Atlanta Falcons vs. New England Patriots, Preview, Odds, Picks and Prediction, Sunday, November 2, 2025
Use Code WWWC It’s an intra-conference battle on Sunday, Nov. 2. Read our Atlanta Falcons vs New England Patriots along with our other NFL Picks! The Falcons are 3-4 and they are in third place in the NFC South. They are desperate for wins to keep pace with Tampa Bay. Atlanta won three of their past four games, but after that stretch of good play, they have lost back-to-back games, including a devastating loss to Miami. The Patriots are 6-2 and they are just ahead of the Bills for the top spot in the AFC East. The Patriots are one of the league’s hottest teams right now, winning five straight games. These two teams will meet with kick-off set for 1 P.M. EST.
Atlanta needs Bijan Robinson to dominate against New England
Atlanta is 3-4 overall this season. They are in third place in the NFC South as they sit behind Tampa Bay in first place with their 6-2 record. The Falcons started the year with a 3-2 record, highlighted by wins over Washington and Buffalo. But it has gone sideways over the past two weeks with a really bad loss in their last game.
In their last game, the Falcons were dominated 34-10 to Miami at home on Sunday, Oct. 26. Miami had one of the worst records in the NFL and defeated Atlanta easily. Atlanta never led in the game as they accumulated just 213 yards of offense. Back-up quarterback Kirk Cousins played for the injured Michael Pennix Jr. It was a tough outing for star running back Bijan Robinson. He rushed for just 25 yards on nine carries in the loss.
Robinson is the key to Atlanta’s offense. The team is 3-0 when he has rushed for 75 yards or more this year. After picking up 170 yards versus Buffalo, he’s turned in back-to-back performances of 40 yards or less.
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At Wednesday’s practice, Pennix had improved and should be good to play in this game against the Patriots.
"Michael is in the building, obviously in meetings. ... We'll get a chance to get a feel for what he can do in practice, if he can do anything,” Falcons head coach Raheem Morris said. "He feels better than he did last week. ... So, I feel really good about him."
On defense, Atlanta is led in tackles by linebacker Kaden Ellis with 48. Zach Harrison has a team-high 3.5 sacks on the season, too. The Falcons have also forced nine turnovers through the first seven games.
Atlanta is averaging 17.1 points per game, which ranks fifth-worst in the league. They have the 11th-best rushing attack behind Robinson as the team is averaging 123.3 yards per game. The Falcons rank 13th in passing yards per game with 219.4 yards per game.
On defense, Atlanta is allowing 22 points per game, which ranks 13th. They are the best passing defense, allowing just 149 yards per game. The Falcons rank 22nd in rush yards allowed with 126.4 on the ground.
Atlanta is 3-4 against the spread this season. The Falcons are 1-2 against the spread when they have played on the road. They are 2-1 against the spread as an underdog. The under is 5-1-1 when the Falcons have played this season. The under is 3-0 when they have played on the road. The under is 2-1-1 when the total has been set at 45 points or less.
As of Thursday, Atlanta did not have any players who didn’t practice in some capacity. Kyle Pitts, Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Michael Penix Jr., Leonard Floyd and Tyler Allegier, just to name a few, were all limited in practice. However, London and Penix Jr. are expected to play.
Drake Maye making impressive strides with Patriots
New England is 6-2 overall this season. They are in first place in the AFC East as they are just ahead of the 5-2 Buffalo Bills. The Patriots are 2-2 when playing at home, but they have won back-to-back games against the Panthers and Browns. The Patriots are riding a five-game winning streak coming into this week
In their last game, the Patriots defeated Cleveland 32-13 at home on Sunday, Oct. 26. Cleveland actually went ahead 7-3 in the first quarter before the Patriots were able to take a 9-7 lead at halftime. The Patriots scored 21 points in the third quarter to separate themselves for the easy win. Quarterback Drake Maye threw for 282 yards on 18-for-24 passing. He tossed three touchdowns and one pick in the win.
Maye has been great this season as he’s thrown for 2,026 yards and has completed 75% of his throws. He has 15 passing touchdowns to just three interceptions. TreVeyon Henderson is coming off his best game, too. The rookie running back ran for 75 yards against Cleveland, but he is yet to score a touchdown. Stefon Diggs is becoming a force for the wide receiver room and has emerged as a top playmaker during this winning streak, too.
On defense, the Patriots are led in tackles by linebacker Robert Spillane. He’s having an excellent season with 67 tackles, which is 19 tackles more than anyone else. Linebacker Harold Landry III secured 5.5 sacks on the season to lead the team, too. The defense has also forced 11 turnovers on the year.
"That's what we're always trying to do," Patriots head coach Mike Vrable said, "is not allow these... good times soften us up mentally and just let things slip that we weren't doing earlier in the season or the way that we prepared, the things that we want to believe in as a team.
New England ranks eighth in points scored as they are averaging 26.6 points per game. They rank ninth in passing with 240.5 yards per game through the air. The Patriots are also the 18th-ranked rushing offense, averaging 112.6 yards per game on the ground.
On defense, the Patriots are allowing 18.3 points per game, which ranks fourth best. They are the second-best rushing defense, giving up just 76 yards per game. New England is allowing 224 passing yards per gam,e placing them 19th.
The Patriots are 6-2 against the spread this season. New England is 2-2 against the spread at home, but they have covered in their last two home games. The Patriots are 4-1 against the spread when they have been favored. The total is 4-4 when the Patriots have played this season. The total is 2-2 at home. The over is 4-2 when the total has been set at 44 points or less.
As of Thursday, running back Rhamondre Stevenson was the lone player who did not practice due to a toe injury.
Atlanta Falcons vs New England Patriots Picks
Falcons vs Patriots Spread Pick
- Patriots -6 (5 units)
New England’s defense has been great during this winning streak. They have forced turnovers and, most importantly, they have stopped the run, forcing opposing teams into obvious passing downs. The Patriots rank second-best in rush yards allowed. Atlanta will focus on the rush game with Bijan Robinson. The Falcons are undefeated when he has rushed for 75 yards or more. But the Patriots' defense is going to snuff out the rushing game throughout, leading to more chances for quarterback Drake Maye. The Patriots' offense has vastly improved as the season has gone along, with Maye becoming a real franchise player. He has the weapons around him, along with rookie running back Henderson, who looked strong against Cleveland last week.
Take the Patriots to cover.
Falcons vs Patriots Over/Under Pick
- Under 44.5 (5 units)
The Patriots' defense ranks fourth-best in points allowed and second-best in rush yards allowed. The Falcons will struggle for points in this game, while the Patriots will be happy to control the ball and bleed the clock. The Patriots are going up against an Atlanta defense that ranks 13th in points allowed. It won’t be easy for their offense, meaning a low-scoring game is in store. The under is 3-0 when the Falcons have played on the road. The under is also 2-1-1 when the total has been set at 45 points or less.
Take the under on Sunday.
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