Broncos vs. Raiders Picks and Prediction for Sunday, December 7, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Denver Broncos will visit the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday at Allegiant Stadium in Week 14 NFL action. We have you ready to go with our Broncos vs. Raiders prediction, preview, and picks. Kick-off is at 4:05 p.m. ET.
Denver is a 7.5-point spread favorite, and the game total is 40 points scored.
Denver beat Las Vegas 10-7 at home on November 6. The Raiders covered the 8.5-point spread in a defensive affair, as the teams struggled to move the chains (combined 9-for-30 on third down). The Broncos sacked Geno Smith six times and didn't allow a first down over seven straight Raiders drives. If you want the Broncos vs. Raiders prediction, read on and check out our NFL Picks to beat the sportsbooks!
Broncos need much more from their offense in the rematch
Denver (10-2 SU, 5-6-1 ATS, and 4-8 O/U) beat Washington 27-26 on Monday, failing to cover as six-point spread favorites. The Broncos have won nine straight, covering in five of those games.
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Denver eked out an overtime win in DC earlier this week, as Nik Bonnito knocked down Marcus Mariota's two-point conversion attempt to seal the victory. Bo Nix threw for 321 yards with a touchdown and a pick, as the Broncos gained 402 total yards, but the defense made key plays and made Mariota uncomfortable with significant pressure.
The Oregon product Nix has passed for 2,742 yards with 19 touchdowns and nine interceptions this season, completing 61.6 percent of his passes. He has also rushed for 229 yards and three scores. His top receiving targets are WR Courtland Sutton (50 receptions for 711 yards and five TDs) and WR Troy Franklin (48 receptions for 530 yards and five TDs). With J.K. Dobbins (153 carries for 772 yards and four TDs) out for the rest of the season, Denver's run game is paced by rookie RB RJ Harvey (74 carries for 279 yards and four TDs).
The Broncos score 23.7 points per game (13th) and average 340.8 total yards (12th), including 221.5 passing yards (14th) and 119.3 rushing yards (14th). Denver's defense allows 18.2 points (4th) and 286.4 total yards (5th), including 193.3 passing yards (9th) and 93.1 rushing yards (5th).
Denver Broncos Football Injury Report:
- DE Zach Allen (six sacks) and DT D.J. Jones (two sacks) did not practice on Thursday. WR Pat Bryant (fourth-leading receiver) was a limited participant.
Raiders' defense has been stout the last five weeks
Las Vegas (2-10 SU, 3-8-1 ATS, and 5-7 O/U) lost 31-14 to the LA Chargers last weekend, failing to cover as ten-point spread underdogs. The Raiders have lost six straight games.
Vegas was competitive for the first half of last week's loss, as the game was tied 7-7 at halftime, but surrendered 17 unanswered points after the break. The Chargers outgained the Raiders 341-156, converting 12 of their 17 third downs, and controlling the football for 11 more minutes than the visitors. Las Vegas managed just 31 rushing yards on 18 carries (1.7 YPC).
QB Geno Smith has passed for 2,532 yards with 15 touchdowns and 14 interceptions this season, completing 67.3 percent of his passes. His top receiving targets are TE Brock Bowers (49 receptions for 573 yards and five TDs) and WR Tre Tucker (44 receptions for 550 yards and five TDs). Las Vegas' run game is paced by rookie RB Ashton Jeanty (181 carries for 635 yards and four TDs).
The Raiders score 14.9 points per game (31st) and average 259.5 total yards (30th), including 184.1 passing yards (26th) and 75.4 rushing yards (32nd). Las Vegas' defense allows 25.7 points (26th) and 323.3 total yards (15th), including 212.5 passing yards (17th) and 110.8 rushing yards (14th).
Las Vegas Raiders Football Injury Report:
- Starting DE Maxx Crosby, LB Jamal Adams, and TE Michael Mayer did not practice on Thursday. OC Jordan Meredith and OG Dylan Parham were limited participants.
Betting Trends for Broncos vs. Raiders:
Denver:
- 10-4 Over last 14 games.
- 3-13 ATS last 16 vs. Raiders.
Raiders are:
- 3-8 ATS last 11 games.
- 12-6 Under last 18 games.
- 12-6 Under last 18 against Denver.
Broncos vs. Raiders Pick and Preview
Spread Pick for Broncos vs. Raiders
- Las Vegas +7.5 (4 Units)
Do the Raiders have enough offense to cover twice against the division leaders? Maybe not. While they only scored once in the first meeting, it was still enough to easily cover, as the Vegas defense did its job, and then some. Given how inconsistent Nix can be from quarter to quarter, I feel confident the home team will keep the score within a touchdown with sound defensive play. Without easy throws and scrambles, the Broncos' QB1 is easier to defend than many QBs in the league. Las Vegas' pass defense has been solid recently, too, ranking ninth in DVOA versus the pass in the last five weeks, while the run defense has been stout (second against the run).
Las Vegas is 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS in its last ten matchups with Denver. I'll take the points with the Raiders on Sunday.
Over/Under Pick for Broncos vs. Raiders
- Under 40 (5 Units)
I'm betting on a similar outcome to the first matchup between these teams.
Smith and Jeanty haven't been the dynamic duo that Raiders fans hoped for, as Smith has nearly as many INTs as TDs, while Jeanty is averaging 3.5 yards per carry and has just one run of 20-plus yards this season. The Broncos harassed Smith in the last game, and the NFL's leading sack unit (4.3 per game) won't be deterred by a Las Vegas offensive line that simply can't get a push or protect their QB. On the other side of the ball, Las Vegas will give Nix all sorts of trouble. With Dobbins sidelined for the remainder of the season, the Broncos' run game is much less intimidating with the rookie Harvey running the ball (24 carries for 64 yards the last two weeks).
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