Packers vs. Bears Preview, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, December 20, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Green Bay Packers will play the Chicago Bears on Saturday at Soldier Field in Week 16 NFL action. We have you ready to go with our Packers vs. Bears prediction, preview, and picks. The NFL's oldest rivalry kicks off from Chicago, IL, is at 8:20 p.m. ET. The weather forecast predicts a cold and blustery night.
The Bears are one-point spread favorites, and the game total is 47 points scored.
These teams played on December 7 in Green Bay, a game the Packers won 28-21. Keisean Nixon picked off Caleb Williams' pass in the end zone with 22 seconds remaining to seal the win. If you want the Packers vs. Bears prediction, read on and check out our NFL Picks to beat the sportsbooks!
Packers aren't down and out, but injuries have slowed them
Green Bay (9-4-1 SU, 5-8-1 ATS, and 7-6-1 O/U) lost 34-26 to Denver last weekend as one-point favorites. It was a costly defeat, as Packers star pass rusher Micah Parsons (12.5 sacks this season) went down with a season-ending ACL injury. The Packers were also jumped by the Bears for first place in the NFC North standings. Green Bay rushed for over five yards per carry, but the passing game was inefficient (24-for-40 with two interceptions).
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“I told the guys, ‘Nobody is going to feel sorry for us,’” Packers coach Matt LaFleur said. “Everybody’s going to have to elevate their play.”
Jordan Love leads the Green Bay aerial attack with 3,304 passing yards and a 23:6 TD:INT ratio. He has completed 66.4 percent of his passes, averaging 7.8 YPA. Love's top receiving target this season is WR Romeo Doubs (47 receptions for 578 yards and five TDs), who has taken the lead following TE Tucker Kraft's season-ending injury. RB Josh Jacobs paces the Packers' ground game with 218 carries for 890 yards and 13 touchdowns.
Green Bay scores 24.9 points per game (10th) and averages 341.9 total yards (13th), including 224.9 passing yards (12th) and 117.0 rushing yards (18th). The Packers' defense surrenders 20.1 points (8th) and 294.6 total yards (6th) per game, including 194.1 passing yards (8th) and 100.5 rushing yards (8th).
Green Bay Packers Injury Report:
- Josh Jacobs (knee), RT Zach Tom (knee), S Evan Williams (knee), and TE Josh Whyle (concussion) did not practice all week. WR Christian Watson (shoulder/chest) practiced on Wednesday and Thursday. RB Chris Brooks (chest), T/G Darian Kinnard (neck), DE Collin Oliver (hamstring), DE Lukas Van Ness (foot), WR Dontayvion Wicks (ankle), G John Williams (back), and WR Savion Williams (foot) were limited participants.
Chicago is building momentum for the final stretch
Chicago (10-4 SU, 9-4-1 ATS, and 7-7 O/U) beat Cleveland 31-3 in its previous game, covering as seven-point spread favorites. The Bears jumped out to a 14-point lead and never looked back, outgaining the Browns 361-192. They were well-balanced, rushing for 142 yards (4.3 YPC) and passing for 219 (7.1 YPA). The Chicago defense also made a significant impact, forcing three turnovers and holding Cleveland to 3.4 yards per play.
“You want to start the game off every week like that," Bears QB Caleb Williams said. "But definitely this week not allowing them to get going, not allowing them to feel some energy or feel they can beat us — that was our mindset going into this game.”
Williams leads the Bears' aerial attack with 3,150 passing yards and a 21:6 TD:INT ratio. He has completed 58.0 percent of his passes, averaging 6.9 yards per attempt. The USC product's top receiving targets are WRs Rome Odunze (44 receptions for 661 yards and six TDs) and DJ Moore (43 receptions for 567 yards and five TDs). The Bears' run game features sixth-year pro D'Andre Swift (191 carries for 935 yards and seven TDs) and rookie RB Kyle Monangai (146 carries for 681 yards and five scores).
Chicago scores 26.1 points per game (9th) and averages 369.4 total yards (5th), including 217.9 passing yards (17th) and 152.2 rushing yards (2nd). The Bears' defense surrenders 24.1 points (21st) and 345.5 total yards (24th) per game, including 218.9 passing yards (18th) and 126.6 rushing yards (23rd).
Chicago Bears Injury Report:
- WR Luther Burden III (ankle), WR Rome Odunze (foot), and LB Amen Ogbongbemiga (hamstring) did not participate in practice. Odunze and Burden have both been ruled out of Saturday's game. LB Tremaine Edmunds (groin), TE Cole Kmet (ankle/knee), and RB D’Andre Swift (groin) were limited participants.
Packers vs. Bears Pick and Preview
Spread Pick for Packers vs. Bears
- Chicago -1 (5 Units)
I anticipate the Bears covering the spread with relative ease. Green Bay shouldn't be a one-point 'dog without Parsons and other key players, including Kraft, offensive lineman Elgton Jenkins, and defensive tackle Devonte Wyatt, who are all out for the season. The Packers and Bears are teams headed in different directions, with Chicago hitting its stride in coach Ben Johnson's scheme and Green Bay fading down the stretch. For a while, the Bears were overlooked simply due to their weak schedule, but they have since beaten Philadelphia, lost a close game to Green Bay, and destroyed Cleveland last weekend. They weren't blowing out teams like that earlier in the season, escaping with close wins in several of their games.
The Bears may be unsure where they'll be playing their future games, but their immediate future looks bright. Bet on them to win and cover to separate from the crowd in the NFC North title race.
Over/Under Pick for Packers vs. Bears
- Under 46.5 (5 Units)
I'll side with the home team in a lower-scoring game between these division rivals. Both teams are missing key offensive weapons, as Chicago will be without its leading receiver Odunze, and Green Bay has been playing without Kraft. Packers' stars Jacobs and Watson are also banged up. Injuries have been especially challenging for the visitors, along with ball-security issues, the latter of which is a concern against Chicago. The Bears are stout against the pass and forced three turnovers last week, holding the Browns to 3.6 yards per pass. Love cost his team with a late interception against Denver and may not benefit from a strong complementary run game on Saturday, with Jacobs questionable to play. In short, I'll be surprised if Green Bay exceeds its team total. While I believe the Bears are a good bet to cover and should win by more than a field goal, the Packers' experience and competitiveness will prevent the home team from dominating and pushing the total over 46 points.
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