Saints vs. Buccaneers, Preview, Picks and Prediction, Sunday, December 7, 2025

By: Bosun Akinpelu Published 12/05/2025, 11:05 PM ET
Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield
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New Orleans (2-10) will be trying to pick up their second road win of the season when they visit Raymond James Stadium on Sunday afternoon to face Tampa Bay (7-5) at 1 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Saints vs. Buccaneers prediction and NFC South matchup. They're calling for rain and mid-70s on Sunday afternoon from Tampa. Want more NFL winners? Check out our award-winning NFL Predictions.

The Saints are coming off a 21-17 loss to Miami as 5.5-point underdogs. The Buccaneers are coming off a 20-17 win over Arizona as 4.5-point favorites. Tampa Bay is an 8.5-point favorite and the total is 42.5.

Tampa Bay is 7-3 in its last 10 games against New Orleans.

Saints Trying To Snap Two-Game Losing Streak

The Saints followed up their win over Carolina with losses to Atlanta and Miami. They will try to snap their losing streak and pick up their second road win of the season when they play on Sunday.

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New Orleans averages 15.2 points per game, which is 30th in the league. They throw for 205.9 yards and rush for 90.7 yards per game.

Tyler Shough has completed 65 percent of his passes for 1,068 yards, five touchdowns, and four interceptions. Alvin Kamara leads the team with 131 carries for 471 yards and one touchdown, while Chris Olave leads the team with 73 catches for 781 yards and five touchdowns.

New Orleans is giving up 24.6 points per game, which is 22nd in the league. They’re giving up 187.7 passing yards and 126.9 rushing yards per game.

Injuries: S-Jonas Sanker (Head), WR-Chris Olave (Back), T-Taliese Fuaga (Ankle), RB-Alvin Kamara (Knee), and S-Justin Reid (Knee) are questionable for this game.

Bucs Going For Second Consecutive Win

The Buccaneers snapped their three-game losing streak with a win over the Cardinals in their last game. Despite their recent slump, they are still on top of the NFC South standings, with a half-game lead over Carolina, who is 7-6. They will try to increase their division lead and pick up their second straight win when they play on Sunday.

Tampa Bay averages 23.3 points per game, which is 17th in the league. They throw for 206.3 yards and rush for 109.8 yards per game.

Baker Mayfield has completed 63 percent of his passes for 2,600 yards, 19 touchdowns, and five interceptions. Rachaad White leads the team with 106 carries for 421 yards and four touchdowns, while Emeka Egbuka leads the team with 52 catches for 791 yards and six touchdowns.

Tampa Bay is giving up 25.1 points per game, which is 23rd in the league. They’re giving up 247.5 passing yards and 97.4 rushing yards per game.

Injuries: WR-Chris Goodwin (Leg), QB-Baker Mayfield (Shoulder), T-Tristan Wirfs (Oblique, RB-Bucky Irving (Shoulder), G-Mike Jordan (Knee), G-Ben Bredeson (Hamstring), Dan Feeney (Illness), C-Graham Barton (Illness), and CB-Benjamin Morrison Hamstring) are questionable for this game.

New Orleans:

  • 2-5 ATS last 7 games.
  • 8-0 Under last 8 games.
  • 10-5 ATS last 15 against Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay:

  • 1-5 ATS last 6 games.
  • 6-2 Under last 8 vs. Saints.

Saints vs. Buccaneers Picks

Point Spread Pick for Saints vs. Bucs

  • Tampa Bay Bucs -8.5 (4 Units)

The Bucs have won two of their last three home games, while the Saints have lost two of their last three road games. Tampa Bay has the edge here because they play well offensively at home. They have a good passing game, and the return of Irving to the lineup has bolstered their ground game. They are facing a Saints team that has been unable to stop the run, so expect them to keep the ball on the ground.

The Saints won’t be as successful offensively because they’re one-dimensional, with an average passing game and one of the worst ground games in the league. The Buccaneers don’t have to worry about the Saints running the ball against them, which will allow them to keep pressure on Shough and force him to make costly mistakes. Go with Tampa Bay to cover the spread.

Over/Under Pick for Saints vs. Buccaneers

  • Under 42.5 (4 Units)

The Saints played under the total in their last eight games, while the Buccaneers played under the total in their last two games. New Orleans averages 15.2 points per game. They throw the ball 60 percent of the time with the 20th-ranked passing attack in the league, and they’re facing a team that is 29th against the pass and is giving up 24.4 points per game at home. The Buccaneers average 23.3 points per game. They throw the ball 57 percent of the time with the 19th-ranked passing attack in the league, and they’re facing a team that is seventh against the pass and gave up 17.7 points per game in their last three games. Don’t expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total. The Buccaneers and Saints played under the total in six of their last eight meetings.

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