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Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty, Picks and Prediction, Tuesday, September 9, 2025

By: Liam Keating Published 09/09/2025, 11:20 AM ET
New York Liberty vs Washington Mystics prediction

The regular season is coming to a close and playoff seeding is still up for grabs in the WNBA on Tuesday, Sept. 9. Read our New York Liberty vs Washington Mystics prediction along with the rest of tonight’s free WNBA Predictions.  The Mystics are 16-27 overall this season. They are already eliminated from playoff contention as they are suffering under a 9-game losing streak. They have also lost 14 of their last 17 games. The Liberty are 25-17 overall, and they are the No. 5 seed in the league. They have won four of their last seven games. New York has just two games remaining on their schedule to push for the No. 4 seed and get home-court advantage in the first round. The tip-off time between the two teams is set for 7 P.M. EST.

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Mystics suffering with a 9-game losing streak

Washington is 16-27 overall this season. They are in 10th place in the league and they have been officially eliminated from the playoffs for the past few weeks. The Mystics are 6-15 when they have played on the road. They are 0-3 against the Liberty this season. They have lost nine straight games. The Mystics have also lost 14 of their last 17 games. In their last game, the Mystics lost 94-65 to Indiana at home on Sunday, Sept. 7.

The Mystics are led in scoring by Sonia Citron with 15 points per game. Kiki Iriafen is grabbing a team-leading 8.7 rebounds per game, while Sug Sutton is passing for 3.9 assists per game.

Washington is averaging 77.4 points per game which ranks 11th in the league. They are shooting 43.9% from the field, which ranks seventh. The Mystics are the 10th-ranked 3-point shooting team making 32.9% from deep.

On defense, the Mystics are allowing 81.7 points per game, placing them seventh. They are the eighth-ranked defense in allowing 44.5% from the field. The Mystics are also forcing their opponents to shoot 33.1% from behind the arc, ranking them sixth.

The Mystics are 20-23 against the spread this season. They are 10-11 against the spread when they have played on the road. Washington is 16-13 against the spread this year when they have been an underdog. The under is 23-19-1 when Washington has played this season. The under is 12-9 when Washington has played on the road.

Jacy Sheldon is out with an ankle injury while Georgia Amoore has been out for most of the year with a torn ACL.

Liberty hanging on to No. 5 seed with playoffs looming

New York is 25-17 overall this season. They are in fifth place in the WNBA at the moment with two games remaining on the schedule. They are eight games back of the Lynx, who are leading the division. The Liberty are two Ames back of the Mercury for fourth place this season. They have a 16-5 record when they have played at home. The Liberty have won four of their last seven games. In their last game, the Liberty defeated Seattle 84-76  away from home on Friday, Sept. 5.

Sabrina Ionescu leads the team in most offensive categories this year. She is averaging team-highs with 18.8 points, 4.9 rebounds and 5.4 assists per game.

The Liberty is averaging 84.5 points per game which ranks fourth best. They are also shooting 45.3% from the field which places them fourth overall. New York is making 35.7% from behind the 3-point line which places them second best.

On defense, the Liberty are allowing 80.5 points per game which places them sixth. They are the second-ranked defense allowing 42.2% from the field. New York is the best 3-point defensive team, giving up 31.2% from behind the arc.

New York is 15-25-2 against the spread this season. They are 11-9-1 against the spread when they have played at home. The Liberty are 4-10-1 against the spread when they have been double-digit favorites. The over is 24-17-1 when the Liberty have played this year. The under is 14-7 when New York has played at home.

There are no injuries listed for the Liberty.

Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty Pick

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Spread Pick for Washington Mystics vs. NY Liberty

  • Washington Mystics +12 (5 units)

The Liberty are headed to the playoffs and they will be at worst a No. 5 seed this year. They will come away with the win in this game, but they won’t cover. New York has really struggled this season as big favorite. They are 4-10-1 against the spread when they are favored. The Mystics have played well when they have been underdogs. They are 16-13 against the spread as an underdog. I expect a close game with New York, finding it hard to put away a team that they should easily beat. The Mystics are on their long losing streak at the moment, but they have covered in three of the seven games that they have been an underdog in. The Liberty have also not been as dominant inside their home areas with their 11-9-1 against the spread record when playing at home.

Take Washington to cover. 

 

Over/Under Pick for Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty

  • Under 159 (5 units)

The under is 14-7 when the Liberty have played at home. New York is the third fastest team in the league, but their strength on the defensive end allows for low scoring games to occur. They rank sixth in defensive scoring while also being the best 3-point defense. The Mystics rank eighth in pace as they look to slow the game down. Washington is also the third-worst scoring offense in the sport. The under is 12-9 when Washington has played on the road.

Take the under on Tuesday. 

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