New York Jets at New Orleans Saints Picks and Prediction for Sunday, December 21, 2025

By: Kevin V. Published 12/19/2025, 10:30 AM ET
Use Code WWWC

On Sunday, in a matchup between two teams that have been eliminated from postseason contention, the New York Jets (3-11, 4th AFC East) visit Caesars Superdome to play the New Orleans Saints (4-10, 4th NFC South). New York lost to the Jacksonville Jaguars 48-20 last Sunday. The Jets have lost two straight and four of the last five. New York is last in the AFC East. New Orleans defeated the Carolina Panthers 20-17 last week and has won each of the last two, but it's too little too late as the Saints are last in the NFC South. Make sure to read this in-depth New York Jets vs New Orleans Saints prediction. Ready for action? Check out our free NFL picks for the New York Jets at New Orleans Saints prediction and score big!

New York is playing poorly on both sides of the line of scrimmage

The New York Jets score an average of 19.7 (27th) points per game. The Jets are 7th in rushing yards and 32nd or last in passing yards per game. New York averages 275.5 yards of total offense per game, which is 29th. New York allows an average of 28.4 (30th) points per game. The Jets are 12th in passing yards allowed and 29th in rushing yards allowed. New York gives up an average of 337.4 yards per game, which is 20th.

Rookie quarterback Brady Cook will start his second consecutive game for New York on Sunday. Cook has 339 yards passing with one touchdown and five interceptions. The focal point of New York’s offense all season has been Breece Hall. The running back leads the Jets with 900 yards rushing and three touchdowns. Although Garrett Williams is out injured and has only played eight games this season, he leads the Jets in receiving with 395 yards and four touchdown receptions. The active leading receiver is Mason Taylor with 369 yards and one touchdown reception. Linebacker Jamien Sherwood is the leading attacker with 129. New York's defense has made 22 quarterback sacks but has not yet intercepted a pass through 14 games.

Injuries: New York has 12 players on injured reserve, including wide receiver Garrett Wilson and running back Braelon Allen, while quarterbacks Tyrod Taylor and Justin Fields are both questionable.

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New Orleans is weak on offense but better on defense

The New Orleans Saints score an average of 16.1 (29th) points per game. New Orleans is 21st in passing yards and 27th in rushing yards per game. The Saints average 296.9 yards of total offense per game, which is 26th. The Saints give up an average of 23.7 (19th) points per game. New Orleans is 6th in passing yards allowed and 26th in rushing yards allowed per game. The Saints give up an average of 311.2 yards per game, which is 11th.

New Orleans will start rookie quarterback Tyler Shough again on Sunday. Shough has thrown for 1,484 yards. The signal caller has six touchdown passes and five interceptions. Alvin Kamara, who is questionable, leads the Saints in rushing with 471 yards and one touchdown. The leading receiver for New Orleans is Chris Olave with 896 yards and 6 touchdown receptions. Linebacker Demario Davis has made a team-best 123 tackles. The New Orleans defense has made 29 sacks and intercepted 8 passes.

Injuries: New Orleans has 10 players on injured reserve, while seven others are listed as doubtful or questionable, including Alvin Kamara, Devin Neal, and Asim Richards.

New York Jets at New Orleans Saints Pick

Spread Pick for New York Jets at New Orleans Saints

  • New Orleans Saints -4.5 ( units)

The New Orleans Saints are just 19th in points allowed per game at 23.7, but the New York Jets are even worse at 30th, allowing 28.4 points per game. New Orleans is averaging just 16.1 points per game, but the Saints have won two straight behind rookie quarterback Tyler Shough, defeating the Carolina Panthers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers, while allowing an average of only 18.5 points per game in the two wins. On the other hand, New York has lost each of its last two games and has allowed an average of 41 points per game and scored an average of 15 points per game in that two-game span. New York has covered the spread in just three of its last 10 head-to-head games with New Orleans. The Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last five games played. Tyler Shough has performed better under center than New York's Brady Cook. Both rookies have thrown five interceptions, but Shough has six touchdown passes to just one for Cook.

Over/Under Pick for New York Jets at New Orleans Saints

  • Under 40.5 (4 units)

Both New York and New Orleans are well down the rankings in points scored, as New York is 27th, averaging 19.7 points per game, and New Orleans is 29th, averaging 16.1 points per game. The total has finished under in nine of New Orleans’ last 10 games and in all of the Saints' last five games played at home. Both teams will start rookie quarterbacks, which may create more mistakes under pressure, leading to turnovers, stalling drives, and keeping much of the game between the 20-yard lines.

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