Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Sunday, January 4 2026
It’s the final regular season game of the season on Sunday, Jan. 4. Read our Washington Commanders and Philadelphia Eagles prediction along with our other NFL Picks! The Commanders are 4-12 this season and they have lost 10 of their last 11 games. The Eagles have clinched the division with an 11-5 record. Philadelphia does’t have anything to play for and they will sit out a majority of their key players including quarterback Jalen Hurts. These two teams will meet with kick-off set for 4:25 P.M. EST.
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Washington’s poor quarterback play doomed season
Washington is 4-12 overall this season. The Commanders are in third place in the NFC East as they are eliminated from playoff contention. The Commanders are 2-6 when playing at home this season. Washington has lost 10 of their last 11 games coming into this game.
In their last game, the Commanders lost 30-23 to the Cowboys on Thursday, Dec. 25. Washington never led in the game as they kept the game within arms reach. The Commanders could never find that extra punch to take the lead and contend for the win. Quarterback Josh Johnson threw for 198 yards on 15-for-23 passing with zero touchdowns and zero interceptions. Jacory Croskey-Merritt rushed for 105 yards and two touchdowns for a huge game.
It’s been a revolving door for quarterback play for the Commanders. Franchise quarterback Jayden Daniels and Marcus Mariota are both out. Johnson has played in four games this season. He has thrown for 241 yards and completed 63% of his passes this year with zero touchdowns and one pick. The offense rolls through Croskey-Merritt with 776 rushing yards and eight touchdowns. Deebo Samuel continues to be the team’s big play wide receiver with i7-7 yards and five touchdowns.
On defense, the Commanders are led in tackles with Bobby Wagner with 157 tackles. Von Miller holds the sack lead with eight total sacks. The Commanders defense has forced nine total turnovers on the year.
Washington is averaging 20.8 points per game, which ranks 25th. They are the fourth-best rushing offense averaging 134.2 yards per game. The Commanders are passing for 187.4 yards per game, which ranks 24th.
On defense, the Commanders are allowing 27.1 points per game, which ranks 27th. They are the 28th ranked pass defense, allowing 243.8 yards per game. Washington is the second-worst rush defense allowing 145.7 yards per game.
Washington is 6-10 against the spread this season. The Commanders are 2-6 against the spread when playing on the road. They are 4-9 against the spread when they have been underdogs. The over is 9-7 when Washington has played this season. The under is 5-3 when Washington has played this year on the road. The over is 8-5 when Washington has been an underdog.
Injury report
- None
Eagles to rest majority of starters in season finale
Philadelphia is 11-5 overall this season. The Eagles have clinched the NFC East and are headed to the playoffs. The Eagles cannot improve upon their playoff ranking as the Seahawks or the 49ers have the No. 1 seed wrapped up. The Eagles don’t have anything to play for so they will be sitting out some key players.
Starting quarterback Jalen Hurts will miss the game with wide receivers AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith all missing the contest. Dallas Goedert along with Saquon Barkley will also miss the game due to rest.
This will be a new look Eagles team as quarterback Tanner McKee will get the nod. This is McKee’s first start of the season. He started only once last season, which ended in a win over the Giants. Last year, McKee threw for 323 yards on 30-for-45 passing with four touchdowns and zero picks. The 2023 draft pick has thrown just three passes this year, completing all of them. Running back Tank Bigsby will get a majority of the carries while Jahan Dotson and Darius Cooper will be the Eagles top wide receiver targets.
On defense, Zack Baun leads the team with 123 tackles. Jalyx Hunt is the top pass rusher with 6.5 sacks. The defense has forced 19 turnovers on the year, too.
Philadelphia is averaging 22.6 points per game, which ranks 20th in the league. They are the 23rd ranked passing offense, which ranks 192.3 yards per game. The Eagles are the 18th ranked rush offense, averaging 119.3 yards per game.
On defense, the Eagles are allowing 18.8 points per game, which ranks third-best. They are the ninth ranked passing defense giving up 193.4 yards through the air. Philadelphia is also the 21st ranked rush defense, surrendering 123.3 rush yards per game.
Philadelphia is 10-6 against the spread this season. They are 4-3 against the spread when they have played at home. The Eagles have been favored in every game except one, where they covered against Buffalo on the road. The under is 10-6 when Philadelphia has played this season. The under is 5-2 when Philadelphia has played at home.
Injury report
- DT Jalen Carter (hip), out
- LB Nakobe Dean (hamstring), out
- S Marcus Epps (concussion), out
- TE Dallas Goedert (knee), out
- T Lane Johnson (foot), out
- OLB Jaelan Phillips (ankle), out
Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Picks
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tony Karpinski | +2,976.00 |
| 2 |  Joe Duffy | +2,595.00 |
| 3 |  The Insiders Room | +2,320.00 |
| 4 |  Mark Ruelle | +1,627.00 |
| 5 |  Jackie Mack | +1,451.00 |
Commanders vs Eagles Spread Pick
- Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 (5 units)
The Commanders and the Eagles will meet for the final game of the regular season. This game will look more like a preseason game than a regular season clash with the amount of players sitting out and resting along with the injuries that have piled up. The Commanders will simply look for the season to end and will roll over if the Eagles get a quick start. This will be key for the Eagles, who are playing many new players like quarterback Tanner McKee. He is making his first start this year and he will have a lot of other players looking to showcase their skills to get a new contract or simply earn playing time. Expect the Eagles to play harder than a Commanders team that hasn’t been able to do anything right for the past two months. The Commanders are 2-6 against the spread when playing on the road. They are 4-9 against the spread when they have been underdogs.
Take the Eagles to cover.
Commanders vs Eagles Over/Under Pick
- Under 38.5 (5 units)
The Commanders have struggled for points with the multiple different quarterback options and the injuries that have piled up. The Eagles are missing most of their offense as they rest for the playoffs. This will be a low scoring game simply because players have not been on the field enough to field confidence and consistency in play. The under is also 5-2 when the Eagles have played at home. The under is 5-3 when Washington has also played on the road.
Take the under on Sunday.
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