Los Angeles Rams vs. Atlanta Falcons Picks and Prediction for Monday, December 29, 2025
It’s a battle of NFC teams in different situations in week 17 of the NFL schedule in Hotlanta as the Los Angeles Rams travel to take on the Atlanta Falcons on Monday Night Football and we have you covered with our Rams vs. Falcons prediction. Los Angeles fell 38-37 in overtime on the road last Thursday, covering the line as a two-point underdog. Atlanta comes in off a 26-19 road win over the Cardinals in their previous contest last Sunday, covering the line as a 2.5-point favorite. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Rams own a 49-28-2 advantage and have won the last two meetings, including a 31-27 home triumph in the most recent matchup September 18, 2022. Read more about this Rams vs. Falcons prediction! Don’t get sacked this football season! Try our NFL Picks!
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Rams Battling for NFC West Top Spot
Los Angeles had Seattle on the ropes but let things slip away before falling in overtime on the road last Thursday night. The Rams fell to 11-4 on the year and stood tied for second in the NFC West, one game behind the Seahawks for the top spot. They held the second wild card spot in the NFC playoff picture and have clinched a playoff spot. Against Seattle, Los Angeles trailed 7-3 after the opening quarter, led 13-7 at the half, 23-14 after three quarters and 30-14 with 13:34 remaining in regulation only to see Seattle rally to tie the game and force overtime. The Rams scored on a 41-yard TD pass from Matthew Stafford to Puka Nacua in overtime but the defense couldn’t get the stop on the ensuing possession, giving up a touchdown and two-point conversion to wind up with the loss. Los Angeles held a 581-415 advantage in total offense, picked up 26 first downs while allowing 22, controlled the clock by a 40:33 to 26:14 margin and forced three turnovers while not committing any, yet still lost.
The Rams are 2nd in the league in passing offense with an average of 270.5 yards per game through the air and 5th in rushing offense with an average of 126.3 yards per contest. Los Angeles is 1st in the league in scoring offense with an average of 30.5 points per contest while they are 6th in scoring defense by allowing an average of 19.9 points per game. Matthew Stafford has hit 341 of 519 passes for 4,179 yards with 40 touchdowns against five interceptions. He has been sacked 19 times on the season. Kyren Williams leads the team on the ground with 234 carries for 1,100 yards and 10 scores on the season. Blake Corum (126 carries, 669 yards, six TD) is the second back in the system. Puka Nacua (114 catches, 1592 yards, eight TD) is the team’s leading receiver. Davante Adams (60 receptions, 789 yards, 14 TD), Williams (30 grabs, 222 yards, three TD), Davis Allen (24 receptions, 208 yards, three TD), Colby Parkinson (33 grabs, 319 yards, six TD) and tight end Tyler Higbee (20 catches, 190 yards, two TD) are all valuable options in the passing game. Joshua Karty is 23 of 26 on extra point attempts and 10 of 15 on field goal attempts with a long of 51 this season. Harrison Mevis is 32 of 32 on extra point attempts and eight of nine on field goal attempts with a long of 52.
Key Injury Report for Rams:
- TBD
Atlanta Seeking to Play Spoiler
Atlanta won their second straight game as they beat Arizona on the road in their previous contest to head into this one with momentum. The Falcons improved to 6-9 on the year and stand third in the NFC South, two games behind the Panthers for the top spot. They have been eliminated from playoff contention. Against Arizona, Atlanta trailed 10-3 after one quarter, tied the game at 16 in the final minute of the first half and took a 19-16 lead after three quarters. The Falcons extended to a 26-16 edge in the fourth quarter and held the Cardinals at bay to earn the win. Atlanta owned a 342-320 edge in total offense, picked up 24 first downs while allowing 16 and owned a 35:34 to 24:26 margin in time of possession to offset turning the ball over twice while forcing just one in the victory.
On the year, the Falcons enter week 17 17th in passing offense with 215.9 yards per game while they are 8th in rushing offense by picking up 124.7 yards per contest. Atlanta is 26th in the league in scoring offense with an average of 20.5 points per game and stand 21st in the league by allowing 24 points per contest. Michael Penix Jr. is 166 of 276 passing for 1,982 yards with nine touchdowns and three interceptions while getting sacked 13 times this season. He adds 70 yards and a score on the ground. Kirk Cousins (135 of 217, 1415 yards, eight TD, four INT, six rush yards, TD) is the backup. Bijan Robinson leads the run game with 250 carries for 1,250 yards and six scores. Tyler Allgeier (126 carries, 475 yards, eight TD) and Nathan Carter (nine carries, 60 yards) are next in line. Drake London is second on the team with 63 catches for 837 yards plus six scores. Kyle Pitts Sr. (80 receptions, 854 yards, five TD), Darnell Mooney (27 catches, 388 yards, TD) and Robinson (71 grabs, 776 yards, three TD) are the only other players with more than 150 receiving yards on the year. Younghoe Koo was two of two on extra points and two of three on field goal attempt with a long of 41 before being cut. Parker Romo is 12 of 13 on extra points and 11 of 14 on field goal attempts with a long of 54 on the year. Zane Gonzalez is 13 of 14 on extra point attempts and 13 of 15 on field goal attempts with a long of 56 this season.
Key Injury Report for Falcons:
- TBD
Rams vs. Falcons Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tony Karpinski | +2,976.00 |
| 2 |  Joe Duffy | +2,595.00 |
| 3 |  The Insiders Room | +2,320.00 |
| 4 |  Mark Ruelle | +1,627.00 |
| 5 |  Jackie Mack | +1,451.00 |
Rams vs. Falcons Spread Pick
- Rams -7.5 (4 units)
Los Angeles is going to be motivated here as they are steaming after falling last week to the Seahawks. The Rams are still battling for the top spot in the NFC West and the top seed in the conference but they need to win and get some help. Atlanta has won two straight entering this contest but they are out of playoff contention. The Falcons are below average at both putting points on the board and stopping the opposition from scoring. Los Angeles leads the league in scoring offense and they should take advantage of Atlanta’s issues. Take the Rams in this one as they pick up the road victory.
Rams vs. Falcons Over/Under Pick
- Over 49.5 (4 units)
Los Angeles saw the over post an 8-6-1 mark in their 15 games this season. On the road, the Rams have seen the over post a 6-2 mark and scored at least 26 points in seven of those contests. Los Angeles has hung at least 33 points in five of their eight road tilts. Atlanta has seen the over post a 7-7-1 mark on the season. The Falcons have seen the over post a 3-2-1 mark in their six home games entering this contest. Atlanta has seen the over post a 6-2 mark in their last eight games entering this contest. Look for the Rams to put up 30-plus points again here to help push this game over the total.
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