New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds, Picks and Prediction, Sunday, September 7, 2025
Use Code WWWC New York (76-65) will be going for their second consecutive series win when it visits Great American Ball Park on Sunday afternoon to face Cincinnati (70-71) in the final game of their three-game series at 1:40 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Mets vs. Reds prediction. Need some winners this baseball season? Check out our Free MLB Picks.
Brandon Sproat, 0-0, 0-0 ERA, will make his Big League debut for the Mets on Sunday. The Reds will counter with Hunter Greene, 5-4, 2.70 ERA.
New York is 6-4 in its last 10 games against Cincinnati.
**This preview was written before Saturday’s game was played.**
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New York Trying To Move Up Wildcard Standings
The Mets followed up their two-game losing streak with three wins in their last four contests. They are tied for second in the NL wildcard standings, five games behind the Cubs, and will try to take sole possession of the second wildcard spot with a win on Sunday.
New York averages 4.82 runs per game, which is ninth in the league. Their .252 batting average is eighth in the league. Their .330 on base percentage is fourth, while their .431 slugging percentage is sixth.
Pete Alonso leads New York with a .269 batting average and 113 RBI, while Juan Soto leads the team with 37 home runs.
New York is giving up 4.32 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. Opponents have a .244 batting average against the Mets, which is 14th in the league. Their 3.91 ERA is 13th, while their 1.33 WHIP is 23rd.
Cincinnati Trying To Keep Playoff Hopes Alive
The Reds followed up their two-game winning streak with three straight losses, giving them eight losses in their last 10 games. Despite the slump, they are six games out of the final NL wildcard spot and will try to reduce the distance with a win on Sunday.
Cincinnati averages 4.52 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. Their .248 batting average is 16th in the league. Their .318 on base percentage is 15th, while their .392 slugging percentage is 21st.
Elly De La Cruz has been the most consistent batter for the Reds. He leads the team with a .268 batting average, 19 home runs, and 78 RBI.
Cincinnati is giving up 4.34 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. Opponents have a .238 batting average against the Reds, which is eighth in the league. Their 3.96 ERA is 16th, while their 1.25 WHIP is 11th.
In his last start, Greene gave up five hits and one run in 6.1 innings, leading to a 5-4 win over Toronto. He is 0-2 with a 4.84 ERA in four games against the Mets.
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick
Money Line pick for New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds
- Cincinnati Reds ML (4 Units)
Cincinnati has the edge in this game. They hit the ball well in recent home games, and they’ve had a lot of success against right-handers. They are also facing a rookie pitcher who had an up-and-down season in the minors, and will get to him early in this game.
New York won't be as successful offensively because Greene has been dominant on the mound, especially at home, where he gave up three runs in his last three starts. He gave up four runs in his last two starts against the Mets and will keep their offense in check. Take Cincinnati on the money line.
Over/Under Pick for New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds
- Under (4 Units)
The Mets played under the total in their last two games. New York averages 4.82 runs per game and 4.67 runs per game on the road. They’re batting .256 against right-handers, and they’re facing a starter who gave up three runs in his last three home starts. The Reds average 4.52 runs per game and 4.68 runs per game at home. They’re batting .246 against right-handers, and they’re facing a team that is giving up 4.32 runs per game. Don't expect these teams to score enough runs to push the score over the total. The Mets and Reds played under the total in two of their last three meetings.
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