Buffalo Sabres vs Pittsburgh Penguins Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, November 26, 2025
The Buffalo Sabres (9-9-4, 22 points, 7th Atlantic) are on the road Wednesday with a visit to the Pittsburgh Penguins (10-6-5, 25 points, 5th Metro). Buffalo defeated the Carolina Hurricanes 4-1 on Sunday for its second straight win and fourth in the last five. Buffalo is 7th in the Atlantic Division. Pittsburgh lost to the Seattle Kraken 3-2 on Saturday in overtime. The Penguins have lost two straight and five of the last six. Pittsburgh is 5th in the Metropolitan Division. Make sure to read this in-depth Buffalo Sabres vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction. Ice-cold accuracy: trust our NHL picks for Buffalo Sabres at Pittsburgh Penguins prediction to guide your bets.
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Buffalo is solid on attack but weak at the other end
The Buffalo Sabres have a goals for average of 3.2, which is 9th, and a goals against average of 3.4, which is 26th. Buffalo averages 27.8 (16th) shots per game and allows an average of 31.5 (32nd). The Buffalo power play is 20th, scoring 17.9% of the time the Sabres have the man advantage, while the penalty kill is 1st, holding opponents scoreless 87.7% of the time Buffalo is short-handed.
Tage Thompson is the leading goal scorer for Buffalo with 12 and the leader in points with 21. Alex Tuch is second in goals with eight and tied for first with Thompson in points with 21. Rasmus Dahlin is the leader in assists with 15. Buffalo has scored 12 goals on the power play in 22 games. Mattias Samuelsson is the leader in plus/minus at 9. Buffalo goalie Alex Lyon is 3-5-3 with a 3.07 goals against average and a .907 save percentage, but has not appeared since November 13, although he is active now. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is 3-2-1 with a 2.68 GAA and .897 SV% and is likely to play on Wednesday.
Pittsburgh is average on attack, but one of the best in goal
The Pittsburgh Penguins have a 3.1 goals-for-average, which is 15th, and a 2.6 goals against average, which is second. Pittsburgh averages 26.9 (22nd) shots per game and allows an average of 28.8 (22nd). Pittsburgh's power play is the best in the NHL, scoring 32.6% of the time the Penguins have the man advantage, while the penalty kill is fifth, holding opponents scoreless 84.7% of the time Pittsburgh is shorthanded.
Veteran Sidney Crosby is leading Pittsburgh in goals scored with 13, and Anthony Mantha is second with eight. Evgeni Malkin is the leader in assists with 18 and in points with 24. Erik Karlsson is second in assists with 12, and Crosby is second in points with 23. Mantha is the leader in plus/minus at 9. Goalie Arturs Silovs is 4-3-4 with a 2.74 goals against average and a .907 save percentage, while Tristan Jarry is 5-2-0 with a 2.60 GAA and a .911 SV%.
Sabres vs. Penguins Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Earle Sports Bets | +2,298.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,840.00 |
| 3 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,757.00 |
| 4 |  David Hess | +1,745.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +987.00 |
Spread Pick for Sabres vs. Penguins
- Pittsburgh Penguins -117 (4 units)
The Pittsburgh Penguins are getting it done on both ends of the ice. In goal, Arturs Silvos has filled in well for Tristan Jarry, who is expected back possibly for this game. Silvos has a 2.74 goals against average and a .907 save percentage. Pittsburgh’s attack averages 3.1 goals per game, which is 15th, while its goals against is the second best in the league at 2.6. The Penguins lead the NHL on the power play and are fifth in penalty kill, while Buffalo is only 20th on the power play and 1st on the penalty kill. However, the Sabres are giving up the most shots in the NHL at 31.5 per game. Buffalo struggles against Pittsburgh, losing 13 of the last 20 head-to-head.
Over/Under Pick for Buffalo Sabres vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
- Under 6.5 ( units)
The Pittsburgh Penguins will dictate the pace in this matchup, playing at home and with the second-best goals against average in the NHL. The Penguins have had the total finish under in each of their last six games, in four of the last five games played at home and in six of the last seven games played at home against Buffalo.
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