Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Thursday, January 15, 2026
Use Code WWWC It’s the second game of a back-to-back for two Western Conference teams on Thursday, Jan. 15. Read our Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks prediction along with our other NBA Picks. The Jazz are 14-26 and they are coming off a 2-point loss to Chicago on Tuesday night. Utah has a 5-14 road record this season. The Mavericks are 15-26 and they just lost to Denver the previous night, too. Both teams are looking to stack wins and move up the West standings. The tip-off time between the two teams is set for 8:30 P.M. EST.
Utah look to bounce back after loss to Chicago
Utah is 14-26 overall this season. The Jazz are in third-to-last place in the West. They are 3.5 games back of the Grizzlies for the final play-in spot. The Jazz are five games ahead of Pelicans for the worst record in the conference. The Jazz are 5-14 when they have played on the road this season.
In their last game, the Jazz lost 128-126 to the Bulls on the road on Wednesday, Jan. 14. It was a tight game with 26 lead changes as Utah could never get over the hump late in the game. They tied the game on several occasions, but Chicago’s Nikola Vucevic nailed the game-winning shot in the final seconds. Utah shot 55% from the field and 29% from behind the 3-point line in the loss. Brice Sensabaugh led the team with 43 points on 15-for-22 shooting.
Lauri Markkanen leads the team with 27.9 points per game. Jusuf Nurkic is grabbing 10 rebounds while Keyonte George is passing for 6.9 assists per game.
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Utah is the 18th ranked offensive efficient team and they are also the worst defensive efficient team in the sport. The Jazz are also the 16th ranked rebounding team.
Utah is allowing 119.1 points per game, which ranks seventh overall. They are shooting 46.2% from the field, which ranks 21st. The Jazz are the 18th ranked 3-point shooting team, making 35.2% from behind the arc.
On defense, Utah is allowing 127 points per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are allowing 49.1% from the field, which places them second-worst. The Jazz are the 27th ranked 3-point defensive team, allowing 37.4% from behind the arc.
Utah is 23-17 against the spread this season. They are 5-3 against the spread with no rest. The Jazz are 15-10 against the spread after a loss. They are also 9-10 against the spread when they have played on the road. The over is 25-15 when the Jazz have played this season. The over is 14-11 when they have played after a loss. The over is 5-3 with no rest and 12-7 with equal rest.
Dallas finding success in home building
Dallas is 15-26 overall this season. The Mavericks are in 12th place in the West as they are three games back of the Grizzlies for a play-in spot. Dallas has an 11-11 home record this year. They have lost seven of their last 10 games coming into this matchup. The Mavericks have won seven of their last nine home games, too.
In their last game, the Mavericks lost 118-109 to Denver on Wednesday, Jan. 14. The Nuggets grabbed the lead late in the first quarter and they never surrendered it. The Mavericks shot 4% from the field and 15% from behind the arc in the loss. Naji Marshall led the team with 24 points on 9-for-16 shooting.
Cooper Flagg leads the team with 19.1 points per game. PJ Washington is grabbing a team-high 7.4 rebounds while Ryan Nembhard is passing for a team-leading 5.1 assists per game.
Dallas ranks third-worst in offensive efficiency and the 11th ranked defensive efficient team. The Mavericks are also the seventh-worst rebounding roster.
The Mavericks are hitting 113 points per game, which ranks 24th. They are the 17th ranked shooting team, making 47% from the field, placing them 17th. Dallas is also the fourth-worst 3-point defensive team, allowing 34% from behind the arc.
On defense, Dallas is allowing 116.9 points per game, which ranks 19th. They are the seventh-best defensive team allowing 46.2% from the field. The Mavericks are the best 3-point defensive team allowing 32.9% from behind the arc.
Dallas is 17-24 against the spread this season. They are 5-2 against the spread with no rest. They are also 12-10 against the spread when playing at home. The under is 24-17 when the Mavericks have played this season. The under is 13-9 when they have played at home. The under is 5-2 with no rest.
Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Picks
Jazz vs Mavericks Spread Pick
- Take Dallas to cover (5 units)
The Mavericks are a completely different team at home than on the road. They have won seven of their last nine home games and multiple scores have emerged when inside their own building. Despite the loss, Naji Marshall played well on Wednesday night leading the team in scoring. The Jazz could not fully make a comeback against Chicago on Wednesday, too. Utah has been poor this season away from home with a well below .500 record on opposing courts. With both teams playing on a back-to-back, I’m going to side with the home team, who should be more fresh and more comfortable than the team traveling during the night.
Take Dallas to cover.
Jazz vs Mavericks Over/Under Pick
- Take the under (5 units)
The under is 5-2 when Dallas has played their second game on a back-to-back. The Mavericks will play at a crawl in this game, just like they have had all season. Utah is the third-slowest team in the league. Utah isn’t much faster as they rank 18th in pace. The slow pace and different substation patters because of a back-to-back will lend to inconsistencies all evening. Expect a stop-start game in downtown Dallas.
Take the under on Thursday.
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