Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders Predictions, Picks, Odds, and Line Movement for Christmas Day
Use Code WWWC Dallas vs Washington picks headline the NFL Christmas Day slate, and this matchup offers a clear betting angle for anyone digging into the market. With playoff implications on one side and uncertainty on the other, this game deserves a close look for bettors searching for value alongside the latest NFL picks.
Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread: Cowboys -6.5
- Total: Under 50.5
- Projected Final Score: Cowboys 27, Commanders 20
Odds and Line Movement
Opening Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Dallas | -3.5 | 51 |
| Washington | +3.5 | 51 |
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | -6.5 | 50.5 |
| Commanders | +6.5 | 50.5 |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Dallas | Washington | Public |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/23 | -7 | +7 | DAL 87% |
| 12/22 | -6.5 | +6.5 | DAL 89% |
| 12/21 | -5.5 | +5.5 | DAL 77% |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Over | Under | Public |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/22 | 50 | 50 | Over 94% |
| 12/21 | 49 | 49 | Even |
Key Matchups and Handicap
Dallas travels to Landover with a clear situational edge. Washington’s quarterback situation is the defining handicap in this game. With Jayden Daniels and Marcus Mariota both sidelined, the Commanders are expected to rely on veteran Josh Johnson, who has minimal recent game action. That limitation narrows Washington’s playbook and plays directly into Dallas’ defensive strength of forcing obvious passing downs.
The Cowboys can lean on a balanced offensive approach and let their defense dictate terms. Even with some injury concerns of their own, Dallas is in position to control tempo, win field position, and avoid unnecessary risk once ahead. Washington’s offensive line and defensive front are also dealing with multiple potential absences, making sustained drives and third-down conversions difficult.
Betting Trends (DAL vs WAS)
- Dallas has drawn over 75 percent of spread tickets throughout the week.
- The Cowboys are 10-5 to the over this season, but the total has ticked down.
- Washington has struggled to cover as a home underdog.
Key Injuries and Notes (DAL vs WAS)
- Washington is without Jayden Daniels and Marcus Mariota at quarterback.
- Dallas has several defensive players listed as limited but expected to play.
- Washington offensive line and defensive front depth are concerns.
ATS and Total Picks
- ATS: Cowboys -6.5
- Total: Under 50.5
Final Score Prediction
Cowboys 27, Commanders 20
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How to Bet
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