing under a closing line of 231. The total has finished under in four of Golden State’s last six games and in four of Phoenix’s last five games.
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