Washington Commanders vs. Kansas City Chiefs, Preview, Odds, Picks and Prediction for Monday, October 27, 2025
Use Code WWWC Week 8 of the 2025 NFL season rolls on with an interconference matchup when the Washington Commanders battle the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday Night Football in the Show-Me State and we have you covered with our Commanders vs. Chiefs prediction. Washington was beaten 44-22 on the road by Dallas in the previous game last Sunday, failing to cover the line as a 1.5-point underdog. Kansas City blew out Las Vegas 31-0 at home last Sunday in their previous game, covering the line as a 13.5-point favorite. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Chiefs own a 10-1 advantage and have won the last three meetings, including a 31-13 road win in the most recent matchup on October 17, 2021. Read more about this Commanders vs. Chiefs prediction! Don’t get sacked this football season! Try our NFL Picks!
Washington Trying to Get On Track
Washington dropped their second straight and their third in the last four games as they were doubled up on the road by the Cowboys last Sunday. The Commanders fell to 3-4 on the season and stood third in the NFC East, two games behind the Eagles for the top spot. Against Dallas, Washington led 8-7 midway through the opening quarter but gave up the next 13 points to trail 20-8. The Commanders never got closer than five the rest of the way en route to the loss. Washington was outgained 409-341 in total offense, allowed 21 first downs while picking up 18, lost time of possession by a 31:21 to 28:39 margin, and committed the game’s two turnovers, including a pick-six, offsetting a safety their defense recorded in the contest.
The Commanders enter Week 8, 25th in the league in passing offense with 196.1 yards per game, while they are 2nd in rushing by averaging 148.9 yards per contest on the ground. Washington is 9th in the league in scoring offense by putting up 25.7 points per game, while they are 21st in the league in scoring defense by allowing an average of 24.3 points per game.
Jayden Daniels has hit 89 of 146 passes for 1,031 yards with eight touchdowns against one interception while getting sacked 13 times. He is second on the team in rushing with 44 carries for 211 yards this season. Marcus Mariota is 35 of 58 for 426 yards with three scores and two interceptions while adding 94 rushing yards plus a score as the backup quarterback. Jacory Croskey-Merritt (73 carries, 377 yards, four TD), Chris Rodriguez Jr. (26 carries, 117 yards, TD) and Jeremy McNichols (15 carries, 139 yards, TD) provide a solid three-headed rushing attack in the backfield. Terry McLaurin is tied for third on the team with 10 receptions for 149 yards in the passing game. Zach Ertz (23 catches, 229 yards, three TD), Deebo Samuel (34 grabs, 315 yards, three TD), Luke McCaffrey (eight receptions, 179 yards, three TD), Jaylin Lane (10 grabs, 142 yards) and Chris Moore (eight grabs, 164 yards, TD) are each over 100 receiving yards this season. Matt Gay is 16 of 16 on extra point attempts and 10 of 14 on field goal attempts with a long of 56 this season.
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Daniels (hamstring) and defensive tackle Daron Payne (toe) did not practice Thursday and Friday. Guard Sam Cosmi (back) did not practice on Thursday but returned on Friday. Tight end Colston Yankoff (hamstring) was limited on Friday. Daniels has been ruled out for this contest, so Mariota gets the start under center. Watch for updates as we get closer to kickoff. Samuel and McClaurin are expected to play to bolster the Commanders' passing game.
Chiefs Looking to Maintain Momentum
Kansas City won their second straight and fourth in the last five games as they blew out the Raiders at home last week. The Chiefs improved to 4-3 on the season and stand third in the AFC West, one game behind the Broncos for the top spot. Against Las Vegas, Kansas City scored more points (31) in the game than the Raiders ran offensive plays (30) in the contest. The Chiefs were up 7-0 after the opening quarter and 17-0 at the half en route to the win. Kansas City rolled up a 434-95 edge in total offense, picked up 30 first downs while allowing three and dominated time of possession by a 42:08 to 17:52 margin while forcing the game’s lone turnover.
The Chiefs enter this game 6th in the league in passing offense, as they average 247.1 yards per game this season. Kansas City is 12th in the league in rushing offense as they grind out 123.4 yards per contest on the ground. The Chiefs are 6th in scoring offense as they put up an average of 26.6 points per game while they stand 3rd in scoring defense as they allow 17.7 points per contest. Patrick Mahomes is the signal caller for the Chiefs: he is 164 of 248 for 1,800 yards with 14 touchdowns and two interceptions on the year. He is second on the team with 250 rushing yards plus four scores.
Kareem Hunt is third on the team on the ground with 53 carries for 205 yards and three scores on the season. Brashard Smith (22 carries, 67 yards), Isiah Pacheco (66 carries, 271 yards, TD) and Samaje Perine (20 carries, 92 yards, TD) are also in the mix. Travis Kelce is the team’s second-leading pass catcher with 31 receptions for 375 yards and two scores on the year. Xavier Worthy (16 catches, 180 yards, TD), Hollywood Brown (32 grabs, 316 yards, four TD), JuJu Smith-Schuster (22 catches, 260 yards, TD), Smith (14 grabs, 122 yards), Rashee Rice (seven receptions, 42 yards, two TD) and Tyquan Thornton (14 catches, 311 yards, three TD) are other options. Harrison Butker is 18 of 21 on extra point attempts and 12 of 15 on field goal attempts with a long of 59 this season.
Tackle Josh Simmons (personal) and guard Trey Smith (back) both failed to practice Thursday and Friday. Hunt (ankle/knee) missed practice on Thursday and was limited on Friday.
Commanders vs. Chiefs Pick
Spread Pick for Commanders vs. Chiefs
- Chiefs -11.5 (4 units)
Washington looked awful on the defensive side of the ball against Dallas in their previous game, and they now have to go on the road here. The Commanders have to face a Chiefs team that is clicking offensively and has momentum on their side. Missing Daniels is a big blow for the Commanders, as there is a drop-off in play from him to Mariota. The problem is on the defensive side, the Commanders gave up 44 points to Dallas, and Kansas City is back to just about full strength offensively. Kansas City has momentum on their side, it’s at home, and they have the firepower to roll to the win here. Take the Chiefs at home in this contest.
Over/Under Pick for Commanders vs. Chiefs
- Over 47.5 (4 units)
Washington has surpassed the number set in this contest in four of their last five games entering this contest. The 22 points the Commanders scored last week were their lowest point total in that stretch. Washington’s defense has struggled as they have surrendered at least 24 points in five of their seven games this year. Kansas City has scored at least 22 points in each of their last five games. The Chiefs have put up at least 30 points three times in that five-game stretch. Kansas City is good defensively, but the Commanders should be able to put up some points after the game has been decided, helping push this game over the number at the final gun.
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