New York Liberty vs Washington Mystics Picks and Prediction for Sunday, May 10, 2026
Use Code WWWC The New York Liberty visit the Washington Mystics at CareFirst Arena on Sunday at 3:00 PM ET on MNMT. New York opened the regular season with a 106-75 win over Connecticut, while Washington defeated Toronto 68-65 in its opener. This is only the second regular-season game for both teams, so all statistical averages are based on one matchup. Build your bankroll with our free WNBA picks.
Liberty Looking Strong Despite Missing Key Players
New York opened the season with a dominant 106-75 win over Connecticut and controlled the game from the opening quarter. The Liberty led 36-13 after one period and shot 52% from the field overall. Even without Sabrina Ionescu and several other players, New York showed why it remains one of the top teams in the WNBA.
Because this is only the second game of the season, the offensive numbers are from one performance. Breanna Stewart led the Liberty with 31 points and 10 rebounds while shooting 10-for-17 from the field and 11-for-12 from the free-throw line. Marine Johannes added 17 points and hit five three-pointers, while Julie Vanloo contributed 12 points, 11 assists, and seven rebounds in her debut. Betnijah Laney-Hamilton also scored 12 points as New York finished with 26 assists and 10 made three-pointers.
The Liberty were equally strong defensively in the opener. New York held Connecticut to 39% shooting and just 4-for-22 from three-point range. The Liberty also recorded nine steals and forced 16 turnovers while limiting second-chance scoring opportunities. Rebounding was another advantage, as New York finished with a 37-32 edge on the glass. Even with injuries affecting the team, the Liberty showed depth and strong ball movement throughout the game.
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Injuries: Satou Sabally, Out, Rebecca Allen, Out, Raquel Carrera, Out, Leonie Fiebich, Out, Sabrina Ionescu, Out
Mystics Trying to Build on Strong Defensive Opener
Washington opened the season with a 68-65 win over Toronto and closed the game effectively in the final minute. The Mystics forced difficult shots late and held Toronto to just 27% shooting from the field, which helped offset offensive inconsistencies during stretches of the game.
The Mystics shot 39% from the field and only 5-for-24 from three-point range in the opener. Sonia Citron led Washington with 26 points on 9-for-12 shooting and also hit three three-pointers. Shakira Austin added 18 points and 11 rebounds, including four made free throws in the final seconds to secure the win. Kiki Iriafen also posted a double-double with 12 points and 16 rebounds. Washington controlled the glass with 44 rebounds and generated second-chance opportunities throughout the game.
Defensively, Washington showed strong activity around the basket with five blocked shots and 10 steals. The Mystics also forced 16 turnovers and limited Toronto’s perimeter shooting to 20% from three-point range. However, Washington struggled offensively at times with only 14 assists and several empty possessions late in the game. The Mystics will need more consistent backcourt production against a New York team that moves the ball effectively and creates high-percentage shots.
Injuries: Michaela Onyenwere, Out, Cotie McMahon, Out
New York Liberty vs Washington Mystics Spread Pick
The New York Liberty have the advantage because of superior offensive production and stronger perimeter shooting. New York scored 106 points in the opener despite missing key players and moved the ball effectively throughout the game. Washington played well defensively against Toronto, but the Mystics may struggle matching New York offensively over four quarters. With Stewart playing at a high level and the Liberty showing strong depth, New York is in a favorable position to win and cover.
New York Liberty vs Washington Mystics Over/Under Pick
This game will cash under if Washington controls the tempo and continues playing strong half-court defense. The Mystics held Toronto to 65 points in the opener and showed the ability to force turnovers and contest perimeter shots. New York produced a huge offensive game on Friday, but Washington’s defensive approach could slow the pace and reduce transition opportunities. If the Mystics avoid extended scoring droughts, this matchup could stay below the total.
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