Miami Dolphins vs. Carolina Panthers, Picks and Prediction, Sunday, October 5, 2025

Miami (1-3) will be trying to pick up their first road win of the season when they visit Bank of America Stadium on Sunday afternoon to face Carolina (1-3) at 1 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Dolphins vs. Panthers prediction. When it comes to pro football picks, our NFL Predictions are stellar.

The Dolphins are coming off a 27-21 win over the Jets as 2.5-point favorites. The Panthers are coming off a 42-13 loss to New England as 5.5-point underdogs.

Miami is 6-2 in eight games against Carolina. The Dolphins won the last meeting in 2023, 42-21.

Miami Going For Second Consecutive Win

The Dolphins snapped their three-game losing streak with a win over the Jets on Monday night, putting an end to their winless streak to start the season. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their second straight win when they play on Sunday.

Miami averages 20.8 points per game, which is 22nd in the league. They throw for 188.3 yards and rush for 98 yards per game.

Tua Tagovailoa has completed 69 percent of his passes for 752 yards, seven touchdowns, and four interceptions. De’Von Achane leads the team with 50 carries for 246 yards and one touchdown, while Tyreke Hill leads the team with 21 catches for 265 yards and one touchdown. He suffered a significant knee injury against the Jets and is expected to miss the remainder of the season. The loss of Hill means that Jaylen Waddle will need to step up at wide receiver, while veteran TE Darren Waller, just coming out of retirement, will also be a primary target. Waller caught three passes on Monday night, including two for touchdowns. However, he's been limited in practice due to a hip issue. Miami's running game will also need to be more productive.

Miami is giving up 29.5 points per game, which is 26th in the league. They’re giving up 220.8 passing yards and 158 rushing yards per game.

Carolina Trying To Bounce Back From Loss

The Panthers followed up their 30-0 win over Atlanta with a 42-13 loss to the Patriots in their last game. QB Bryce Young was held to just 150 yards passing, and was benched late in the game for veteran Andy Dalton when it was out of reach. Dalton went 5 for 6 and threw for 58 yards and a TD.

Carolina averages just 18.8 points per game, which is 26th in the league. They throw for 189 yards and rush for 100.3 yards per game.

Bryce Young has completed 60.4 percent of his passes for 753 yards, five touchdowns, and three interceptions. Chuba Hubbard leads the team with 53 carries for 217 yards, while Tetairoa McMillan leads the team with 18 catches for 278 yards. Hubbard is dealing with a calf injury and might not play in this game.

Carolina is giving up 23.8 points per game, which is 19th in the league. They are giving up 198.3 passing yards and 1298.3 rushing yards per game.

Dolphins vs. Panthers Pick

Point Spread Pick for Dolphins vs. Panthers

• Carolina Panthers +1 (4 Units)

Both teams have lost three of their last four games. Carolina has the edge here because they’ve been able to run the ball consistently, even if Hubbard doesn't play, and they’re facing a team that is the third-worst in the league at defending the run. They should be the fresher team as well, with Miami coming off a short week. Even though they don't have a great passing game, they will also be able to throw the ball against a Miami team that is giving up more than 220 passing yards per game, so expect the Dolphins to have a hard time slowing them down.

Miami won’t be as successful offensively because they have one of the worst ground games in the league, and their passing game, which also isn't very good, just lost one of their best weapons in Hill. The Panthers have one of the best secondaries in the league, and they’re holding opponents under 200 yards per game, so expect them to keep Miami’s offense in check. Go with Carolina to cover the spread.

Over/Under Pick for Dolphins vs. Panthers

• Over 44.5 (4 Units)

The Dolphins played over the total in four of their last five games, while the Panthers played over the total in two of their last three games. Miami averages 20.8 points per game. They throw the ball 61 percent of the time with the 22nd-ranked passing attack in the league. They are facing a defense that is 10th against the pass and is giving up 23.8 points per game. The Panthers average 18.8 points per game. They throw the ball 60 percent of the time with the 21st-ranked passing attack in the league. They are facing a team that ranks 20th against the pass and is allowing 29.5 points per game, so expect them to score enough points to push the score over the total. The Dolphins and Panthers played over the total in their last three meetings.