Sacramento Kings vs. Denver Nuggets Picks and Prediction for Monday, November 3, 2025
Use Code WWWC Sacramento Kings (2-4) vs. Denver Nuggets (3-2)
The 2025-26 NBA season continues Monday, November 3, with the Sacramento Kings squaring off against the Denver Nuggets in the Western Conference showdown at Ball Arena in Denver, CO, and we’ve got the Kings vs. Nuggets prediction along with the latest team stats and news.
The Kings meet the Nuggets for the first time this term, as they start their three-game regular-season series. The Nuggets aim for their sixth consecutive victory over the Kings, who have only covered once in their previous five dates with Denver.
Read more about this Kings vs. Nuggets prediction, and check out all our NBA picks for Monday’s slate. The tip-off at Ball Arena is set at 9:00 PM ET.
The Kings just stunned the Bucks
The Sacramento Kings (2-4; 2-4 ATS; 4-2 O/U) snapped their three-game skid last Saturday. After losing against the Los Angeles Lakers 127-120, the Oklahoma City Thunder 107-101, and the Chicago Bulls 126-113, the Kings beat the Milwaukee Bucks 135-133 as 6.5-point road underdogs.
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Sacramento overcame an early 15-point deficit at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee. The Kings shot 51.7% from the field (10-for-28 from deep) while going 35-for-40 from the foul line. Zach LaVine led the way with 31 points, DeMar DeRozan had 29 points, and Domantas Sabonis posted a line of 24 points, 13 rebounds, and six assists.
The Kings score 114.2 points per 100 possessions (22nd in the NBA) and allow 118.7 points in return (24th). Their defense has struggled a lot thus far, and the Kings are 28th in the league in opposing 2-point percentage (59.1%). Sacramento misses Keegan Murray (thumb), while Malik Monk (personal) is questionable for Monday’s game against Denver.
The Nuggets just stopped their winning streak
The Denver Nuggets (3-2; 3-2 ATS; 3-2 O/U) bounced back from a 137-131 overtime loss at the Golden State Warriors in their season opener in style. The Nuggets strung together three comfortable victories over the Phoenix Suns 133-111, the Minnesota Timberwolves 127-114, and the New Orleans Pelicans 122-88.
Denver’s winning streak came to an end last Friday. The Nuggets suffered a 109-107 defeat at the Portland Trail Blazers, playing as 5.5-point road favorites. Denver went just 6-for-25 from deep and committed 19 turnovers. Jamal Murray scored 22 points, while Nikola Jokic had 21 points, 14 rebounds, and nine assists.
The Nuggets tally 122.8 points per 100 possessions (3rd in the NBA) and surrender 110.7 points in return (4th). They are third in the league in opposing 3-point percentage (31.2%) and fifth in assists allowed per game (23.8). Murray (calf) and Cameron Johnson (shoulder) are both on the injury report, but they are listed as probable for Monday’s clash versus Sacramento.
Kings vs. Nuggets Pick
Spread Pick for Kings vs. Nuggets
- Denver Nuggets (4 units)
The Nuggets are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings with the Kings. Nikola Jokic tortured Sacramento last season, averaging 24.5 points, 15.8 rebounds, and 11.5 assists across four games. I expect more of the same, so give me the Nuggets.
As I noted, the Kings struggle to defend inside the arc. Their rebounding has been underwhelming thus far (22nd in the NBA in defensive rebound percentage and 28th in offensive rebound percentage), so the Kings will struggle to contain the Nuggets. Denver’s offense and rebounding will make a difference.
Over/Under Pick for Kings vs. Nuggets
- Over (4 units)
The Nuggets have been executing their offense at a high level so far this season. They are third in the NBA in true shooting percentage (63.1%). I expect them to take full advantage of the Kings’ defensive flaws. Neither side plays fast or leans on 3-pointers a lot, but I have to go with the over in this game.
The Kings will look to push the ball in transition. They don’t want to play a lot of half-court basketball against the Nuggets, whose defense is showing signs of improvement after an underwhelming 2024-25 campaign.
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