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Phoenix Suns vs Memphis Grizzlies Pick and Prediction for Wednesday January 7 2025

By: Kim Smith Published 01/07/2026, 07:20 AM ET

The Phoenix Suns travel to the FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday, January 7, 2026.1 Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 PM EST, with local coverage provided by FanDuel Sports Network Southeast. This Western Conference clash features a Suns team looking to rebound from a narrow loss to Houston and a Grizzlies squad that just snapped a losing skid with a dramatic one-point win over the Spurs. For expert analysis and daily wagering insights on the full slate of NBA action, be sure to check out the latest free NBA picks over at Winners and Whiners.

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Phoenix Suns Seeking a Road Recovery

The Phoenix Suns enter this contest with a 21-15 record, currently sitting second in the Pacific Division. They are looking to shake off a frustrating 100-97 road loss to the Houston Rockets on Monday, a game in which they struggled to find their offensive rhythm despite a solid defensive effort. Phoenix has been one of the more consistent teams in the West this year, but they have played slightly below .500 on the road (9-10), making this stop in Memphis a crucial opportunity to improve their travel resume.

Phoenix’s offensive identity remains centered around high-efficiency scoring, averaging 115.3 points per game while shooting 47.3% as a team. They are particularly dangerous from the perimeter, where they convert 37.8% of their three-point attempts. Defensively, the Suns have been stout, holding opponents to 112.8 points per game and ranking among the league leaders in steals with 10.6 per contest. Their success often depends on their ability to control the tempo and minimize second-chance opportunities for their opponents.

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The Suns are currently managing a few key absences in their backcourt.3 Jalen Green remains out with a right hamstring strain, though he is expected to be re-evaluated later this week. Jamaree Bouyea is also sidelined as he remains in the league's concussion protocol. On a positive note, veteran Grayson Allen recently returned to the lineup and is expected to see increased minutes as he moves past a knee injury that cost him nine games.

Memphis Grizzlies Guarding the FedExForum

The Memphis Grizzlies come into Wednesday with a 16-20 record after a gritty 106-105 victory over the San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday night. Memphis has dealt with a rollercoaster season defined by significant roster turnover and a litany of injuries, but they remain a dangerous out at home. The Grizzlies thrive on a high-energy style of play, leading the league in assists per game (29.1) and ranking fourth in total rebounding, which allows them to stay competitive even when their primary scorers are sidelined.

Statistically, Memphis averages 116.0 points per game but struggles on the defensive end, surrendering 116.6 points per contest. They shoot 45.8% from the field and rely heavily on their transition game to generate easy looks. The Grizzlies' primary challenge this season has been consistency in the half-court, where their lack of a traditional interior presence—due to injuries to their rookie center—has forced them to play a much smaller, more perimeter-oriented game.

The injury report for Memphis remains crowded. Star guard Ja Morant is officially a game-time decision for Wednesday after missing Tuesday's game with a right calf contusion; his status is the most significant factor for this matchup. The Grizzlies are also without rookie center Zach Edey (ankle), as well as Brandon Clarke (calf) and John Konchar (thumb). Forward Cedric Coward is also being monitored as a game-time decision due to a left ankle sprain sustained earlier this week.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Phoenix Suns Prediction

This game presents a classic rest-versus-momentum scenario. The Suns have been resting in Memphis since Monday, while the Grizzlies are playing the second half of a back-to-back following an emotional win over San Antonio. If Ja Morant is unable to go, the Grizzlies may struggle to find enough individual shot creation to keep up with a healthy Devin Booker. Phoenix’s ability to force turnovers and get out in transition should play well against a fatigued Memphis squad that has struggled to take care of the ball this month.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Phoenix Suns ATS Pick

  • Pick: Phoenix Suns -3

The Suns are the more rested and reliable team in this spot. Memphis is just 8-9 at home and has consistently struggled against elite Western Conference offenses when their rotation is shortened by injuries. Phoenix held the Rockets to 100 points in their last outing, showing that their defense is locked in. Expect the Suns to utilize their superior wing depth and the fresh legs of their starters to pull away in the second half and cover the three-point spread.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Phoenix Suns Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 228.5

Despite the Suns' recent defensive improvements, this matchup has historically leaned toward the high side. The Grizzlies play at one of the fastest paces in the league, and their defensive metrics plumet when playing without a day of rest. Phoenix has the shooters to exploit Memphis's lack of interior rim protection, and if Morant plays, this game will likely turn into a track meet. Given that their first meeting this season produced 227 points, and both teams are currently scoring at a higher clip, the Over is the preferred play.

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