Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions Prediction and Picks - December 4, 2025
It's Thursday Night Football, and we have a Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions Prediction ready to rock and roll. The Cowboys enter this game off a 31-28 home win over the Chiefs to move to 6-5-1 on the year. Detroit is now at 7-5 on the year after falling 31-24 at home to the Packers last week. These teams met last year and Detroit won that game 47-9 on the road. Can Dallas get revenge for that loss? Read on to see our Cowboys vs Lions prediction.
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Cowboys Squeak By The Chiefs
The Cowboys’ most recent game was a 31–28 Thanksgiving Day win over the Kansas City Chiefs, where Dak Prescott threw for 320 yards and two touchdowns, and CeeDee Lamb hauled in seven catches for 112 yards. Dallas leaned on its passing attack, with George Pickens adding 88 yards, and Malik Davis breaking off a 43‑yard touchdown run to swing momentum late in the second quarter.
Dallas has been the NFL’s most prolific passing offense, averaging 271.3 yards per game (1st) and 29.3 points per game (2nd). Prescott has thrown 25 touchdowns against just eight interceptions, and the duo of Lamb and Pickens has become one of the league’s toughest matchups for opposing secondaries. Javonte Williams balances the attack with 955 rushing yards and eight touchdowns, giving Dallas a credible ground game to complement its aerial fireworks. The offensive line has held up despite injuries, allowing Prescott to stay aggressive downfield.
Defensively, the Cowboys remain a paradox. They rank 31st in points allowed (28.5 per game) and 30th against the pass, but they’ve tightened up during their win streak, holding both Philadelphia and Kansas City under 400 total yards. Jadeveon Clowney’s return has added pass‑rush juice, and Kenneth Murray leads the team with 70 tackles. Still, turnovers have been scarce — just five takeaways all season (26th) — which leaves Dallas vulnerable in shootouts. Against Detroit’s balanced offense, the Cowboys will need their front seven to disrupt Jared Goff’s rhythm and limit Jahmyr Gibbs’ explosiveness.
Lions Fall To Packers At Home
Detroit’s last game was a 31–24 Thanksgiving Day loss to the Green Bay Packers, where Jared Goff threw for 256 yards and two touchdowns, but the Lions’ defense surrendered four passing scores to Jordan Love. Jameson Williams stepped up with a career‑high 144 receiving yards, yet the absence of Amon‑Ra St. Brown, who left with an ankle injury, loomed large. The Lions are now just 1-2 in their last three games.
The Lions’ offense has been one of the league’s most balanced, averaging 376.3 total yards (3rd) and 29.2 points per game (3rd). Goff has been efficient with 25 touchdowns and just five interceptions, while Gibbs has emerged as a star, rushing for 1,019 yards and 10 touchdowns at 5.8 yards per carry. David Montgomery adds power with six rushing scores, and Williams has become a legitimate deep threat. If St. Brown can return, Detroit’s passing game regains its full dimension, but even without him, the Lions have shown they can spread the ball around.
Defensively, Detroit has been solid, ranking 15th in points allowed (22.8) and 11th against the run (103.7 yards per game). Aidan Hutchinson leads the pass rush with 8.5 sacks, while rookie linebacker Jack Campbell has piled up 117 tackles. The secondary, however, has been banged up, with Kerby Joseph sidelined and cornerback Terrion Arnold on injured reserve. That vulnerability was exposed by Green Bay, and it will be tested again by Dallas’ top‑ranked passing attack. For the Lions to hold serve at home, their defensive front must pressure Prescott and force Dallas into mistakes, while Gibbs and Montgomery control tempo on the ground.
Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Earle Sports Bets | +2,298.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,840.00 |
| 3 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,757.00 |
| 4 |  David Hess | +1,745.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +987.00 |
Cowboys vs Lions Spread Pick
- Detroit -3 (4 Units)
The Lions -3 feels like the right side because Detroit has been one of the most balanced teams in the league all season. Even in their 31–24 Thanksgiving loss to Green Bay, Jared Goff threw for 256 yards and two touchdowns, and Jameson Williams stepped up with 144 receiving yards. Detroit averages 29.2 points per game (3rd in the NFL) and ranks top‑five in rushing at 138.1 yards per game, with Jahmyr Gibbs already over 1,000 yards and 10 touchdowns. That ground game, paired with Goff’s efficiency and a deep receiving corps, gives the Lions multiple ways to attack a Dallas defense that ranks 31st in points allowed and has struggled to generate turnovers.
On the other side, Detroit’s defense is far more reliable than Dallas’, allowing just 22.8 points per game compared to the Cowboys’ 28.5. Aidan Hutchinson leads a front that can pressure Dak Prescott, and the Lions’ run defense sits 11th in the league at 103.7 yards per game allowed, which should help them contain Javonte Williams. Dallas has the NFL’s top passing offense, but they’ve been inconsistent when forced into long drives, and Detroit’s ability to control tempo with Gibbs and Montgomery could keep Prescott off the field. With Ford Field rocking and the Lions playing with playoff urgency, laying the field goal at -3 looks like the sharper side.
Cowboys vs Lions Over/Under Pick
- Over 54.5 (4 Units)
The Over 54.5 looks like a strong angle because both Dallas and Detroit bring top‑tier offenses with defenses that have been shaky at times. The Cowboys lead the league in passing at 271.3 yards per game and average 29.3 points, while the Lions are right behind them at 29.2 points per game with a balanced attack that ranks top‑five in rushing. Dallas’ defense has been one of the worst in the NFL, allowing 28.5 points per game (31st), and Detroit has shown vulnerability in the secondary, giving up multiple big plays in recent weeks. With Dak Prescott and Jared Goff both capable of pushing tempo and weapons like CeeDee Lamb, Jameson Williams, and Jahmyr Gibbs on the field, this matchup has all the makings of a shootout that clears the 54.5 total.
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