Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings, Odds, Preview, Picks and Prediction for Sunday, November 16, 2025
The NFL season rolls on as the week 11 slate brings action to the Twin Cities as a pair of squads from the NFC North search for a win when the Chicago Bears take on the Minnesota Vikings Sunday afternoon and we have you covered with our Bears vs. Vikings prediction. Chicago comes in off a 24-20 home victory over the Giants last Sunday, failing to cover the line as a 4.5-point favorite in their previous contest. Minnesota fell 27-19 at home to Baltimore last Sunday, failing to cover the line as a 4.5-point underdog in their previous contest. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Vikings own a 69-57-2 advantage and have taken the last three meetings, including a 27-24 win on the road in the first meeting this season, September 8. Read more about this Bears vs. Vikings prediction! Don’t get sacked this football season! Try our NFL Picks!
Bears Battling for Top Spot in NFC North
Chicago won their second straight and their sixth in the last seven games as they rallied to beat the Giants at home last Sunday. The Bears improved to 6-3 and were tied with the Lions for the top spot in the NFC North. Against New York, Chicago led 7-0 after the opening quarter, trailed 10-7 at the half and 17-10 after three quarters. The Bears were down 20-10 with 10:19 to play, but rallied to score two touchdowns in the final four minutes to earn the victory. Chicago was outgained 431-391 in total offense and lost time of possession by a 31:18 to 28:42 margin. The Bears did hold a 23-21 advantage in first downs and forced the game’s lone turnover.
On the season, the Bears are 11th in the league in passing offense with 232.4 yards per game, while they are 2nd in rushing by averaging 147.3 yards per contest. Chicago is 7th in the league in scoring offense with an average of 26.6 points per game, while they are 28th in scoring defense by allowing 27.4 points per contest. Caleb Williams is 188 of 293 passing for 2,136 yards with 13 touchdowns and four interceptions while ranking third on the team with 246 rushing yards and three scores. Tyson Bagent (three of four, 47 yards, seven rush yards) is the backup. D’Andre Swift leads the team with 113 carries for 544 yards and four scores on the year. Kyle Monangai contributes 75 carries for 390 yards and two scores as the second back. Rome Odunze (37 receptions, 559 yards, six TD) and Olamide Zaccheaus (32 catches, 248 yards, TD) are the top two pass catchers in terms of receptions. DJ Moore (30 grabs, 403 yards, TD), Swift (18 receptions, 192 yards, TD), Luther Burden III (16 catches, 222 yards, TD) along with tight ends Colston Loveland (21 grabs, 289 yards, two TD) and Cole Kmet (11 catches, 147 yards, TD) are solid targets in the passing game. Cairo Santos is 20 of 20 on extra points and 12 of 15 on field goal attempts with a long of 52 this season. Jake Moody is three of three on extra point attempts and eight of nine on field goal attempts with a long of 48 this season.
Key Injuries for Bears:
- LB T.J. Edwards (hand/hamstring) is out
- S Jaquan Brisker (back) is questionable.
- CB Jayon Johnson (groin) is questionable
Minnesota Trying to Gain Ground in Division
Minnesota lost for the third time in four games, falling to the Ravens at home in their previous game last Sunday. The Vikings fell to 4-5 on the year and stood last in the NFC North, two games behind the Lions and Bears for the top spot. Against Baltimore, Minnesota led 7-3 after the opening quarter and 10-3 in the second quarter before giving up 16 unanswered points to trail 19-10 midway through the third quarter. The Vikings never got closer than six the rest of the way. Minnesota rolled up a 365-321 advantage in total offense, lost the first down battle 23-18, dropped time of possession by a 32:35 to 27:25 margin and turned the ball over three times while not forcing a turnover.
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The Vikings are 22nd in the league in passing offense, averaging 197.8 yards per game through the air this season. Minnesota is 24th in the league in rushing offense as they average 102.1 yards per contest on the ground. The Vikings are 21st in the league in scoring offense by putting up 22.3 points per game this year. Minnesota has been average on defense, ranking 18th in scoring defense as they allow 23.7 points a contest. JJ McCarthy is 58 of 108 passing for 692 yards with five touchdowns and six interceptions while adding 110 yards plus two scores on the ground. He has been sacked 15 times. Carson Wentz (110 of 169, 1216 yards, six TD, five INT, 57 rush yards) and Max Brosmer (three of five, eight yards) are next on the depth chart. Jordan Mason leads the run game for the Vikings with 102 carries for 444 yards plus four scores. Aaron Jones Sr. (36 carries, 186 yards, TD) and Zavier Scott (21 carries, 69 yards) are valuable handcuffs in the ground game. Justin Jefferson leads the team with 51 receptions for 686 yards and two scores. Jalen Nailor (19 catches, 302 yards, five TD), Jones (10 grabs, 101 yards, TD), Jordan Addison (26 receptions, 392 yards, two TD), along with tight end T.J. Hockenson (31 grabs, 241 yards, two TD) and Josh Oliver (20 grabs, 242 yards, three TD) are valuable options. Will Reichard is 17 of 17 on extra point attempts and 18 of 20 on field goal attempts with a long of 58 this season.
Key Injuries for Vikings:
- LB Jonathan Greenard (shoulder) was limited on Wednesday and didn’t practice on Thursday. He's questionable
- C Ryan Kelly (concussion) is out
- CB Jeff Okudah (concussion) was placed on the IR.
Bears vs. Vikings Pick
Spread Pick for Bears vs. Vikings
- Bears +3 (4 units)
Chicago comes in tied for the top spot in the NFC North, and they have won six of their previous seven contests. Minnesota has been up and down this year, and McCarthy hasn’t really proven that he’s ready to be a starter at the NFL level. In addition, the Vikings’ defense has backslid from last season as they are now in the middle of the pack in scoring defense. Minnesota won the first meeting this season, but that was sparked by three fourth-quarter touchdowns. The Bears have been better since that game, while the Vikings continue to muddle along. Take the points and the visitors in this contest.
Over/Under Pick for Bears vs. Vikings
- Over 47.5 (4 units)
Chicago has seen the over post a 5-4 mark in their nine games on the year. The Bears have put up at least 25 points in five of their last seven games entering this contest, and they scored 24 last week against the Giants. Minnesota has gone over the mark in seven of their nine games on the year. The Vikings split their four games at home in relation to the total this season. We saw the first meeting between the teams this season go over the total as they combined for 51 points. Given how the Vikings have been over machines this season and the Bears being effective offensively while suspect defensively, this game winds up over the number.
