Atlanta Falcons at Arizona Cardinals Prediction, Picks, and Odds Movement for December 21 2025

By: Kyle Kargel Published 12/20/2025, 04:45 AM ET
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Falcons vs Cardinals picks highlight a matchup that comes at an interesting point for both teams, and this breakdown ties directly into my broader approach to NFL predictions as we head deeper into the schedule.

Quick Picks and Prediction

  • Spread: Cardinals +2.5
  • Total: Over 47
  • Projected Score: Falcons 28, Cardinals 27

Odds and Line Movement

Team Opening Spread
Atlanta -2.5
Arizona +2.5

ย 

Team Current Spread
Atlanta -2.5 (-115)
Arizona +2.5 (-105)

Line Movement - Spread

Date Atlanta Arizona
12/16 -2.5 (-115) +2.5 (-105)
12/15 -1.5 (-115) +1.5 (-105)

Line Movement - Total

Date Over Under
12/15 47 (-115) 47 (-105)
12/14 45 (-110) 45 (-110)

Key Matchups and Handicap

This is the first meeting between these teams since Arizona earned a 25-23 home win in November 2023. Atlanta comes in with extra preparation time after a road win at Tampa Bay last Thursday, but that extra rest has not translated into betting success when the Falcons are favored. Atlanta is 1-5 against the spread as a favorite this season, losing all five of those games outright.

Arizona has dropped six straight games and sits at 1-5 against the number during that stretch, but last weekโ€™s loss in Houston was more competitive than the final score suggests. The Cardinals continue to push the pace offensively, especially through the air. With injuries at running back forcing Arizona into a pass-heavy approach, they are throwing on 65.4 percent of offensive snaps, the second-highest rate in the league.

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That passing volume matters in this matchup because both defenses rank in the bottom 10 in passing success rate allowed. Atlanta has seen six of its last seven games go over the total, while eight of Arizonaโ€™s last ten games have also cleared the number. If the Falcons get Drake London back, that only adds fuel to a game script that already points toward scoring.

  • Falcons are 1-5 ATS as a favorite this season.
  • Six of Atlantaโ€™s last seven games have gone over the total.
  • Cardinals are 1-5 ATS over their last six games.
  • Eight of Arizonaโ€™s last ten games have gone over the total.

Key Injuries and Notes for ATL and ARI

  • Atlanta is hopeful to have Drake London back in the lineup.
  • Arizona continues to deal with injuries at running back, pushing the offense toward a pass-heavy identity.

ATS and Total Picks

  • ATS Pick: Cardinals +2.5
  • Total Pick: Over 47

Final Score Prediction

Falcons 28, Cardinals 27

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