Dallas Cowboys vs. Denver Broncos Pick and Prediction for Sunday, October 26th, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Dallas Cowboys (3-3-1, 4-3 ATS, 5-2 O/U) take on the Denver Broncos (5-2, 2-4-1 ATS, 2-5 O/U) in an inter-conference showdown on Sunday afternoon, and we have you covered with the prediction. The Cowboys posted a home win against the Commanders last week. The Broncos came through with a narrow home win against the Giants in their previous action. These squads last met in the 2021 season in a game Denver won.
Can the Broncos extend their winning streak with a dominating home win on Sunday afternoon? Check out the Cowboys vs. Broncos prediction. Do you need a boost in your handicapping? Try our NFL Betting Picks!
Cowboys Attempt to Surpass .500 Mark
The Dallas Cowboys are attempting to climb above the .500 mark in this one. Dallas is having an inconsistent season due to the defense. They beat the Jets by 15 points to begin October. The squad dropped a 30-27 road meeting against the Panthers two weeks ago and answered with a dominating 44-22 home win against the Commanders last week in a clash that had the Cowboys marked as 1.5-point favorites. The Cowboys have covered the spread in three of their past five games.
Dak Prescott is having an outstanding season. The 32-year-old QB has posted 250 or more passing yards on five occasions this season. He has not thrown a pick since week three. Prescott had recorded 1881 passing yards and a 16:3 TD to INT ratio. The running game has been a threat. Javonte Williams has surpassed 100 yards in two of his past three games after 116 rushing yards last week. The 25-year-old running back has 592 rushing yards on the season.
Get Free $30 Credit for Premium Picks + Exclusive Discounts
Subscribe Now
George Pickens has brought in 60 or more receiving yards in all but two games. The 24-year-old WR earned 168 yards in the recent win against the Panthers and has amassed 607 yards on the year. Jake Ferguson has been sharp, posting 334 yards. The Dallas offender netted 409 yards last week. They are averaging 390 yards per game.
The Cowboys' defense is a work in progress. They kept the Commanders to only 341 yards last week, which is an encouraging step. They are squandering 401 yards per game on the season. The unit has conceded 22 or fewer points in two of its past three games. Linebacker Kenneth Murray Jr. leads the squad with 51 tackles. The pass defense is 32nd, while the rush defense is 30th. They are hoping to get CB Trevon Diggs (concussion) back, but he has not practiced yet as of Thursday and is not likely to play on Sunday.
Dallas is averaging 31.7 points on the season, ranking them second. The Cowboys are conceding an average of 29.4 points, pegging them 30th.
Broncos Extend Winning Streak in Home Win vs. Giants
The Denver Broncos are targeting their fifth consecutive win. Denver has been involved in several close games this month. They beat the Eagles by four points to kick off October. Next, they earned a 13-11 win against the Jets in week six. The Broncos had a wild one last week. They were down 19-0 in the third quarter and mounted a stunning comeback in a narrow 33-32 home win against the Giants, but obviously were not close to covering the big nine-point spread. The Broncos have covered the spread in one of three home games this season.
Bo Nix had one of his best outputs of the season last week, accumulating 279 passing yards. The 25-year-old QB has reached 300 passing yards in one game. Nix has racked up 1556 passing yards, accompanied by an 11:4 TD to INT ratio, and has added 172 yards on the ground.
J.K. Dobbins has been steady, netting 60+ rushing yards in six of seven games on the season. The 26-year-old running back posted 101 yards against the Bengals in late September and has 523 rushing yards on the year. Courtland Sutton should be targeted heavily against a subpar pass defense. The 30-year-old was targeted 10 times last week. Sutton has reported 469 receiving yards on the season. Marvin Mims has netted 234 yards. The Denver offense ended up with 407 total yards in the win last week. The offense is reporting an average of 347 yards per game.
The Broncos' defense is among the best in the NFL, although they struggled against a subpar offense last week, squandering 387 yards. This is a big difference compared to its season average of only 273 yards per game. They have conceded 23 or fewer points in seven of seven games. Alex Singteton leads the team with 59 tackles. Patrick Surtain II, who was the defensive player of the year last season, has broken up eight passes. The pass defense is stingy, ranking sixth, while the rush defense is rated ninth. LB Jonah Ellis (shoulder), who missed the last two games, could return this week.
Denver is averaging 23.3 points on the year, ranking them 17th. The Broncos are holding opponents to 18.1 points, placing them fifth.
Cowboys vs. Broncos Pick
Spread Pick for Cowboys vs. Broncos
- Denver Broncos -3.5 (5 units)
The Dallas Cowboys have been playing better recently, but it has been against weaker opposition. Two of their past three wins were against the Jets and Panthers, both of which have a losing record. The Cowboys are 1-3 on the road. The Denver Broncos are in a groove, attempting a fifth straight win in this one. They have beaten the Eagles in their winning streak and are undefeated at home.
Furthermore, Dallas opts for the run more than most teams. They have a daunting task against a stellar Broncos pass defense that is rated sixth in the entire NFL. Also, the potent Denver rushing offense is going to expose a poor Cowboys defense. Denver is averaging 132 rushing yards per game, ranking them sixth in the NFL. They will do big damage against the Cowboys' rush defense, which is ranked 30th.
Over/Under Pick for Cowboys vs. Broncos
- Over 51 (5 units)
I expect a shootout. Dallas has a potent offense that has netted 27 or more points in five of its past six games. This includes 62 points in their past two road games. The Broncos' defense was shaky in the win last week, giving up nearly 400 yards and 32 points against the Giants.
In addition, Denver has been generating big numbers at home, averaging 27 points per game this season, above their season average. Bo Nix recorded 279 passing yards last week and should have another mammoth output against a pass defense that is pegged last in the entire NFL. The Cowboys' defense surrendered 30 points against the Panthers in their previous road game. The over is 5-2 in the Broncos' past seven October games.
Betting on the NFL?
- Be sure to look our our list of the best NFL online sportsbooks
- Grow your bankroll by claiming one of our favorite NFL sportsbook promo codes
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
