Boston Bruins vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks and Prediction, Sunday, February 1, 2026
Use Code WWWC The Boston Bruins face the Tampa Bay Lightning in the 2026 Stadium Series in a matchup between two of the league’s best teams. The Bruins are 32-20-3 and two wins in a row have them boasting a wild card spot in the Eastern Conference. The Lightning have a 34-14-4 record and with eight wins in their last 10 games, they have the best record in the Atlantic Division. Who will win this game? Check out our Bruins vs Lightning prediction!
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Bruins are led by an incredible offense
The Bruins are having a great season with their offense leading the way, scoring 3.35 goals per game with nine goals in the last two games. David Pastrnak and Morgan Geekie have 52 goals and 67 assists while defenseman Charlie McAvoy has added four goals and 32 assists from the point to open up the offense.
The offense has stepped up but the defense has struggled, allowing 3.09 goals per game. Nikita Zadorov and Charlie McAvoy have combined for 5.5 defensive point shares but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to carry the puck into the offensive zone and find open shots on the net. The bright spot is the play of goaltender Jeremy Swayman, who has allowed only five goals in his last two starts.
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Key injury report for Bruins
- Pavel Zacha is out. Has 15 goals and 22 assists.
- Elias Lindholm (upper body) is out. Has 11 goals and 26 assists.
Tampa Bay is great across the board
The Lightning are having a great season with their offense stepping up and scoring 3.46 goals per game. Nikita Kucherov, Jake Guentzel, and Brandon Hagel have scored 76 goals and 110 assists while defenseman Darren Raddysh has added 15 goals and 32 assists to open up the offense at the blue line.
The offense is incredible but the defense has also carried them, allowing only 2.48 goals per game. JJ Moser and Darren Raddysh have combined for 8.8 defensive point shares while Anthony Cirelli and Nikita Kucherov have combined for 4.1 defensive point shares, adding a defensive element to the forward group. Moreover, goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy has been great lately, allowing only four goals in his last five starts.
Key injury report for Lightning
- Victor Hedman is on injured reserve. Is a key part of the defense.
- Brayden Point (upper body) is on injured reserve. Has 12 goals and 10 assists.
Bruins vs Lightning Pick
Money Line Pick For Bruins vs Lightning
- Bruins +1.5 (-140) (4 units)
The Lightning look like the best team in the NHL and it’s easy to think that they will dominate this game. However, the Bruins are putting together a great season and I see them controlling this game to win their third in a row. The Bruins, who average 3.35 goals per game, should find the back of the net at will with David Pastrnak and Morgan Geekie carrying the puck into the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Bruins should limit the Lightning offense with Jeremy Swayman building off of two strong starts where he’s allowed only five goals and blank the shots on the net, while Nikita Zadorov and Charlie McAvoy create turnovers in front of him. The Bruins should cover the spread and possibly pull off the upset as road Underdogs.
Over/Under Pick For Bruins vs Lightning
- Over 6.5 (5 Units)
The Bruins and Lightning have great offenses, and I see this game being a high-scoring one from the opening puck drop. The Lightning, who average 3.46 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Nikita Kucherov, Brandon Hagel, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Bruins, who have scored nine goals in the last two games, should run up the score with David Pastrnak, Morgan Geekie, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence while creating open shots with effective puck movement as Charlie McAvoy fires shots on the net from the blue line. The Over should cover in a high-scoring game with both offenses stepping up.
Take the Over on 6.5 goals.
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