Washington Wizards vs. Phoenix Suns Picks and Prediction for Sunday, January 11, 2026
Washington Wizards (10-27) vs. Phoenix Suns (23-15)
The NBA betting action continues with the 10-game card on Sunday, January 11, 2026, and in this preview, we are breaking down the cross-conference showdown from Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ, to get you the Wizards vs. Suns prediction.
Washington and Phoenix wrap up their two-game regular-season set. The Suns beat the Wizards 115-101 a couple of weeks ago, covering a 10.5-point spread. Now, the Suns are searching for their sixth consecutive victory over the Wizards.
Let’s look closer at this Wizards vs. Suns prediction, one of our NBA picks for Sunday’s card. The tip-off at Mortgage Matchup Center is set at 8:00 PM ET.
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The Wizards hope to snap their two-game skid
The Washington Wizards are 5-4 SU and ATS in their previous nine outings at any location, but they’ve dropped their last two games. After a heavy 131-110 defeat at the Philadelphia 76ers, the Wizards suffered another heavy loss against the New Orleans Pelicans 128-107 at home this past Friday.
The Wizards committed a staggering 22 turnovers in Philadelphia. Against New Orleans, the Wizards turned the ball over 19 times while making just 42.5% of their field goals (11-for-35 from deep). Kyshawn George returned from a seven-game absence last Friday and led the way with 15 points and five rebounds.
Trae Young (19.3 PPG, 8.9 APG) didn’t play against the Pelicans due to a quadriceps injury. According to Michael Scotto of USA Today, the Wizards will take a cautious approach with Young, who arrived via trade with the Atlanta Hawks two days ago. Washington sent CJ McCollum (18.8 PPG) and Corey Kispert (9.2 PPG) to Atlanta in return.
The Wizards (10-27; 15-22 ATS; 19-18 O/U) are on their way to miss the playoffs for the fifth straight season. Washington scores 111.2 points per 100 possessions (27th in the NBA) and surrenders a staggering 122.0 points in return (29th).
The Suns eye their third straight win
The Phoenix Suns (23-15; 27-11 ATS; 16-22 O/U) are 8-2 SU and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall and will shoot for their third straight victory when the Wizards come to town. In their previous two outings, the Suns have beaten the Memphis Grizzlies 117-98 on the road and the New York Knicks 112-107 at home.
Last Friday, the Suns went 16-for-42 from downtown and committed just 10 turnovers, outlasting the Knicks as slight home underdogs. Devin Booker went off for 31 points and eight assists, while Dillon Brooks posted a line of 27 points, seven rebounds, and five assists.
Booker leads the way for the Suns with 25.5 points and 6.4 assists per game. Brooks tallies 21.3 points and 3.4 rebounds a night, while Grayson Allen averages 15.4 points and 3.9 assists. Jalen Green (15.5 PPG) is still recovering from a hamstring injury.
The Suns hold the No. 7 seed in the Western Conference and are just half a game behind the Houston Rockets. Phoenix tallies 116.0 points per 100 possessions (13th in the NBA) and allows 113.5 points in return (tied for 8th).
Wizards vs. Suns Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tony Karpinski | +2,494.00 |
| 2 |  Joe Duffy | +1,859.00 |
| 3 |  The Insiders Room | +1,788.00 |
| 4 |  Mark Ruelle | +1,428.00 |
| 5 |  Jackie Mack | +1,400.00 |
Spread Pick for Wizards vs. Suns
- Phoenix Suns (4 units)
I’m not going to overthink this game. The Suns have been a covering machine this season. Just two weeks ago, they beat the Wizards by 14 points, and the Suns went 17-for-40 from downtown.
The Wizards’ defense has been horrendous thus far. Washington is 21st in opposing 2-point percentage (55.1%) and 20th in opposing 3-point percentage (36.4%). The Wizards are dead last in the NBA in defensive turnover percentage (10.8%), whereas the Suns rank second in this category (15.0%).
The Suns’ defense is one of the most pleasant surprises of the season. Phoenix allows just 12.5 3-pointers per 100 possessions (8th) on a 35.2 percentage clip (tied for 9th).
Over/Under Pick for Wizards vs. Suns
- Under (4 units)
The previous clash between Washington and Phoenix flew under the 233.5-point line. The Wizards’ defense is awful, and Washington prefers to play fast, but their offensive execution is far from elite level.
On the other side, the Suns are 22nd in the league in pace. Their defense has been pretty solid thus far, but the Suns lean on 3-pointers a lot. They are eighth in 3-point rate (.437) and 11th in 3-point percentage (36.5%).
I will rely on the Suns’ defense and take the under. Also, these two teams have struggled to get to the free-throw line this season. Washington is 25th in free-throw rate (.246), and Phoenix is 29th in this category (.234). The under is 6-2 in the Wizards’ last eight games overall, and it is 4-1 in the Suns’ previous five.
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