Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Wednesday March 4 2026

By: Kyle Kargel Published 03/04/2026, 10:30 AM ET
Trail Blazers vs Grizzlies prediction
Use Code WWWC

The NBA schedule brings another intriguing Western Conference matchup as Portland travels to Memphis for the third meeting between these teams in roughly a month. Bettors searching for sharp NBA picks will notice Portland laying points on the road despite Memphis showing strong competitiveness against the spread recently. With both previous matchups this season producing high scoring results and each team dealing with unique scheduling challenges, this game presents several interesting betting angles.

Quick Picks and Prediction

  • Spread Pick: Memphis +9
  • Total Pick: Over 235.5
  • Projected Final Score: Portland 120, Memphis 118

Odds and Line Movement

Opening Odds

Market Portland Memphis Total
Opening Line -6.5 (-114) +6.5 (-106) 237.5 (-110)

Current Odds

Market Portland Memphis Total
Current Line -9 (-110) +9 (-110) 235.5 (-110)

Line Movement - Spread

Date Time Portland Memphis Public ($, #)
03/04 12:28:58 AM -6.5 (-114) +6.5 (-106)
03/04 01:30:33 AM -7.5 (-106) +7.5 (-114) POR 100%, POR 100%
03/04 03:38:46 AM -7.5 (-114) +7.5 (-106) POR 100%, POR 66%
03/04 06:09:06 AM -8 (-112) +8 (-108) POR 100%, POR 66%
03/04 06:09:36 AM -8 (-114) +8 (-106) POR 100%, POR 66%
03/04 06:29:25 AM -8.5 (-114) +8.5 (-106) POR 100%, POR 66%
03/04 08:32:13 AM -9 (-110) +9 (-110) POR 100%, POR 66%

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under Public ($, #)
03/04 12:28:58 AM 237.5 (-110) 237.5 (-110)
03/04 12:29:13 AM 237.5 (-114) 237.5 (-106)
03/04 06:02:10 AM 237.5 (-108) 237.5 (-112)
03/04 09:09:15 AM 236.5 (-112) 236.5 (-108) UN 100%, UN 100%
03/04 09:48:59 AM 235.5 (-112) 235.5 (-108) UN 100%, UN 100%
03/04 10:11:53 AM 235.5 (-115) 235.5 (-105) UN 100%, UN 100%

Grizzlies

Memphis enters this matchup on the second leg of a back-to-back after competing hard against Minnesota. Even though the Grizzlies came up short, they managed playing time well as no player logged more than 28 minutes in that contest.

That decision could help Memphis remain competitive in this game despite the scheduling disadvantage. Jaylen Wells led the team in the previous game with 19 points while connecting on four three-pointers, highlighting Memphis’ ability to generate perimeter scoring.

Over the last several weeks, Memphis has also performed well against the betting market. The Grizzlies are 9-4 against the spread over their last 13 games and have covered in three straight contests entering this matchup.

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Trail Blazers

Portland arrives in Memphis as part of a multi-game road trip that began with a victory in Chicago before turning difficult in recent games. The Trail Blazers have dropped their last two contests by significant margins against Charlotte and Atlanta.

Portland did sweep the previous two meetings between these teams earlier in February, winning both games in the Pacific Northwest. The first contest resulted in a 20-point victory before the Blazers followed with a seven-point win the next night.

However, Portland’s recent form presents some concerns. Over the past several weeks, the Blazers have posted a 6-11 straight-up record and a 7-10 mark against the spread.

  • Memphis is 9-4 against the spread over its last 13 games.
  • The previous two meetings between the teams this season both went over the total.
  • Portland is 6-11 straight-up over the last five weeks.
  • Memphis has covered the spread in three straight games.

MEM and POR Key Injuries and Notes

  • Shaedon Sharpe remains out for Portland.
  • Deni Avdija and Kris Murray are both listed as questionable.
  • Avdija has missed the last four games with a back injury.
  • Santi Aldama did not play in Memphis’ last game but may return.
  • Memphis carefully managed minutes in its most recent game.

ATS and Total Picks

  • Spread: Memphis +9
  • Total: Over 235.5

Final Score Prediction

Portland has already proven it can beat Memphis this season, but the current betting line appears inflated considering the recent form of both teams. Memphis has remained competitive in recent weeks and could benefit from balanced scoring and improved defensive effort.

Projected Final Score: Memphis 120, Portland 118

How to Bet Portland vs Memphis

When betting NBA matchups like this one, evaluating recent form and scheduling situations can reveal hidden value. Memphis’ strong against-the-spread performance and Portland’s inconsistent road form suggest the underdog may offer the better betting opportunity.

Before placing a wager, reviewing available sportsbook promo codes can help maximize value. Comparing odds across the best sportsbooks also ensures bettors receive the most competitive lines.

Some bettors prefer alternative wagering platforms such as social sportsbooks. Promotional offers like the bet365 bonus code and the fliff promo code can provide additional value when betting on NBA games.

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