San Antonio Spurs vs. Houston Rockets, Picks and Prediction, Wednesday, January 28, 2026

By: Bosun Akinpelu Published 01/28/2026, 07:10 AM ET
Spurs vs. Rockets prediction
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San Antonio (31-15) will be going for their second consecutive road win when they visit Toyota Center on Wednesday night to face Houston (28-16) at 9:30 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Spurs vs. Rockets prediction. Need some winners in the NBA? Check out our NBA Free picks and beat the books!

The Spurs are coming off a 104-95 loss to New Orleans as 11.5-point favorites. The Rockets are coming off a 108-99 win over Memphis as 11-point favorites.

Houston is 7-3 in its last 10 games against San Antonio.

Spurs Trying To Bounce Back From Loss

The Spurs followed up their win over Utah with a loss to the Pelicans in their last game. They will try to bounce back from the loss and pick up their second straight road win when they play on Wednesday.

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San Antonio averages 117.4 points per game. They’ve made 47 percent of their field goals and 35 percent of their three-pointers.

Victor Wembanyama leads the Spurs with 24.2 points and 11.1 rebounds per game. De’Aaron Fox averages 20.2 points and six assists per game, while Stephon Castle averages 16.6 points and seven rebounds per game.

San Antonio is giving up 112.6 points per game. Opponents have made 46 percent of their field goals and 36 percent of their three-pointers.

Injuries: Jordan McLaughlin (Shoulder) is questionable for this game.

Rockets Going For Third Consecutive Win

The Rockets followed up their loss to Philadelphia with wins over Detroit and Memphis. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their third straight win when they play on Wednesday.

Houston averages 116.7 points per game. They’ve made 48 percent of their field goals and 37 percent of their three-pointers.

Kevin Durant leads the Rockets with 26.4 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 4.5 assists per game. Alperen Sengun averages 21.5 points and nine rebounds per game, while Amen Thompson averages 18.2 points and 7.7 rebounds per game.

Houston is giving up 110.5 points per game. Opponents have made 46 percent of their field goals and 35 percent of their three-pointers against them.

Injuries: Steven Adams (Ankle) is questionable for this game.

Spurs vs. Rockets Picks

Point Spread Pick for Spurs vs. Rockets

  • Houston Rockets to cover. (4 Units)

The Rockets have won five of their last eight games, while the Spurs split their last eight games. Houston has the edge here because they’re playing well offensively, scoring more than 116 points per game at home, while making over 48 percent of their shots. Their ball movement is very good, and they rebound the ball well, grabbing more than 15 offensive rebounds per game at home, which will give them more scoring chances. They also do a good job of limiting their turnovers at home, and won’t give up many easy-scoring chances. The Spurs have struggled defensively on the road, giving up more than 113 points per game, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Rockets. Take Houston to cover the spread.

Over/Under Pick for Spurs vs. Rockets

  • Under (4 Units)

The Spurs average 117.4 points per game. They play at the 19th-fastest pace in the league, averaging 103.3 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that is giving up 107.6 points per game at home. The Rockets average 116.5 points per game at home. They play at the 27th-fastest pace in the league, averaging 101.4 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that is giving up 113.7 points per game on the road. Don’t expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total. The Rockets and Spurs played under the total in seven of their last nine meetings.

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