Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans Preview, Odds, Picks and Prediction for Sunday, November 30th, 2025
Use Code WWWC Two teams headed in opposite directions square off Sunday in an AFC South rivalry matchup between the Jacksonville Jaguars (7-4) and the Tennessee Titans (1-10). Jacksonville is in the hunt for a division title, while Tennessee is limping through another rough season, and possibly another No. 1 pick in the draft.
This will be the first meeting between these teams of the season. The Jaguars have dominated the recent head-to-head series, winning five of the last six outright, including last year’s season sweep. Jacksonville has also covered the spread in four of those five victories against the Titans. Don't miss out on the free NFL selections at Winners and Whiners.
Just winning baby
The Jaguars enter this matchup at 7–4 and trending in the right direction after stacking back-to-back wins. Two weeks ago, they hammered the Chargers 35–6, then followed it up with a gritty 27–24 road victory over Arizona. Jacksonville has quietly become one of the better road teams in the AFC, sitting 3–2 outright away from home. While they’ve had stretches of inconsistency this season, the Jags have found ways to win close games and are building momentum towards the home stretch.
Offensively, Jacksonville sits right in the middle of the league but has been balanced. The Jags average 330.9 total yards per game (16th), with a strong run game leading the way at 128.1 yards per contest (10th). The passing attack has been less explosive at 202.8 yards per game (21st), and turnovers have been an issue with 14 giveaways, ranking 20th.
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Trevor Lawrence has battled through some ups and downs, ranking 25th in QBR (43.1) with 2,407 passing yards, 14 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. He’s made winning plays late in games, but his play so far makes it hard to trust the Jags as a true contender.
Defensively, Jacksonville is solid and occasionally even dominant, especially against the run. They’re allowing 323.8 total yards per game (16th) and own the league’s No. 1 run defense at just 83.8 yards allowed per contest. The pass defense has been more vulnerable, ranking 25th at 240 yards per game, and they are 15th, allowing 22.7 points per game
The Jags' defense has shone at creating extra possessions with 13 takeaways, tied for second in the league.
Key injuries for Jags:
- OG Patrick Mekhari (concussion) is out.
- OG Chuama Edoga (calf) is out.
- S Eric Murray (neck) was placed on the IR.
- DE Travon Walker (knee) is out.
Starting to cover but not winning
It’s been another brutal season for the Titans. They own the worst record in the NFL at 1–10, with their only win coming in that wild 22–21 comeback against Arizona. Since then, they’ve dropped six straight. The wins haven’t been there, but Tennessee has shown a little life at the window, covering three straight, including last week against Seattle. The Titans trailed 30–10 in the fourth quarter before sneaking through the back door on a one-yard touchdown pass with 43 seconds left. Even with that cover, they’re still just 7–21 ATS in their last 28 and remain winless at home at 0–6.
Offensively, Tennessee is near the bottom of every major metric. They rank dead last in total offense (247.7 yards per game), last in rushing (77.5), and 30th in scoring at just 15.2 points per game. Rookie quarterback Cam Ward has been predictably up and down, throwing for 2,210 yards with seven touchdowns, six interceptions, and a 33.6 QBR (30th) through 11 starts. He’s flashed ability, but the lack of protection, weapons, and run support has made his job harder than it should be.
Defensively, things aren’t much better. Tennessee is giving up 352.5 yards per game (26th) and allowing 27.5 points per game, ranking 29th in scoring defense.
Key Injuries for Titans:
- S Dan Moore Jr. (knee) is questionable.
- S Xavier Woods (hamstring) is questionable.
- R Elic Ayomanor (hamstring) is questionable.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans Predictions
Jaguars vs Titans ATS Pick:
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Jaguars -6 (4 units)
Tennessee has covered in its last three straight, but I’m still not ready to back them here. Last week’s cover had more to do with Seattle taking their foot off the gas than anything the Titans did. Jacksonville, on the other hand, is in a completely different spot—just one game behind the Colts in the AFC South, with Indy playing Houston this week. This is a major opportunity for the Jaguars to gain ground, and I expect them to come out focused and looking for a convincing win.
The matchup also favors Jacksonville. The Jags have the No. 1 rush defense in the NFL, which spells trouble for a Titans offense that already can’t run the ball. That puts everything on rookie Cam Ward’s shoulders, and that’s where Jacksonville’s defense can create havoc, pressure, and turnovers. The Titans have been scrappy lately, but this is a different level of opponent. I’m taking Jacksonville to win and cover the number.
Jaguars vs Titans Total Pick:
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Over 41.5 (5 units)
The number is simply too low. Jacksonville has scored 27+ points in four straight games, and even with how bad Tennessee’s offense is, four of their last five have gone over this total. The Jaguars have also been generating points with the help of special teams, and with Cam Ward likely forced to throw into an opportunistic defense, short fields and turnovers could easily set up more scoring chances.
Jacksonville isn’t immune to turnovers themselves, which could actually help Tennessee’s offense with shorter fields. And with the Titans likely trailing and unable to lean on the run, they’ll be forced into more possessions and more passing volume. Even if it’s ugly at times, I like the over.
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