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Buffalo Sabres at St. Louis Blues Predictions, Picks, Odds, and Line Movement for December 29 2025

By: Kyle Kargel Published 12/29/2025, 08:55 AM ET

Buffalo Sabres vs St. Louis Blues picks take center stage on Monday night as these Central and Atlantic Division foes meet at Enterprise Center, and this matchup presents a classic momentum-versus-history betting puzzle for NHL bettors looking for value in the NHL picks market.

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Quick Picks and Prediction

  • Spread Lean: Buffalo -1.5 (+210)
  • Total: Under 6
  • Projected Final Score: Sabres 3, Blues 2

Odds and Line Movement

Opening Odds

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5 Jackie Mack Jackie Mack +1,451.00
Team Moneyline
Buffalo +100
St. Louis -120

Current Odds

Team Moneyline
Buffalo -115
St. Louis -105

Line Movement - Puck Line

Date Buffalo St. Louis
12/29 -1.5 (+210) +1.5 (-250)

Line Movement - Total

Date Over Under
12/29 6 (-105) 6 (-115)

Key Matchups and Handicap

The Sabres arrive in St. Louis riding an eight-game winning streak after a convincing 4–1 road win in Boston, while the Blues are trying to string together results following a 3–2 win over Nashville. Buffalo has been the more dynamic offensive team, averaging just over three goals per game, but that production has come with defensive risk, as the Sabres allow more than three goals per contest. That volatility is why totals often remain tight in Buffalo games.

St. Louis, on the other hand, continues to profile as a low-event team. The Blues are scoring just 2.5 goals per game and allowing slightly more than three, often dragging opponents into slower, grind-it-out contests. This style has worked well at home historically against Buffalo, including a 3–0 shutout win earlier this season.

From a handicapping perspective, the Sabres’ recent form is difficult to fade, especially with Buffalo priced near a pick’em. Their transition game has been sharp during this win streak, and if they avoid self-inflicted mistakes, they own the higher offensive ceiling.

  • Buffalo has won eight straight games.
  • St. Louis has won 10 of its last 12 home games against Buffalo.
  • The under has cashed in the majority of St. Louis games this season.
  • Buffalo games frequently stay tight due to goals-against volatility.

Key Injuries and Notes (BUF vs STL)

  • Buffalo defenseman Rasmus Dahlin is expected to return to the lineup.
  • Jason Zucker has been practicing and traveled with Buffalo.
  • Buffalo remains without Conor Timmins, Jiri Kulich, and Justin Danforth.
  • St. Louis is still missing Torey Krug long-term.

ATS and Total Picks

  • ATS Lean: Buffalo -1.5 (+210)
  • Total Pick: Under 6

Final Score Prediction

I see Buffalo continuing its strong run but doing so in a controlled environment dictated by St. Louis’ style. The Sabres’ added defensive support should be enough to edge this one late.

Final Score: Buffalo 3, St. Louis 2

How to Bet

If you are backing Buffalo, the moneyline offers safety, but the puck line provides plus-money upside in what I project as a narrow Sabres win. For bettors targeting value, pairing the under with Buffalo exposure fits the game script.

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