Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets, Odds, Preview, Picks and Prediction for Sunday, December 7th, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Miami Dolphins (5-7, 6-6 ATS, 6-5-1 O/U) take on the New York Jets (3-9, 8-4 ATS, 7-5 O/U) in a divisional meeting on Sunday afternoon, and we have the prediction. The Dolphins posted a home win against the Saints last week. The Jets recorded a home win against the Falcons in their previous action. The Dolphins issued a 27-21 home win against the Jets in September.
Can the Jets register a second straight win on Sunday afternoon? Check out the Dolphins vs. Jets prediction. Do you need a boost in your handicapping? Try our NFL Betting Picks!
Dolphins Eye Sixth Win of Season
The Miami Dolphins are targeting their sixth win of the season. Miami is enjoying its best stretch of the season, winning three straight games led by the defense. The Dolphins posted an upset home win against the Bills to begin the winning streak. They defeated the Commanders 16-13 two weeks ago and recorded a 21-17 home win against the Saints last week to cover the five-point spread. The Dolphins have covered the spread in three of their past five games.
Tua Tagovailoa doesn’t attempt a ton of passes. The 27-year-old QB has posted 205 or fewer yards in five of his past six games. He had 157 yards last week and has delivered 2280 passing yards and a 17:14 TD to INT ratio. De’Von Arcane has been a beast, amassing 100 + yards in three straight games. He netted 134 yards last week and has 1034 rushing yards on the season. The receiving core is subpar. Jaylen Waddle is targeted heavily. The veteran WR has netted 52 or more yards in four of his last five games and has 762 yards on the year. Malik Washington has 265 receiving yards. The Miami offense recorded 298 yards last week. They are averaging 300 yards per game.
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The Dolphins' defense has come through with big efforts in the winning streak. They have conceded 17 or fewer points in four of their past five games. They kept New Orleans to only 294 yards last week. This brings their season average to 345 yards per game. Jordyan Brooks has been one of the best linebackers, making 137 tackles. The pass defense is 15th while the rush defense is marked 29th.
Miami is averaging 20.6 points on the year, ranking them 25th. The Dolphins are keeping opponents to 23.9 points, placing them 19th in the NFL.
Key injuries for Dolphins:
- C Aaron Brewer (ankle/neck) is questionable.
Jets Defeats Falcons in Third Win of Season
The New York Jets are searching for their third win of the season. New York is having another disastrous season. There is some hope considering the Jets have a strong defense and have managed three wins in their past five games. New York sustained a defeat by the Patriots in week 11. The defense was decent in a 23-10 road defeat against the Ravens two weeks ago. Next, the Jets posted a big 27-24 home win against the Falcons last week. They were tabbed as three-point dogs. The Jets have covered the spread in five straight games.
Tyrod Taylor has been under center in the past two games. The veteran QB posted 222 yards against the Ravens and only 172 yards in the defeat last week. Taylor has recorded 773 passing yards and a 5:4 TD to INT ratio in five games. Justin Fields is healthy, but is benched. He has 1259 passing yards with seven TDs against one pick.
Breece Hall has been a threat. He has rushed for more than 50 yards in four of his past five games, including 68 yards last week. The 24-year-old running back has netted 834 yards on the season. The Jets have a weak receiving group. Garrett Wilson has missed the last few games. He is on the IR and will not play. The 25-year-old receiver leads the squad with 395 receiving yards. John Metchie had 19 receiving yards in the win last week. The 25-year-old WR was acquired by the Jets last month. He has 132 receiving yards. The New York offense managed 269 yards last week. They are posting an average of 280 yards per game.
The Jets' defense is below average after trading away some key pieces. They were shaky last week against the Atlanta offense, squandering 390 yards. They are keeping opponents to 327 yards per game. Jamie Sherwood leads the team with 106 tackles. They have conceded 23 or more points in five of their past six games. The pass defense is a strength, ranking 10th, while the rush defense is pegged 25th.
New York is posting an average of 20.5 points on the season, ranking them 25th. The Jets are conceding an average of 26.3 points, pegging them 26th in the NFL.
Key injuries for Jets:
- Backup QB Justin Fields (knee) is questionable.
- CB Jermain Johnson (ankle) is questionable. Has 17 tackles and 3 sacks.
- S Tony Adams (groin) is questionable. Has 28 tackles.
- CB Jarvis Brownlee Jr. (hip) is out. Has 35 tackles.
Dolphins vs. Jets Pick
Spread Pick for Dolphins vs. Jets
- New York Jets +2.5 (5 units)
The Miami Dolphins have been winning games in the past month, but their past three wins have all been at home. It’s been a different story on the road. They have only managed one road win on the season. The New York Jets are playing with confidence. They have won three of their past five games, including a home win against the Falcons last week. They covered the spread in the two defeats in that span.
Furthermore, New York has a potent running game that stands eighth in the NFL. This is key against a weak Dolphins rush defense. The Dolphins are squandering an average of 137 rushing yards per game, pegging them 29th in the entire NFL. Also, Miami has a subpar passing offense and has a daunting task against a Jets' defense that keeps opponents to only 196 passing yards per game, which ranks them 10th.
Over/Under Pick for Dolphins vs. Jets
- Under 42 (5 units)
I expect this one to go under. Miami has been contained in the past few weeks. They only scored 16 and 21 points in their last two games against the Commanders and Saints. Miami has a slow offense that stands 30th in the NFL in offensive plays per game.
In addition, New York will run more than pass and have extended possessions. They stand 23rd in plays per game. The Dolphins 'defense has been outstanding this past month. They have conceded 17 or fewer points in four of their past five games. The under is 5-0 in the Dolphins' past five games.
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