Boston Bruins vs New York Islanders Picks and Prediction - November 26, 2025

By: Dean Whitaker Published 11/26/2025, 07:20 AM ET
Mathew Barzal looks to lead the Islanders over the Bruins
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National League Hockey action on Wednesday evening, and we have a Boston Bruins vs New York Islanders Prediction ready to roll for you. The Bruins enter this contest at 13-11 on the year, and they are off a 3-1 loss at San Jose. The islanders come in off a 1-0 Shootout win at home over Seattle, and they are now 131- on the year. Boston has won the first two games between these teams this year. Read on to see our Bruins vs Islanders prediction.

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Bruins Get Bitten By The Sharks

Boston dropped to 12-11-0 after a 3-1 loss to the San Jose Sharks on November 23. Morgan Geekie scored the lone goal for the Bruins, while Jeremy Swayman made 27 saves in net. Despite generating 31 shots, Boston couldn’t solve San Jose’s defense and special teams, and the defeat capped a tough West Coast swing where the Bruins struggled to find consistent offense. It was another reminder of how Boston’s attack can stall when David Pastrnak isn’t producing at his usual elite level.

Offensively, the Bruins have been solid overall, averaging 3.2 goals per game and ranking 11th in the league. Pastrnak leads with 29 points, while Geekie has been a breakout scorer with 17 goals already. Pavel Zacha and Elias Lindholm provide depth down the middle, and Viktor Arvidsson has chipped in timely goals. The power play has been a major strength at 26.7%, ranking fourth in the NHL, and Boston’s faceoff numbers are strong at 52.6%, giving them possession advantages. Still, the team has leaned heavily on its top scorers, and secondary production has been inconsistent.

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Defensively, Boston has been shakier, allowing 3.2 goals per game and ranking 24th overall. Swayman, who is slated to start against the Islanders, has been steadier than Joonas Korpisalo, posting a 2.79 GAA with nine wins. The penalty kill has been reliable at 83%, but the Bruins have struggled with discipline, ranking second in penalty minutes. Against New York, Boston will need Swayman to be sharp and their defense to limit high-danger chances, especially with the Islanders’ top line finding rhythm.

Islanders Blank The Kraken

The Islanders improved to 13-8-2 after a 1-0 shootout win over the Seattle Kraken on November 23. David Rittich earned his first shutout with New York, stopping 19 shots, while Bo Horvat and Kyle Palmieri scored in the shootout to secure the victory. It was a defensive battle where the Islanders leaned on structure and goaltending, bouncing back from a 2-1 loss to St. Louis the day before. The win continued a strong stretch, with New York now 9-3-1 in its last 13 games.

Offensively, the Islanders average 3.0 goals per game, ranking 20th in the league. Horvat has been the centerpiece with 25 points, while Mathew Barzal and Palmieri have chipped in steady production. Jonathan Drouin has added 14 points, and Emil Heineman has been a pleasant surprise with nine goals. The power play, however, has been a glaring weakness at just 13.3%, ranking last in the NHL. Despite that, New York’s faceoff numbers are strong at 52.1%, and their ability to generate offense at even strength has kept them competitive.

Defensively, the Islanders have been strong, allowing just 2.8 goals per game and ranking 10th overall. Ilya Sorokin, who will start against Boston, has posted a 2.67 GAA with seven wins, and the penalty kill has been reliable at 83.1%. Defensemen like Ryan Pulock and Mattias Schaefer have provided stability, while Adam Pelech continues to anchor the blue line. Against Boston, New York’s defensive structure and goaltending will be critical, especially in limiting Pastrnak and Geekie. If Sorokin can match Swayman save-for-save, the Islanders’ balanced attack could give them the edge in a tight divisional matchup.

Boston Bruins vs New York Islanders Pick

Bruins vs Islanders Moneyline Pick

  • Islanders -160 (5 Units)

The Islanders look like the stronger side here thanks to their defensive consistency and Ilya Sorokin’s presence in net. Sorokin has posted a 2.67 GAA with seven wins, and New York’s overall defensive numbers rank top‑10 in goals allowed at 2.8 per game. That kind of structure matches up well against a Boston team that has been streaky offensively and overly reliant on David Pastrnak and Morgan Geekie to carry the scoring load. With Bo Horvat driving play at both ends and the Islanders winning faceoffs at a 52.1% clip, they’re well‑positioned to control possession and limit Boston’s chances.

Boston’s defense has been far less reliable, giving up 3.2 goals per game and ranking 24th overall, which plays right into New York’s ability to generate balanced scoring across multiple lines. Horvat, Mathew Barzal, and Kyle Palmieri have all been steady contributors, while Jonathan Drouin and Emil Heineman provide secondary punch. Even with a weak power play, the Islanders’ even‑strength production and disciplined penalty kill at 83.1% give them the edge in a tight divisional matchup. With Sorokin anchoring the crease and the Isles’ depth spreading the scoring load, New York has the tools to grind out a win against a Bruins team that’s been inconsistent in closing games.

Bruins vs Islanders Over/Under Pick

  • Under 6 (4 Units)

The Under 6 looks like a strong angle because both Boston and the Islanders lean on defensive structure and goaltending to dictate pace. Jeremy Swayman has been steady with a 2.79 GAA, while Ilya Sorokin remains one of the league’s most reliable netminders at 2.67 GAA, and both teams rank top‑11 in penalty kill efficiency. Boston averages 3.2 goals per game but has been streaky outside of Pastrnak and Geekie, while New York’s offense sits at 3.0 goals per game and struggles on the power play at just 13.3%, the worst mark in the NHL. With two disciplined teams, strong goaltending, and limited special teams scoring, this matchup sets up as a tight, low‑scoring divisional battle that stays beneath the six‑goal line.

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