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Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks, Picks, Odds, Preview, and Prediction, Sunday, November 16, 2025

By: Liam Keating Published 11/16/2025, 12:47 AM ET
Trailblazers vs. Mavericks prediction

It’s a Western Conference matchup on Sunday, Nov. 16. Read our Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks prediction along with our other NBA Picks. The Trail Blazers are 6-6 this season. They are 3-4 when they have played on the road, while they have lost three of their last four games away from home. The Mavericks are 3-10 as they have the second-worst record in the West. Dallas has lost five straight home games. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 7:30 P.M. EST.

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Portland struggling on the road

Portland is 6-6 overall this season. The Trail Blazers are 3-4 when they have played on the road this year. They have lost three of their last four games, which have all come on the road, coming into this matchup.

In their last game, the Trail Blazers lost 140-116 to Houston on Friday, Nov. 14. Portland never held a second-half lead in the game. They shot 47% from the field and 36% from behind the arc. The Trail Blazers turned the ball over 20 times, which led to 30 points. Deni Avdija led the team with 22 points on 7-for-15 shooting. He also grabbed 10 rebounds for the double-double.

Avdija leads the team with 25.8 points per game. Donovan Clingan is grabbing a team-high 8.8 rebounds per gam,e while Jrue Holiday is dishing out 8.2 assists per game.

Portland ranks 18th in offensive efficiency. They are also the 18th-ranked defensively efficient team. Portland is also the 13th-ranked rebounding team.

Portland is averaging 120.6 points per game, which ranks 11th in the league. They are the 21st-ranked shooting team, making 45.8% from the field. The Trail Blazers are hitting 33.6% from behind the 3-point line, placing them eighth-worst.

On defense, Portland is allowing 120.8 points per game which ranks 20th in the league. They are the fifth-worst defensive team, allowing 48.7% from the field. The Trail Blazers rank 11th in 3-point defense, giving up 35.1% from deep.

Portland is 6-5-1 against the spread this season. They are 2-4-1 against the spread when they have played on the road. The Trail Blazers are 1-3-1 against the spread as a favorite. The over is 9-3 when the Trail Blazers have played this season. The over is 5-2 when Portland has played on the road.

Blake Wesley, Matisse Thybulle and Damian Lillard are all out for the game. Scoot Henderson is questionable after missing Wednesday’s game.

Dallas on a 5-game home losing streak

Dallas is 3-10 overall this season. They are in second-to-last place in the Western Conference. The Mavericks have a 2-7 home record this season. They have lost seven their last eight games. The Mavericks have also lost five straight home games.

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In their last game, Dallas lost 133-127 to the Clippers in double overtime. The Mavericks' largest lead was just six points in the game as D’Angelo Russell hit a layup to tie it in regulation. The Mavericks couldn’t continue their offensive strength in the second overtime period as the Clippers came away with the win. The Mavericks shot 44% from the field and 28% from behind the arc. Naji Marshall and Russell both finished with team-high 28 points in the loss.

Rookie Cooper Flagg leads the team with 15.2 points per game. PJ Washington is grabbing a team-high 7.6 rebounds, while Russell leads the roster with 4.8 assists per game.

Dallas is the second-worst team in offensive efficiency. They are the fifth-ranked defensively efficient team, too. The Mavericks are placed 18th in rebounding.

Dallas is averaging 109.2 points per game, which ranks fourth-worst. They are the sixth-worst shooting team, making 44.7% from the field. The Mavericks are hitting 30.1% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks second-worst.

On defense, Dallas is allowing 115.8 points per game, ranking them 12th. They are the 10th-ranked defensive team, allowing 46% from the field. The Mavericks rank seventh in 3-point defense, giving gap 34.1% from behind the arc.

Dallas is 5-8 against the spread this season. The Mavericks are 3-6 against the spread sheen they have played at home. They are 4-4 against the spread when they have played as an underdog. The under is 8-5 when the Mavericks have played this year. The under is 5-4 when Dallas has played at home. The over has hit in three straight home games.

Kyrie Irving and Dante Exum are out for the game. Anthony Davis is listed as doubtful, while PJ Washington is probable.

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Trail Blazers vs Mavericks Spread Pick

  • Portland Trail Blazers -3 (5 units) 

This will be a close game between two of the bottom feeders in the West. Portland has the purest scorer in this game, with Deni Avdija leading the charge. He will help Portland secure the home win by consistently earning offensive possessions. The Mavericks have struggled offensively with Anthony Davis and Kyrie Irving both injured and out of the lineup. The Mavericks are the second-worst efficient team in the sport and Portland should be able to play off of that, leading to easy baskets going the opposite way.

Take Portland to cover. 

Trail Blazers vs Mavericks Over/Under Pick

  • Over 229.5 (5 units)

Portland ranks 10th fastest in pace, while the Mavericks are the 15th-ranked team in pace. This should be more of an up-tempo style game with the Mavericks ranking 12th in points allowed. The Trail Blazers are also ranked 20th in points allowed. The two offenses should find ways to score points, especially with both teams susceptible to turnovers. The over has hit in three straight games for Dallas. The over is 5-2 when Portland has played on the road, too.

Take the over on Sunday. 

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