Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction and Picks - October 26, 2025
Use Code WWWC Sunday evening on the NBA hardwood, and we have a Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction ready to rock and roll. Toronto is off a 122-116 home loss to Milwaukee to fall to 1-1 on the year. Dallas is now 0-2 on the year after a 117-107 home loss to Washington. Dallas won both games between these teams last year. Read on to see our Raptors vs Mavericks prediction.
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Raptors Fall To Bucks At Home
Toronto comes into Dallas at 1–1 after a narrow 122-116 home loss to the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday night. The Raptors had control for much of the game but faltered late as Giannis Antetokounmpo and Cole Anthony fueled a Bucks rally. Brandon Ingram was the standout for Toronto, scoring 29 points on efficient shooting, while RJ Barrett added 20 points on 9-of-12 from the field. The Raptors’ offense showed balance, with Scottie Barnes contributing across the board, but missed free throws (11 in total) and defensive lapses in the fourth quarter proved costly. It was a frustrating setback after their explosive 138-118 opening night win in Atlanta, where they set a franchise record for points in a season opener.
Through two games, Toronto has flashed both promise and inconsistency. They are averaging 127 points per contest, shooting nearly 57 percent from the field in the opener but cooling off against Milwaukee. Ingram and Barrett have emerged as reliable scoring options, combining for 47.5 points per game, while Barnes continues to impact multiple areas with his playmaking and rebounding. The Raptors’ rebounding has been strong, averaging 54 boards per game, but turnovers (19 per game) and streaky three-point shooting have limited their ability to close out tight contests. Head coach Darko Rajaković has emphasized patience, noting that this group is still learning how to finish games together.
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Against Dallas, Toronto will look to reestablish its offensive rhythm while tightening up defensively. The Mavericks have struggled to contain opposing bigs, which could open opportunities for Barnes and Jakob Poeltl inside. Immanuel Quickley, who has shot just 1-for-11 from deep so far, will be a key swing factor; if he finds his stroke, Toronto’s spacing improves dramatically. The Raptors’ ability to push tempo and attack in transition could also be decisive, especially against a Dallas team that has been vulnerable in transition defense. With Ingram and Barrett carrying the scoring load, Toronto will aim to exploit mismatches on the wing and test the Mavericks’ defensive rotations.
Mavs Looking For First Win
The Mavericks enter this contest desperate for a win after an 0–2 start that has raised early concerns. They opened the season with a 125-92 blowout loss to San Antonio, where Victor Wembanyama dominated with 40 points and 15 rebounds, and followed it up with a 117-107 home defeat to the Washington Wizards. In that second game, Dallas squandered a first-quarter lead and was outscored 30-17 in the second quarter, never fully recovering. Anthony Davis has been the lone bright spot, averaging 24.5 points and 13 rebounds through two games, but his efficiency has been shaky, shooting just 31.8 percent against San Antonio. Rookie Cooper Flagg has shown flashes, posting a double-double in his debut and adding 18 points against Washington, but he is still adjusting to NBA pace and physicality.
Dallas’ offensive struggles have been glaring. They are averaging just 99.5 points per game, ranking near the bottom of the league, while shooting 37.3 percent from the field. Klay Thompson has yet to find his rhythm, scoring only 10 points in the opener and failing to provide the perimeter shooting Dallas envisioned when they acquired him. PJ Washington has been a steady contributor with 17 points against San Antonio and 18 against Washington, but the Mavericks’ lack of playmaking without Kyrie Irving has been evident. Jason Kidd’s squad has also been plagued by turnovers (16 per game) and defensive breakdowns, allowing opponents to shoot over 57 percent in the opener and 47 percent in the follow-up loss.
Sunday’s matchup offers Dallas a chance to reset at home, but the challenges are clear. They will need Davis to establish dominance in the paint against Poeltl while finding ways to free Thompson for open looks. Flagg’s development will be under the spotlight, as his ability to handle Toronto’s versatile forwards could swing momentum. Defensively, Dallas must improve at the point of attack, where Quickley and Barnes can exploit mismatches. The Mavericks’ size advantage inside could be a factor, but unless their perimeter shooting improves and their defensive rotations sharpen, they risk falling into an early-season hole. With the home crowd restless after two disappointing outings, Dallas faces pressure to deliver a more complete performance.
Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks Pick
Raptors vs Mavericks Spread Pick
- Toronto +1.5 (5 Units)
Taking the Raptors +1.5 has merit given how they’ve looked through their first two games. Toronto is averaging 127 points per contest, with Brandon Ingram and RJ Barrett combining for nearly 48 points per game on efficient shooting. Even in their loss to Milwaukee, the Raptors controlled stretches of play and showed they can generate offense against elite defenses. Their rebounding edge—54 boards per game so far—gives them extra possessions, and Scottie Barnes’ versatility has been a stabilizing factor. Against a Dallas team that has struggled to score, Toronto’s balance and ability to push tempo make them a strong candidate to keep this one close or even steal it outright.
On the other side, Dallas has yet to find its rhythm, averaging under 100 points per game while shooting just 37 percent from the field. Anthony Davis has been productive, but the Mavericks’ perimeter shooting has been inconsistent, with Klay Thompson still searching for his stroke. That lack of spacing has allowed defenses to collapse inside, limiting Davis’ efficiency. Toronto’s defensive length on the wings, combined with Jakob Poeltl’s presence in the paint, could frustrate Dallas’ half-court sets. With the Mavericks’ offense sputtering and the Raptors showing they can score in bunches, the +1.5 spread looks like a favorable number for Toronto backers.
Raptors vs Mavericks Over/Under Pick
- Over 230.5 (4 Units)
The over 230.5 looks like a strong angle here given the way both teams are trending offensively and defensively. Toronto is averaging 127 points per game through its first two outings, with Brandon Ingram and RJ Barrett carrying the scoring load while Scottie Barnes adds versatility across the floor. Dallas, despite its early struggles, still has Anthony Davis anchoring the paint and rookie Cooper Flagg showing scoring flashes, and they’ll be motivated to push tempo at home. The Mavericks’ defense has been leaky, allowing 121 points per game, while Toronto’s pace and rebounding create extra possessions. With both sides capable of running in transition and neither defense showing early-season consistency, this matchup has the ingredients to clear the total.
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