Falcons vs. Jets, Odds, Preview, Picks and Prediction for Sunday, November 30, 2025

By: Kevin V. Published 11/28/2025, 03:10 AM ET
Atlanta Falcons vs New York Jets Picks and Prediction
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The Atlanta Falcons (4-7, 3rd NFC South) are on the road Sunday, visiting Rutherford, New Jersey, and MetLife Stadium to play the New York Jets (2-9, 4th AFC East). Atlanta defeated the New Orleans Saints 24-10 last time out, snapping a five-game losing streak. The Falcons are third in the NFC South and teetering on becoming Irrelevant in the postseason chase. New York lost to the Baltimore Ravens 23-10 last week. The Jets have lost two straight since winning their only two games of the season. New York is last in the AFC East and out of playoff contention. Make sure to read this in-depth Atlanta Falcons versus New York Jets prediction. Stay sharp this week with expert NFL picks for the Atlanta Falcons at the New York Jets prediction and crush the lines.

Atlanta needs more offense, while its defense is just average

The Atlanta Falcons are 26th in scoring, averaging 19.9 points per game, while 15th in points allowed at 22.6 points per game. Atlanta’s offense is 13th in rushing yards and 18th in passing yards per game. The Falcons average 329.7 yards of total offense per game, which is 18th. Atlanta’s defense is 26th in rushing yards allowed and 8th in passing yards allowed. The Falcons allow an average of 323.5 yards per game, which is 16th.

With starting quarterback Michael Penix Jr. out injured with a torn ACL, veteran Kirk Cousins has taken over as the signal caller. Cousins has 449 yards passing with two touchdowns and one interception. The offense is dictated by running back Bijann Robinson, who leads the Falcons with 853 yards and four touchdowns, and is the second leading receiver with 543 yards and two touchdowns. Drake London, who is doubtful for Sunday, is the leading receiver with 810 yards and six touchdown receptions. Linebacker Kaden Elliss leads Atlanta in tackles with 74. The Atlanta defense has made 39 sacks and intercepted nine passes.

Key Injuries for Falcons:

  • QB Michael Penix Jr (ACL) is out for the season.
  • OG Chris Lindstrom (foot) is questionable.
  • WR Drake London (knee) is doubtful.

Jets struggle on both sides of the line of scrimmage

The New York Jets are 26th in scoring at 19.9 points per game, while 26th in points allowed at 26.5 points per game. New York is 7th in rushing yards and 32nd or last in passing yards per game. The Jets average 281.5 yards of total offense per game, which is 29th. The New York defense is 10th in passing yards allowed and 23rd in rushing yards allowed. The Jets allow an average of 321.6 yards per game, which is 14th.

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New York has had a revolving door at quarterback this season, and currently, Tyrod Taylor is the starter, but Justin Fields could very well see action. Taylor has 601 yards passing with four touchdowns and four interceptions, while Fields has 1,259 yards passing with seven touchdowns and one interception. Breece Hall is the leading rusher with 766 yards and two touchdowns, while the leading receiver is Garrett Wilson, with 395 yards in four touchdowns, but Wilson is out injured. Hall is second in receiving with 301 yards and one touchdown reception. Linebacker Jamien Sherwood is the leading tackler with 102, which is 46 more than any other teammate. New York's defense has made 19 quarterback sacks and has not yet intercepted a pass.

Key Injuries for Jets:

  • DT Harrison Phillips (foot) is questionable.
  • C Joe Tippmann (personal) is questionable.

Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Jets Pick

Spread Pick for Falcons vs. Jets

  • Atlanta Falcons -2.5 (5 units)

The Atlanta Falcons will use a backup quarterback in Kirk Cousins, but that should not affect the outcome of this game, as the focus for Atlanta will be getting the ball into the hands of Bijan Robinson as often as possible. Atlanta’s leading receiver, Drake London, is doubtful for the game; therefore, Robinson is even more important as he is currently the second leading receiver as well as the leading rusher, making his play pivotal for the success of the offense. New York relies on running back Breece Hall, but the Jets will be without their leading receiver, Garrett Wilson, and Atlanta will focus on stopping the running game and Hall. Atlanta has covered the spread in four of the last six games against New York. The Jets have covered the spread in just two of the last seven games against a team from the NFC South and in just two of the last nine games played in November. New York is just 27th in scoring and 26th in points allowed, while Atlanta is slightly better at 26th in scoring but 15th in points allowed.

Over/Under Pick for Falcons vs. Jets

  • Under 39.5 (4 units)

Both teams are struggling to score, as both average 19.9 points. Both will also be without key players on offense as Atlanta’s leading receiver, Drake London, is doubtful, and New York's leading receiver, Garrett Wilson, is out. Neither starting quarterback began the season as the starter. The total has finished under in 13 of Atlanta’s last 20 games, and the total has finished under in four of the last five games that Atlanta has played on the road against New York.

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