Saints vs. Dolphins, Picks and Prediction, Sunday, November 30, 2025
New Orleans (2-9) will be going for their second consecutive road win when they visit Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday afternoon to face Miami (4-7) at 1 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Saints vs. Dolphins prediction. If you need quality winners, this is the ultimate site for NFL Picks.
The Saints are coming off a 24-10 loss to Atlanta as 1.5-point favorites. The Dolphins are coming off a 16-13 win over Washington as 2.5-point favorites.
New Orleans is 5-4 in nine games against Miami. The Dolphins won the last meeting in 2021, 20-3.
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Saints Trying To Bounce Back From Loss
The Saints followed up their win over Carolina with a loss to the Falcons in their last game. They will try to bounce back from the loss and pick up their second straight road win when they play on Sunday.
New Orleans averages 15 points per game, which is 31st in the league. They throw for 205.3 yards and rush for 91.5 yards per game.
Tyler Shough has completed 64.3 percent of his passes for 829 yards, three touchdowns, and three interceptions since he took over as the starter. Alvin Kamara leads the team with 131 carries for 471 yards and one touchdown, while Chris Olave leads the team with 69 catches for 734 yards and four touchdowns.
New Orleans is giving up 24.9 points per game, which is 22nd in the league. They’re giving up 192.5 passing yards and 123.5 rushing yards per game.
Key injuries for New Orleans:
- WR Chris Olave (back) is questionable.
- RB Alvin Kamara (knee) is out.
Dolphins Going For Third Consecutive Win
The Dolphins bounced back from their three-game losing streak with three wins in their last four games. They won their last two games and will try to keep the momentum going with another win on Sunday.
Miami averages 20.5 points per game, which is 24th in the league. They throw for 187.5 yards and rush for 112.8 yards per game.
Tua Tagovailoa has completed 68 percent of his passes for 2,123 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 13 interceptions.DeVon Achane leads the team with 164 carries for 900 yards and five touchdowns, while Jaylen Waddle leads the team with 49 catches for 722 yards and five touchdowns.
Miami is giving up 24.5 points per game, which is 21st in the league. They’re giving up 207.2 passing yards and 142.6 rushing yards per game.
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Key injuries for Dolphins:
CB Rasul Douglas (foot) is questionable.
DT Denito Jones (ankle) is questionable.
Saints vs. Dolphins Picks
Point Spread Pick for Saints vs. Dolphins
- Miami Dolphins -5.5 (4 Units)
The Dolphins have won three of their last four games, while the Saints have lost five of their last six games. Miami has the edge here because they’re playing better offensively. They’ve run the ball well in recent games, and they’re facing a team that has been unable to stop the run this season, so expect them to keep the ball on the ground.
The Dolphins will have a hard time keeping up offensively because they have one of the worst ground games in the league, and they throw the ball more than they would like to. The Dolphins don’t have to worry about the Saints beating them on the ground, which will allow them to keep pressure on Shough and force him to make costly mistakes. Go with Miami to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for Saints vs. Dolphins
- Under 41.5 (4 Units)
The Saints played under the total in their last seven games, while the Dolphins played under the total in their last four games. New Orleans averages 15 points per game. They throw the ball 60 percent of the time with the 20th-ranked passing attack in the league, and they’re facing a team that is 12th against the pass and is giving up 24.5 points per game. The Dolphins average 20.5 points per game. They throw the ball 58 percent of the time with the 26th-ranked passing attack in the league, and they’re facing a team that is ninth against the pass and is giving up 24.9 points per game. Don’t expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total. The Dolphins and Saints played under the total in their last two meetings.
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