Buffalo Sabres vs New York Islanders Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Saturday January 24 2026

By: Kyle Kargel Published 01/23/2026, 04:13 PM ET
Sabres vs. Islanders Prediction
Use Code WWWC

If you are searching for sharp NHL picks, this Saturday matinee between Buffalo and New York sets up as a classic tight-checking matchup where goaltending and discipline should decide the outcome. With both teams leaning on structure and quality netminding, this game profiles as a one-goal battle deep into the third period.

Quick Picks and Prediction

  • Moneyline Pick: Islanders -122
  • Puck Line Pick: Sabres +1.5
  • Total Pick: Under 6.5
  • Projected Final Score: Islanders 3, Sabres 2

Odds and Line Movement

Opening Odds

Team Moneyline Puck Line Total
Buffalo +102 +1.5 (-238) Over 6.5 (+105)
New York -122 -1.5 (+195) Under 6.5 (-125)

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Puck Line Total
Buffalo +105 +1.5 (-238) Over 6.5 (+106)
New York -126 -1.5 (+195) Under 6.5 (-130)

Line Movement - Puck Line

Date Buffalo New York
01/23 +1.5 (-238) -1.5 (+195)

Line Movement - Total

Date Over Under
01/23 6.5 (+114) 6.5 (-140)
01/23 6.5 (+110) 6.5 (-134)

Key Matchups and Handicap

This game lines up as a strength-versus-strength battle between Buffalo’s scoring depth and the Islanders’ defensive structure. The Sabres are averaging 3.28 goals per game, but that production comes with defensive risk, as they allow 3.10 goals and nearly 30 shots per night.

New York plays a much tighter brand of hockey. The Islanders are allowing just 2.72 goals per game and fewer shots overall, which helps keep games low scoring even when their offense struggles to separate. At home, they are comfortable playing from ahead or protecting a one-goal lead late.

Special teams also lean toward a slower game script. Buffalo’s power play sits at 19.0 percent, while New York’s is at 15.9 percent. Both penalty kills are strong, which reduces the chance of quick multi-goal swings. When games stay five-on-five, the Islanders’ structure usually shines.

Get Free $30 Credit for Premium Picks + Exclusive Discounts

Subscribe Now

I understand that I can unsubscribe at any time. I have read and accepted the Terms & Conditions and Privacy Policy. I consent that Winners and Whiners may use third-party services to process my data.

Goaltending is the final piece. Ilya Sorokin anchors New York with a 2.51 goals-against average and a .914 save percentage. Buffalo counters with capable options, but this matchup still favors the Islanders in a controlled home environment.

  • The first meeting between these teams ended 3-2 in a shootout.
  • Both teams rank above 82 percent on the penalty kill.
  • Islanders games often stay close due to defensive structure.

Key Injuries and Notes (BUF vs NYI)

  • Buffalo: Josh Norris remains on injured reserve.
  • Buffalo: Zach Benson is listed day to day.
  • New York: Ryan Pulock is day to day.
  • New York: Kyle Palmieri remains on injured reserve.

Moneyline and Total Picks

  • Islanders Moneyline -122
  • Under 6.5

Final Score Prediction

Islanders 3, Sabres 2

How to Bet

For this matchup, I prefer to keep things simple and focus on the most efficient angles. Using sportsbook promo codes can help reduce risk, while shopping across the best sportsbooks ensures you find the best price.

If you prefer alternative wagering options, social sportsbooks can be useful for smaller stakes. Bettors looking for established books can also check the bet365 bonus code or explore peer-based options like the fliff promo code to add flexibility to their NHL betting card.

Never Tried Winners and Whiners? Now Is Your Chance

  • Get your first daily picks package for ONLY $1 using coupon code DOLLAR
  • If the pick loses, we credit your account with 3 Flex Picks
  • If the pick wins, we still give you 1 Flex Pick on the house
  • Win or lose, you walk away ahead. One dollar. No catch.
BetMGM Sport

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

Show Bonus Code
Claim Bonus
Signup Promo Recommended BetMGM Sport Bonus
Min. Deposit $5
Cashable No
FanDuel Sportsbook

New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days

Show Bonus Code
Claim Bonus
Signup Promo Hot Offer FanDuel Sportsbook Bonus
Requirement New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days. (Up to $1,000 Bet Reset Tokens)
Cashable No
DraftKings Sport

New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $200 in Bonuses Instantly!

Show Bonus Code
Claim Bonus
Signup Promo Hot Offer DraftKings Sport Bonus
Min. Deposit $5
Odds Requirements -500
Cashable No

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (MI/NJ/PA/WV/WY), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), 1-888-532-3500 (VA), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), or call/text TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN). 21+ (18+ WY). AZ/CO/IL/IN/IA/MI/NJ/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Eligibility restrictions apply. T&C's Apply. Void where prohibited. If you click on a link on this site which takes you to a bookmaker or casino and you subsequently open an account, Pick and Parlays may receive a commission. Bets placed are the responsibility of the bettor.

Copyright © 2026 Picks and Parlays. All rights reserved.

The sports news and information contained at this site is for entertainment purposes only. Any use of this information in violation of laws whether they are federal, state and/or local is prohibited. Picks and Parlays is the nation's premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information.

Sign Up Get $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Offers
Special Offer
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
Play now Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (Available in the US) 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. Promotional offers not available in Mississippi, New York, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.