Monday Night NFL Power Props For Chiefs vs Jaguars
Use Code WWWC We’re scorching hot with a 9-2-1 run on our last 12 props, and the momentum carries into Monday Night Football as Kansas City takes on Jacksonville. Three high-value props are locked in, each backed by matchup data, usage trends, and recent performance. The board is full of opportunity, making this the perfect chance to keep the streak alive and close Week 5 with another winning night. Don’t miss out—jump on board and cash in!
Top MNF Prop Bets Today
- Under 5 Total Touchdowns (-130)
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Patrick Mahomes Under 248.5 Yards Passing (-113)
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Travis Etienne 60+ Rushing Yards (-148)
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
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MNF Best Bet #1: Under 5 Total Touchdowns
This Under 5 Total Touchdowns prop is supported by a convergence of matchup dynamics and historical trends that point toward a lower-scoring affair. Jacksonville has gone just 2–14 to the Under in home games following a West Coast road trip, and 1–10 to the Under after a non-conference road game—both setups that tend to suppress offensive rhythm. Kansas City, meanwhile, is 1–9 to the Under as a road favorite of 7 points or fewer over the last four seasons, and just 2–8 to the Under in its last 10 Monday Night appearances. These aren’t just totals trends—they reflect touchdown scarcity in primetime and travel-fatigue spots.
The broader market data adds even more weight: in the last five years, when a road team is favored by more than 1 point but less than 10 and the total is under 50, the Under has hit in 21 of 24 games. That’s a 3–21 Over record, with most of those games finishing under five total touchdowns. Both defenses rank top 10 in red zone efficiency, and Kansas City has leaned on ball control and field goals more than explosive scoring in road games this season. With playoff-style pacing, travel drag, and situational trends all aligned, Under 5 Total Touchdowns is a sharp prop with strong historical backing.
Also see: Chiefs vs Jaguars Prediction
MNF Best Bet #2: Patrick Mahomes Under 248.5 Passing Yards
Patrick Mahomes has gone over 248.5 passing yards in three of four games this season, averaging 267.25 yards per outing. His lone miss came in Week 3 against the Giants, where he finished with 226. But Monday night’s matchup against Jacksonville presents a tougher path to clearing that number. The Jaguars have allowed 233.5 passing yards per game through four weeks and rank top 10 in red zone defense, forcing opponents to settle for field goals rather than touchdowns.
Mahomes is completing just 61.3% of his passes and averaging 6.9 yards per attempt—both below his career norms—and Kansas City has leaned more on the run game, averaging 108.0 rushing yards per contest. Historically, the Chiefs are just 2–8 to the Under in their last 10 Monday Night Football appearances, and Mahomes has failed to reach 250 passing yards in six of those games. With Jacksonville’s scheme built to limit explosive plays and control tempo, the setup favors a more conservative script, making Under 248.5 a sharp, matchup-driven prop.
MNF Best Bet #3: Travis Etienne 60+ Rushing Yards
Travis Etienne to record 60+ rushing yards is a high-probability prop backed by both volume and matchup metrics. Etienne enters Monday night averaging 98.5 rushing yards per game through four weeks, ranking top five in the NFL in total ground production. He’s cleared 56 yards in every game this season and has done so with consistency—averaging 6.1 yards per carry and handling 16.3 touches per game. Kansas City’s defense ranks 22nd against the run, allowing 127 rushing yards per game and struggling to contain explosive backs in space. With Jacksonville likely leaning on ball control to keep Patrick Mahomes off the field, Etienne’s workload should remain heavy.
Game script also favors the prop. If the Jaguars keep it close or play from ahead, Etienne will be the centerpiece of their offensive rhythm. Even in trailing scenarios, he’s remained involved thanks to his versatility and ability to break chunk gains. Kansas City has allowed 60+ rushing yards to four different backs already this season, and Etienne’s combination of vision, burst, and usage makes him a strong candidate to extend that trend. With the number sitting well below his season average and the matchup tilting toward ground success, Etienne Over 60+ rushing yards is a sharp, data-backed play.
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