Super Bowl 60 Picks, Prediction, Odds and Line Movement: Seattle Seahawks vs. New England Patriots

In Super Bowl 49, New England held on to beat Seattle 28-24, but most will remember that the Seahawks had the ball at the one-yard line after a three-yard run by Marshawn Lynch with seconds remaining. Instead of handing the ball off to "Beast Mode" again, the Seahawks had Russell Wilson throw the ball with 26 seconds left and he was picked off by Malcolm Butler in the end zone, who returned it to the Pats two yard line. These teams did not meet in 2025, but they did in 2024, with Seattle winning 23-20 in overtime. New England (17-3, 14-6 ATS) won their fourth Super Bowl title and will attempt to win a seventh when it meets Seattle (17-3, 14-6 ATS) in this Super Bowl 60 prediction from Santa Clara on Sunday at 6:30 PM ET.

Seahawks fly with Darnold

Sam Darnold has not had a typical road of a Super Bowl quarterback in his first game. The 28-year-old started his career with the Jets, moved to Carolina, then San Francisco, with varied success, but one thing seemed to follow him-turnovers. He had a 45/39 touchdown-to-interception ratio with the Jets, a 16/16 TD/INT ratio with the Panthers and started just one game with the 49ers. But in 2025, he started to turn things around in Minnesota, throwing 35 TD passes and just 12 interceptions. With Seattle, he completed 67.6% of his passes for 4,048 yards with 25 TDs and 14 INTs.

In the playoffs, Darnold is comleting 69.8% of his passes for 470 yards with four TDs and no picks in the postseason, despite dealing with an oblique injury that limits his ability to practice. Seattle faced two NFC West rival teams to reach the Super Bowl, crushing San Francisco 41-6 on Jan. 17. In the NFC Championship, they were able to get back the LA Rams 31-27. Darnold was brilliant in the win over the Rams, going 25 of 36 for 35 yards with three TDs. Kenneth Walker III added 62 yards rushing and a TD. Star WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba had a great game with 10 catches for 153 yards and a score.

This is an underrated offense that ranks eighth overall with 228.1 passing yards and 123.3 rushing yards for 351.4 overall yards per game with 28.4 points. Smith-Njigba leads the NFL with  1,793 yards receiving, with 119 catches and 10 TDs. Defensively, Seattle is elite, allowing just 285.6 yards per game and 193.9 passing yards per contest. The Seahawks rank third against the run, allowing 91.9 yards per game, and rank first in points allowed per game (17.2). This is a team that also forces turnover, led by five interceptions from LB Ernest Jones IV, who also leads the team with 126 tackles. They don't have a dominant pass rusher like Myles Garrett, but the Seahawks do have three players who have seven sacks apiece in DE Leonard Williams, DT Byron Murphy and LB Uchenna Nwosu, while DE DeMarcus Lawrence adds six sacks, 11 TFLs and three forced fumbles.

Key Injury Report for Seahawks:

• OT Charles Cross (foot) is questionable.
• S Nick Emmanwori (ankle) is questionable.
• OT Josh Jones (ankle/knee) is questionable
• RB Zach Charbonnet (knee) is on the IR.

All should play except Charbonnet, who is the second-leading rusher with 730 yards and leads with 12 TDs.

Maye and Vrabel lead the Pats back to the Super Bowl

Drake Maye impressed in his second season, throwing for 4,394 yards with 31 TDs and eight picks (72%), while rushing for 450 yards. One major concern has been turnovers and New England's offensive line as Maye was sacked 47 times in the regular season and 15 times in the postseason. Turnovers have been an issue, especially in the first two playoff games as the 28-year old quaeterback, who will likely finish second in the MVP voting to Matthew Stafford, accumulated three against Houston and two against the LA Chargers. But Maye did not turn the ball over in the snow against Denver in the AFC Championship game.

The Patriots do have some flaws, but they usually find ways to win games. They lost two of their first three games and have gone 16-1 since then, with their only loss coming against Buffalo. Mike Vrabel built this team with a strong defense and running game, while his young quarterback can make plays with his arm and legs. But the Pats' offense ranks third in the NFL with 379.4 yards per game and 250.5 passing yards (4th). A lot of that is Maye's improvement, but the addition of Stefon Diggs gave them a veteran number one receiver, who caught 85 passes for 1,013 yards with four TDs. TE Hunter Henry isn't Rob Gronkowski, but he's a strong weapon with 87 catches for 768 yards with seven TDs. Rookie Travyeon Henderson leads the Patriots with 911 yards rushing and nine TDs. But Rhamonde Stevenson, who struggled with fumbles in the regular season, led the NFL with 194 yards on 51 carries in the playoffs.

Defensively, New England ranks eighth in total yardage allowed, sixth against the run and ninth against the pass. They have one of the best cornerbacks in the NFL in Christian Gonzalez, who has 69 tackles and 10 passes defensed in the regular season and four passes defensed with a pick in the postseason. They also have an excellent defensive line led by Christian Barmore, while linebackers Harold Landry III (8.5 sacks, 10 TFLs) and K'Lavon Chaisson (7.5 sacks, 10 TFLs) are the top pass rushers.

Key Injury Report for Patriots:

• LB Harold Landry III (knee) was limited in practice on Wednesday.
• LB Robert Spillane (ankle) is questionable. Leading tackler.

Super Bowl Pick and Prediction for Seahawks vs. Patriots

Seahawks vs. Patriots Spread Pick and Odds

• New England +4.5 (5 units)

These are two excellent defenses and both are well-coached. Both offenses have athletic quarterbacks with big arms and both have injury issues: Darnold (oblique) and Maye (shoulder), with both playing through them. The difference here is Gonzalez's ability to shut down top receivers and Maye's ability to run. Gonzalez will spend most of the time defending Smith-Njigba. Seattle's defense did show some holes against the Rams, who shredded them for 374 yards in the air. Maye will be able to use his weapons, whether it's Henry, Diggs, or Kayshon Boutte, who have had a strong postseason with 15 catches for 147 yards and an incredible one-handed diving TD catch. This should be a good matchup and I would be surprised if it came down to the last possession, just as it did 11 years ago. Take the points.

• Over 45.5 (4 units)

It looks like an under on paper, but when you judge New England's defense based on their last game (10-7), it's not fair. There was a driving snowstorm in the second half and the Broncos had Jarrett Stidham at quarterback. The Patriots have gone over in six of their last eight games. Seatthe shut down a depleted San Francisco in two straight games (regular season and postseason), but did score 41 in the playoff game against them. They scored 72 points combined in both playoff games and they do have some extraordinary playmakers in Smith-Njigba, Walker III, while you can't ignore Rashid Shaheed and veteran Cooper Kupp. The Patriots will be thrilled to be playing in a game that's over 40 degrees.