Cowboys vs. Raiders Odds, Preview, Picks, and Prediction for Monday, November 17, 2025
The Dallas Cowboys will face the Las Vegas Raiders on Monday at Allegiant Stadium in Week 11 NFL action, pitting a Cowboys team that's 1-4 on the road against a Raiders squad that's 1-3 at home. We have you ready to go with our Cowboys vs. Raiders prediction, preview, and picks.
Monday Night Football starts at 8:15 p.m. ET. The Cowboys are 3.5-point spread favorites, and the game total is 50 points scored.
This is the first time Dallas and Vegas have played since 2021, when the Raiders beat the Cowboys 36-33 in overtime. Dallas is 3-1 in the last four matchups (1-2-1 ATS), and the over was 2-2. If you want the Cowboys vs. Raiders prediction, read on and check out our NFL Picks to beat the sportsbooks!
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Cowboys vs. Raiders Matchup
Dallas was disappointing in its last game
Dallas (3-5-1 SU, 4-5 ATS, and 6-3 O/U) was off last week. The Cowboys hope the bye can spark a winning streak after losing three of their previous four games.
Dallas trailed early and couldn't mount a comeback against Arizona, turning the football over three times in the 27-17 loss. The Cowboys averaged 5.9 yards per carry, but weren't nearly as effective through the air (4.8 YPA). Journeyman QB Jacoby Brissett led the Cards with 261 passing yards and two touchdowns, as the Dallas secondary struggled to contain WR Marvin Harrison Jr. (seven receptions for 96 yards and one TD).
“We've got to figure out how we need to improve in all phases of the game,” said Cowboys QB Dak Prescott. “Special teams did a hell of a job getting us a touchdown, and that was the only spark I think in the game, especially in the first half.”
Prescott leads the Dallas offense with 2,319 passing yards, 17 touchdowns, and six interceptions. He has completed 69.3 percent of his passes, averaging 7.0 yards per attempt. Prescott's top receiving targets are WRs George Pickens (49 receptions for 764 yards and six scores) and CeeDee Lamb (35 receptions for 491 yards and one TD). Fifth-year pro Javonte Williams paces the Cowboys' ground game (139 carries for 716 yards and eight TDs).
Dallas scores 29.2 points per game (4th) and averages 378.4 total yards (4th), including 257.8 passing yards (3rd) and 120.7 rushing yards (13th). The Cowboys' defense surrenders 30.8 points (31st) and 397.4 total yards (31st), including 254.4 passing yards (29th) and 143.0 rushing yards (28th).
Raiders had ample opportunities against Denver
Las Vegas (2-7 SU, 3-5-1 ATS, and 3-6 O/U) lost 10-7 on the road to Denver in its last game (Nov. 6). The Raiders have dropped three straight and seven of eight since their Week 1 win over New England.
Vegas gave the division-leading Broncos all they could handle, but didn't make the winning plays. Neither team did much offensively, as the Raiders gained 188 yards and Denver had 220. Both teams were sloppy (11 penalties each), and combined to go 9-for-30 on third down. The visitors were especially inefficient through the air, as QB Geno Smith was 16-for-26 passing for 143 yards. The home team sacked him six times and picked him off once, rattling the hobbled 35-year-old signal-caller. Smith briefly came out for one play before returning. At the end of the game, he was seen limping to the locker room.
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“He wanted to go back in, and he wanted to finish the game for his team," Raiders coach Pete Carroll said. "He got whacked in the quad; he has a quad bruise. That’s his fight... To fight against these guys like that the whole night long and have a chance to tie the game up, and then what would have happened next? I don’t know, I think we would have won.”
Smith has passed for 1,844 yards with 11 touchdowns and 12 interceptions this season, completing 66.7 percent of his passes. His top receiving targets are WR Tre Tucker (34 receptions for 455 yards and four TDs) and TE Brock Bowers (32 receptions for 383 yards and three TDs). Las Vegas' run game is paced by rookie RB Ashton Jeanty (143 carries for 547 yards and four TDs).
The Raiders score 15.4 points per game (31st) and average 272.7 total yards (30th), including 185.2 passing yards (27th) and 87.4 rushing yards (29th). Las Vegas' defense allows 24.4 points (22nd) and 320.8 total yards (15th), including 214.2 passing yards (16th) and 106.6 rushing yards (15th).
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Key Injuries and Analysis for Cowboys vs. Raiders
Dallas Cowboys Football Injury Report:
- G Tyler Smith (knee) is questionable.
- S Donovan Wilson (elbow) is questionable.
- S Malik Hooker (toe) was back at practice after returning from the IL.
- DE Dante Fowler (2 sacks) is questionable.
Las Vegas Raiders Football Injury Report:
- No significant injuries to report, as the Raiders' key contributors were full participants in Friday's practice.
Cowboys vs. Raiders Pick and Preview
Spread Pick for Cowboys vs. Raiders
- Dallas -3.5 (5 Units)
Betting Trends: Prescott is 26-19-1 ATS in night games, including 14-8 ATS since 2021. He is also 18-12-1 ATS as a favorite in night games. Smith is 1-5 SU and ATS in primetime games since the start of the 2024 season, with the lone cover coming last game versus the Broncos.
Smith was coming off three productive seasons in Seattle, but his first year in Las Vegas hasn't gone as planned. The veteran signal-caller has three multi-interception games and was clearly banged up at the end of the Raiders' last game. His 34.7 QBR ranks 31st in the league this season. Jeanty hasn't been the difference-maker Las Vegas hoped when they drafted him sixth overall in the draft, either, as he's averaged less than four yards per carry in seven games, including four straight. I don't see how this Vegas offense can keep pace with Dallas'.
On the other side of the ball, the Cowboys should have success on the ground on Monday. The Raiders were stout against the run earlier in the season, but surrendered 387 rushing yards over the last three weeks (129/game), ranking 28th in defensive rush EPA and 31st in defensive rush success rate against. With a reliable complementary ground game, Prescott will wisely pick his spots, finding Pickens and Lamb for touchdowns en route to a win and cover.
Over/Under Pick for Cowboys vs. Raiders
- Over 50 (4 Units)
The over is 5-1 in Dallas' last six games. I lean towards that wager on the total in Monday night's clash with Las Vegas, as the Cowboys' offense should go over their team total, and their defense has been soft this season. While Smith and the Raiders' offense have not produced many points, the Dallas defense could make them look competent, especially with an extra week to prepare and rest. The Cowboys haven't been able to stop the run or the pass this year, and their defensive additions at the trade deadline aren't likely to have an immediate enough impact to change that.
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