Miami Dolphins vs. Atlanta Falcons, Picks and Prediction, Sunday, October 26, 2025
Use Code WWWC Miami (1-6) will be trying to snap their three-game losing streak when they visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday afternoon to face Atlanta (3-3) at 1 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Dolphins vs. Falcons prediction. Don’t get penalized. Increase your bankroll with our NFL Picks!
The Dolphins are coming off a 31-6 loss to Cleveland as 2.5-point underdogs. The Falcons are coming off a 20-10 loss to San Francisco as one-point favorites.
Atlanta and Miami split their last 10 meetings. The Falcons won the last meeting in 2021, 30-28.
Miami Looking For First Road Win
The Dolphins followed up their win over the Jets with losses to the Panthers, Chargers, and Browns. They have lost four straight road games, and will try to put an end to both streaks with a win on Sunday.
Get Free $30 Credit for Premium Picks + Exclusive Discounts
Subscribe Now
Miami averages 20 points per game, which is 25th in the league. They throw for 186.6 yards and rush for 92.4 yards per game.
Tua Tagovailoa has completed 68 percent of his passes for 1,313 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions and was pulled late in the game for rookie Quin Ewers. Tagovailoa produced of passer rating of 24.1 and was picked off three times against the Browns. DeVon Achane leads the team with 89 carries for 472 yards and three touchdowns, while Jaylen Waddle leads the team with 30 catches for 405 yards and three touchdowns.
Miami is giving up 29.3 points per game, which is 29th in the league. They’re giving up 203.9 passing yards and 159.3 rushing yards per game. They are also 29th in rushing yards allowed per attempt (5.2).
Atlanta Trying To Bounce Back From Loss
The Falcons had their two-game winning streak snapped by the 49ers in their last game. They will try to bounce back from the loss and pick up their third win in their last four games when they play on Sunday.
Atlanta averages 18.3 points per game, which is 28th in the league. They throw for 228 yards and rush for 136.3 yards per game.
Michael Penix Jr. has completed 61 percent of his passes for 1,409 yards, five touchdowns, and three interceptions. Pennix Jr. has been limited in practice after suffering a bone bruise against the 49ers and is listed as questionable. RB Bijan Robinson leads the team with 97 carries for 524 yards and two touchdowns, while Drake London leads the team with 38 catches for 469 yards and two touchdowns.
Atlanta is giving up 20 points per game, which is eighth in the league. They’re giving up 141.2 passing yards and 124 rushing yards per game. They rank second in the NFL in total defense, allowing 265.2 yards per game. However, they lost linebacker Divine Deablo to a fractured forearm against the 49ers and is listed as doubtful. He has 24 tackles and one fumble recovery this season.
Dolphins vs. Falcons Picks
Point Spread Pick for Dolphins vs. Falcons
- Atlanta Falcons -7.5 (4 Units)
The Falcons have won two of their last three home games, while the Dolphins have lost four straight road games. Atlanta has the edge here because they have one of the best ground games in the league, led by Robinson, and they’re facing the worst run defenses in the league, so expect them to feed Robinson a lot in this game.
Miami won’t be as successful offensively because their offense is one of the worst in the league. They are also pretty dysfunctional right now on both sides of the ball. They won’t be able to move the ball effectively through the air because the Falcons have one of the best pass defenses in the league, and they will also have trouble moving the ball on the ground, so don’t expect them to do much offensively in this game. Take Atlanta to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for Dolphins vs. Falcons
- Under 44.5 (4 Units)
The Falcons played under the total in five of their last six games. Atlanta averages 18.3 points per game. They run the ball 46 percent of the time with the fourth-best ground game in the league, and they’re facing a team that is 32nd against the run, and is giving up 29.3 points per game. The Dolphins average 20 points per game. They throw the ball 63 percent of the time with the 26th-ranked passing attack in the league, and they’re facing a team that has the best pass defense in the league and is giving up 20 points per game. Don’t expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total. The Dolphins and Falcons played under the total in four of their last six meetings.
Betting on the NFL?
- Be sure to look our our list of the best NFL online sportsbooks
- Grow your bankroll by claiming one of our favorite NFL sportsbook promo codes
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
