Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings Picks and Prediction for Sunday, January 4th, 2025
The Green Bay Packers (9-6-1, 5-10-1 ATS, 8-7-1 O/U) take on the Minnesota Vikings (8-8, 8-8 ATS, 8-8 O/U) in an NFC North showdown on Sunday afternoon, and we have you covered with the prediction. The Packers dropped a road meeting against the Ravens last week. The Vikings posted a home win against the Lions in their recent action. Green Bay issued a 23-6 home win against the Vikings in November.
Can the Vikings finish the season with a winning record? Check out the Packers vs. Vikings prediction. Do you need a boost in your handicapping? Try our NFL Betting Picks!
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Green Bay Rests Key Players
The Green Bay Packers enter the last game of the regular season seeking 10 wins. Green Bay has already secured a playoff spot and will be a wildcard team, as the Bears have won the division. The Packers have been shaky late this season. They have dropped three games in a row. This includes a road defeat by the Broncos and a 22-16 OT defeat against the Bears two weeks ago. Next, the Packers sustained a 41-24 home loss to the Ravens last week. They were marked as the 2.5-point favorites. The Packets have covered the spread in two of their past five games.
Jordan Love did not play in the defeat last week due to an injury. The 27-year-old QB is having a strong season. He has reached 250 passing yards in six games and has recorded 3381 passing yards and a 23:6 TD to INT ratio. He will not play in this one. The running game is solid. Josh Jacobs has been quiet, managing just 39 yards in his past two games. The 27-year-old RB has issued 929 rushing yards on the season.
The receiving core has depth. Romeo Doubs has been consistent, posting 50 or more yards in nine games this season. The 25-year-old WR has netted 724 receiving yards on the year. Christian Watson is also a threat and has delivered 611 receiving yards. The Green Bay offense managed 363 total yards in the defeat to the Ravens last week. This brings their season average to 345 yards per game.
The Packers' defense is a strength. The group had its worst game of the season last week against Baltimore, surrendering 400+ yards. They are conceding an average of 309 yards per game. Quay Walker is having a stellar year, posting 128 tackles. The pass defense is marked seventh, while the rush defense is 15th.
Green Bay is averaging 24.3 points on the year, marking them 13th. The Packers are conceding an average of 21.5 points, placing them 11th in the NFL.
Minnesota Seeks Winning Record on Season
The Minnesota Vikings are attempting to finish the season with a winning record. Minnesota is enjoying its best strength of the season. They have won four of their past five games. This includes a 31-0 win against the Commanders and a 16-13 road win against the Giants. The success continued in a 23-10 home win against the Lions last Thursday in a bout that had the Vikings as seven-point dogs. The Vikings have covered the spread in four of their past five games.
J.J. McCarthy is dealing with a hand injury, and his status remains in question. The 22-year-old QB has managed 1450 passing yards and an 11:12 TD to INT ratio. If McCarthy is unable to play, Max Brosmer will be under center again. The 24-year-old QB posted just 51 yards against the Lions last week and has recorded 271 passing yards with zero TDs on the season.
Minnesota has a decent running game. Jordan Mason leads the squad with 665 rushing yards, but has an injury and is questionable. Aaron Jones has been steady. The 31-year-old running back has reached 50 yards in two straight games. Jones has amassed 548 rushing yards on the year.
Justin Jefferson has not been posting big numbers due to the injuries at QB. The 26-year-old star receiver has surpassed 100 yards in just two games this season and has registered 947 yards on the season. Jordan Addison is next up with 602 yards. Minnesota only posted 161 total yards against the Lions last week. This dips their season average to only 269.5 yards per game.
The Vikings' defense is a strength. They held a potent Detroit offense to only 231 total yards in the win last week. They are keeping opponents to an average of 292 yards per game. Blake Cashman has been outstanding. The linebacker leads the squad wth 137 tackles. The pass defense is ranked third, while the rush defense is not as strong, coming in at 22nd.
Minnesota is scoring an average of 20.5 points on the year, marking them 25th. The Vikings are conceding an average of 20.6 points, placing them ninth in the NFL.
Packers vs. Vikings Pick
Spread Pick for Packers vs. Vikings
- Minnesota Vikings -7 (5 units)
The Green Bay Packers have secured the last wildcard spot and cannot move up in the standings. This is a meaningless game for Green Bay and Minnesota. Green Bay has stated they will be resting key players to avoid injuries. The Minnesota Vikings are playing with confidence. The Vikings have won four straight games.
Furthermore, Green Bay QB Jordan Love will not play. Key players Josh Jacobs and Romeo Doubs are not expected to play either. Green Bay will have Clayton Tune under center. Tune has never been a starting QB and has yet to throw a TD as a backup. JJ McCarthy is questionable, but Minnesota beat Detroit with Max Brosmer at QB last week. Green Bay is going to have difficulties posting yards in the air. The Vikings have a stingy pass defense that stands third in the entire NFL.
Over/Under Pick for Pacers vs. Vikings
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Over 35.5 (5 units)
I expect this one to go over. This is the lowest total on the entire board this week. Green Bay scored 23 points in the first meeting against Minnesota. Love is not playing, but Green Bay only posted 141 passing yards in the first meeting anyway and still managed 23 points.
In addition, the Packers will be cautious with their defensive starters, and while some will be rested, others will only play a few series. Minnesota is in a groove in the offensive end, scoring 23 or more points in three of its past four games. The over is a convincing 6-1 in the Packers’ past seven road games.
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