Raptors vs. Pacers Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 15, 2025
Use Code WWWC On Saturday, the Toronto Raptors will visit the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, and we have you ready to go with our Raptors vs. Pacers prediction, odds, and preview. Tip-off from Indianapolis, IN, is at 7:00 p.m. ET.
The Raptors are eight-point spread favorites, and the game total is 233 points scored.
This is the first matchup of the season between these Eastern Conference opponents. Toronto won two of its three games against Indiana last season. The Pacers are 6-4 (5-5 ATS) in the last ten matchups, and the over was 6-4. If you want the Raptors vs. Pacers prediction, read on to get our top NBA predictions and increase your bankroll!
Raptors have won six of their last seven
Toronto (7-5 SU, 7-5 ATS, and 6-6 O/U) beat Cleveland 126-113 on Thursday. The Raptors are led by forward Brandon Ingram, who averages 20.5 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 4.0 assists per game. They score 130.7 points per game (2nd) on 49.3 percent shooting (8th), and hold their opponents to 126.6 points per game (27th) on 46.8 percent shooting (14th).
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Toronto went 30-52 last season, finishing 11th in the Eastern Conference, missing the NBA playoffs. Injuries derailed the Raptors' season from the jump, as Scottie Barnes and Immanuel Quickley were sidelined for portions of November and December. While they were just 7-26 heading into the New Year, the Dinos were much more competitive in 2025, compiling a 22-21 record over the final 43 games. Improved defensive play was the catalyst, as Toronto went from 26th in defensive rating to 2nd after the All-Star break.
To build off their second-half improvement, the Raptors must stay healthy this season. They didn't lose or add much in free agency, drafting South Carolina forward Collin Murray-Boyles ninth overall. The 20-year-old averaged 16.8 points and 8.3 rebounds as a sophomore last season, showing off two-way athleticism. Re-signing center Jakob Poeltl (14.5 PPG and 9.6 RPG in 2024-25) was also key. Toronto built depth last season, as ten players averaged 17-plus minutes per game in 50-plus outings, and the team will benefit from the return of star forward Brandon Ingram (22.2 PPG, 5.6 RPG, and 5.2 APG), who was acquired in February but didn't suit up for the Raptors. The 28-year-old veteran will boost a formidable lineup already featuring Barnes (19.3 PPG, 7.7 RPG, and 5.8 APG), Quickley (17.1 PPG and 5.8 APG), and RJ Barrett (21.1 PPG, 6.3 RPG, and 5.4 APG).
Toronto Raptors Basketball Injury Report: PF Collin Murray-Boyles (illness) and SG Ochai Agbaji (back) are questionable to play against the Pacers.
Indiana is off to a surprisingly poor start
Indiana (1-11 SU, 5-7 ATS, and 3-9 O/U) lost 133-98 to Phoenix on Thursday. The Pacers are led by F Pascal Siakam, who averages 24.1 points, 7.4 rebounds, and 5.3 dimes per game. They score 108.5 points per game (29th) on 39.9 percent shooting (30th), and hold their opponents to 122.8 points per game (23rd) on 47.9 percent shooting (23rd).
Indiana went 50-32 last season, finishing fourth in the Eastern Conference standings. The Pacers reached the conference finals two seasons ago but made it a step further in 2024-25, falling in seven games to OKC. They completed several rousing comebacks along the way, as guard Tyrese Haliburton hit several shots that will go down in playoff history. Still, the result left a sour taste in Pacers fans' mouths, as the team finished one win away from their first NBA championship and lost Haliburton to an Achilles injury in Game 7 that will sideline him for all of 2025-26.
Hali isn't the only star the Pacers will play without this season, either. All-Star center Myles Turner signed with Milwaukee in free agency, leaving a gaping hole inside. Indy added Jay Huff and re-signed Isaiah Jackson and James Wiseman, but the career backups have big shoes to fill. While replacing Haliburton is impossible, guards Andrew Nembhard and T.J. McConnell will do a fine job picking up the slack. That said, considering that they didn't make any significant splashes in the draft or free agency, Indiana appears a step behind last season's pace.
Indiana Pacers Basketball Injury Report: SF Bennedict Mathurin (foot) and SG Aaron Nesmith (knee) are out for Saturday's game against the Raptors.
Raptors vs. Pacers Pick and Preview
Spread Pick for Raptors vs. Pacers
- Raptors -8 (4 Units)
This is a large spread, but the Pacers continue to lose ATS, even as large underdogs. They failed to cover recently as 13-point underdogs against Golden State and as nine-point dogs against Denver. While Toronto has only covered one large spread (a ten-point win as 9.5-point favorites vs Brooklyn), they have enough momentum and advantages to win comfortably on Saturday.
Indiana prefers a high-tempo approach, with Nesmith leading the push, but Toronto is the type of team that can disrupt that style of play. The Raptors are physical, strong on the interior, and slow-paced. They have a rim protector in Poetl and plenty of length on the perimeter to create problems for the Pacers' half-court offense. On the other end of the court, they'll take their time. Barrett's downhill attacking style and Barnes' playmaking ability will be on full display, and the Raptors are a much-improved three-point shooting team this season (37.9%), even with Ingram (37.4% last season) struggling so far from long range.
Over/Under Pick for Raptors vs. Pacers
- Under 233 (5 Units)
Betting Trends: The under is 6-1 in Indiana's last seven games and 9-2 in its games that didn't go to overtime this season.
Toronto will dictate the style of play on Saturday in Indianapolis, leading to a lower-scoring game. The Raptors rank 28th in average defensive possession length, grinding opponents down on that end of the court. That will be especially impactful against Indiana (10th in pace). With Mathurin (31 PPG in two games) sidelined, the Pacers are without one of their top scoring options, and for a team already missing its superstar Haliburton, that's not ideal. Indy has been tough to watch offensively recently, scoring 103 or fewer points in four of its last five games, and won't fare better tomorrow against the Raptors' solid defense.
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