Chicago Bears vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction and Picks - October 26, 2025
Sunday afternoon on the NFL gridiron, and we have a Chicago Bears vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction ready to rock and roll. The Bears enter this game at 4-2 on the year, and they are off a 26-14 home win over the Saints. The Ravens are struggling at 1-5 on the year, and they come in off a 17-3 home loss to the Rams. These teams met back in 202,1 and the Ravens won that game on the road by a score of 16-13. Read on to see our Bears vs Ravens prediction.
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Bears Of To A Surprising Start
The Bears arrive in Baltimore at 4–2, riding a four-game winning streak that has reshaped their early-season outlook. After opening with back-to-back divisional losses, Chicago has found its rhythm behind rookie quarterback Caleb Williams, who has thrown for 1,351 yards, 9 touchdowns, and just 3 interceptions. His poise has been complemented by a revitalized ground game, with D’Andre Swift rushing for 124 yards and a score last week against New Orleans, while rookie Kyle Monangai added 81 yards and a touchdown of his own. That balance has allowed Chicago to average 25.3 points per game, ranking in the league’s top half, while keeping defenses honest with a mix of tempo and misdirection.
The Bears’ offensive line has been inconsistent in pass protection, but their run blocking has opened lanes that have fueled recent success. Williams has leaned on DJ Moore and rookie Luther Burden III as his primary targets, with Moore’s route-running and Burden’s explosiveness giving Chicago a reliable one-two punch. Tight end Cole Kmet has been battling a back issue, but when healthy, he provides a steady red-zone option. The Bears’ biggest offensive challenge remains third-down efficiency, as they converted just 3-of-10 chances in their win over Washington earlier this month. Sustaining drives will be critical against a Ravens defense that, while struggling overall, still has playmakers capable of flipping momentum.
Defensively, Chicago has been opportunistic, leading the NFL with 16 takeaways, including at least three in each of their last four games. That turnover surge has masked some underlying issues, as the Bears are still allowing 25.8 points per game and rank 25th in total defense. The run defense has been leaky at times, giving up 137.7 yards per game, but the secondary has tightened up in key moments, with Tyrique Stevenson and Jaquan Brisker making impact plays. Against Baltimore, the Bears’ ability to generate short fields through turnovers could be the deciding factor, especially if Lamar Jackson is less than 100% coming off his hamstring injury.
Ravens Look For 2nd Win Of The Year
The Ravens enter Week 8 at 1–5, desperate to turn their season around after dropping four straight before the bye. Their lone win came in Week 2 against Cleveland, but since then, the offense has sputtered, averaging just 24.0 points per game while ranking 28th in passing yards. The uncertainty around Lamar Jackson’s hamstring looms large — when he’s on the field, Baltimore’s offense has explosiveness, but without him, the unit has looked disjointed. In his four starts, Jackson has thrown for 869 yards, 10 touchdowns, and just 1 interception, while adding 166 rushing yards. If he’s limited or unavailable, the Ravens’ ceiling drops significantly, as backup Cooper Rush managed only 72 yards passing in last week’s loss to the Rams. Although Tyler Huntley, more of a dual-threat quarterback, is expected to start as Jackson is expected to miss a third straight game.
The ground game has been the one consistent element, with Derrick Henry rushing for 439 yards and 4 touchdowns, averaging 5.1 yards per carry. Henry’s physicality has kept Baltimore competitive in stretches, and pairing him with Jackson in the backfield — if Jackson plays — gives the Ravens a chance to control tempo. Rookie wideout Zay Flowers has been the top receiving option, hauling in 34 catches for 423 yards, while veteran tight end Mark Andrews remains a reliable safety valve. Still, the Ravens’ passing attack has lacked rhythm, ranking 28th in the league, and their offensive line has struggled to protect consistently, leaving the unit vulnerable to pressure.
Defensively, Baltimore has been uncharacteristically shaky, allowing 32.3 points per game, the worst mark in the NFL. The pass defense has been particularly vulnerable, giving up 246.5 yards per game (28th), though the front seven has shown flashes with Zach Harrison leading the team at 3.5 sacks. Linebacker Roquan Smith will be facing his former team for the first time since being traded in 2022, and his presence in the middle remains a stabilizing force. The Ravens have forced just 3 takeaways all season, tied for second-fewest in the league, and their -7 turnover margin has been a major factor in their struggles. Against a Bears team thriving on turnovers, Baltimore must flip that script to have a chance at snapping their skid.
Chicago Bears vs Baltimore Ravens Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,778.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,716.00 |
| 3 |  David Hess | +1,326.00 |
| 4 |  Earle Sports Bets | +1,323.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +1,071.00 |
Bears vs Ravens Spread Pick
- Baltimore -2 (4 Units)
Taking Baltimore -2 is less about trusting their defense and more about the matchup dynamics against Chicago. The Ravens’ offense has been quietly efficient, ranking 15th in scoring at 24.0 points per game and 10th in rushing at 126.2 yards per game, with Derrick Henry still capable of wearing down defenses. Against a Bears unit giving up 137.7 rushing yards per game, Baltimore has a clear path to control tempo and keep Caleb Williams on the sideline. Even with a passing attack that ranks just 28th in the league (183.0 YPG), the Ravens’ ability to finish drives has been the difference, and at home, they’re positioned to lean on Henry and Zay Flowers to generate enough offense to cover.
Defensively, the Ravens have been a liability — allowing 32.3 points per game, worst in the NFL — but this is where the matchup favors them. They are much healthier now, coming off a bye and in their last game against the Rams, when they allowed 17 points, they showed the potential of being a much better unit. Chicago has been turnover-prone and inconsistent, ranking 27th in passing yards and 29th in rushing yards, with just 20.0 points per game on average. The Bears are also 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games following New Orleans, a trend that underscores their struggles in momentum spots. Baltimore doesn’t need a shutdown performance to cover; they just need to force Williams into mistakes and capitalize on short fields. With the Ravens’ offense more reliable than Chicago’s and the situational ATS edge, laying the 7 points is a play that aligns with both the numbers and the matchup.
Bears vs Ravens Over/Under Pick
- Over 44.5 (5 Units)
The Over 49.5 has plenty of appeal in this matchup, given how both teams’ profiles line up. Baltimore’s defense has been a liability all season, allowing 32.3 points per game (worst in the NFL) and ranking 30th in total defense. That opens the door for Caleb Williams and the Bears’ offense, which has averaged over 25 points during their four-game win streak, to move the ball consistently. On the other side, the Ravens still put up 24.0 points per game behind Derrick Henry’s ground production and Tyler Huntley's ability to run. The Chicago defense gives up 137.7 rushing yards per game. Both teams have exploitable weaknesses, and the pace of play should create scoring opportunities on both sides.
Adding to the case, Baltimore has been a strong Over team historically in this exact spot — they’re 6-1 to the Over coming off a bye week. That trend reflects how their offense tends to come out sharper with extra preparation, while their defensive issues have persisted regardless of rest. With Chicago thriving on turnovers and Baltimore prone to giving up big plays, this game has the makings of a back-and-forth contest where both teams push into the 20s, making the Over 49.5 a logical play.
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