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Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Friday January 9 2026

By: Kyle Kargel Published 01/09/2026, 08:00 AM ET

Raptors vs Celtics picks take the spotlight on Friday night as Toronto heads to Boston for the third meeting in just over a month. This matchup is a great spot to dig into situational angles and recent trends, and I have one clear lean for bettors looking for value alongside the latest NBA picks.

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Quick Picks and Prediction

  • Spread: Celtics -8
  • Total: Under 224
  • Projected Final Score: Celtics 113, Raptors 104

Odds and Line Movement

Opening Odds

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# Handicapper Profit
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2 Tony Karpinski Tony Karpinski +1,731.00
3 Jesse Schule Jesse Schule +1,599.00
4 Rob Vinciletti Rob Vinciletti +1,284.00
5 David Delano David Delano +1,232.00
Team Spread Total
Toronto +7 (-110) Over 224 (-110)
Boston -7 (-110) Under 224 (-110)

Current Odds

Team Spread Total
Toronto +8 (-110) Over 224 (-105)
Boston -8 (-110) Under 224 (-115)

Line Movement - Spread

Date Toronto Boston
01/08 +7.5 (-105) -7.5 (-115)
01/08 +8 (-108) -8 (-112)
01/08 +8 (-110) -8 (-110)

Line Movement - Total

Date Over Under
01/08 224 (-106) 224 (-114)
01/08 224 (-105) 224 (-115)

Key Matchups and Handicap

This will be the third meeting in the last month between these Eastern Conference rivals, and Boston has won both of the first two games on the road in Toronto. That matters because the Celtics now get this matchup at home with a chance to complete the sweep.

Both teams are on equal rest after playing Wednesday, but Boston enters this game off a frustrating 114-110 home loss to Denver as a sizable favorite. The Celtics were uncharacteristically beaten at the three-point line in that game, with Denver hitting 20 triples compared to Boston’s 15. That kind of shooting gap is unlikely to repeat often, especially at TD Garden.

Toronto, meanwhile, has been playing well overall, winning five of its last six games, including a road win over Charlotte. However, this matchup looks very different depending on availability. Jakob Poeltl remains out, and both Scottie Barnes and Brandon Ingram are listed as questionable. Ingram was clearly limited on Wednesday, playing just 11 minutes, and Barnes’ knee sprain has noticeably impacted his production.

In the two earlier meetings with Boston, Ingram was a major factor offensively. If he and Barnes are either out or limited again, Toronto’s offensive ceiling drops significantly. That is why I am much more interested in the total than chasing the side.

  • The under is 10-3 in Toronto’s last 13 games.
  • Boston has won both previous meetings this season.
  • Toronto has been trending lower-scoring in recent weeks.

Key Injuries and Notes (TOR and BOS)

  • Toronto: Jakob Poeltl is out. Scottie Barnes and Brandon Ingram are questionable.
  • Boston: Josh Minott is out with an ankle injury.

ATS and Total Picks

  • ATS: Celtics -8
  • Total: Under 224

Final Score Prediction

Celtics 113, Raptors 104

How to Bet

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