Calgary Flames vs. Toronto Maple Leafs, Picks and Prediction, Tuesday, October 28, 2025

By: Mike Fink Published 10/28/2025, 11:31 AM ET
Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction
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The Calgary Flames face the Toronto Maple Leafs with both teams looking to improve on rough starts to the season. The Flames have a 2-7-1 record, which is the worst in the Western Conference, while the Maple Leafs are 4-4-1 and in the middle of the Atlantic Division. Who will win this game? Check out our Flames vs Maple Leafs prediction!

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Calgary has been let down by an awful offense

The Flames are having a rough season with their offense struggling and scoring only 2.00 goals per game. Nazem Kadri and Blake Coleman have combined for seven goals and six assists but the rest of the offense has struggled. Only one skater has three goals or more, and opponents can eliminate the hapless offense as a result.

The offense has let the Flames down but the defense has also struggled, allowing 3.50 goals per game. Rasmus Andersson and Kevin Bahl have led the top two pairings but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net at will. In addition, goaltender Dustin Wolf has struggled with a .886 save percentage and a 3.37 goals-against average on 254 shots with -2.9 goals saved above average.

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Maple Leafs hope offense turns season around

The Maple Leafs are trying to turn their season around with their offense leading the way and scoring 3.44 goals per game, with seven goals in their last two games. William Nylander and John Tavares have scored eight goals and 18 assists to lead the top two lines, but the rest of the forward unit has stepped up as well. Auston Matthews and Matthew Knies have combined for seven goals and 11 assists, while defensemen Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Morgan Rielly have added three goals and 10 assists from the point to open up the offense.

The offense has stepped up, but the defense has let them down, allowing 3.67 goals per game. Rielly and Jake McCabe have led the top two pairings but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net with ease. In addition, goaltender Anthony Stolarz has struggled with an .885 save percentage and a 3.31 goals-against average on 200 shots with -2.5 goals saved above average.

Flames vs Maple Leafs Pick

Money Line Pick For Flames vs Maple Leafs

  • Maple Leafs -1.5 (+130) (4 units)

The Maple Leafs look to step up on their home ice, and I see them taking over this game from the first period against one of the league’s worst teams. The Maple Leafs, who average 3.44 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Auston Matthews, William Nylander, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Maple Leafs should limit the Flames offense, which averages only 2.00 goals per game, with Jake McCabe and Morgan Rielly creating turnovers in the defensive zone while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Anthony Stolarz to make plenty of big saves. The Maple Leafs should win the game and cover the spread in a dominant win on their home ice.

Over/Under Pick For Flames vs Maple Leafs

  • Over 5.5 (5 Units)

The Maple Leafs are led by their offense, and I see this game being a high-scoring one from the first period. The Flames should create plenty of scoring chances against the Maple Leafs, who allow 3.67 goals per game, with Blake Coleman and Nazem Kadri carrying the puck into the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Maple Leafs, who have scored seven goals in their last two games, should run up the score against the Flames, who allow 3.50 goals per game, with Auston Matthews, John Tavares, William Nylander, and the rest of the forward unit crashing the net on the rush while creating open shots with effective puck movement as Morgan Rielly and Oliver Ekman-Larsson fire shots on the net from the blue line. The Over should cover in a high-scoring game with both offenses stepping up.

Take the Over on 5.5 goals.

The Flames head to Toronto to face the Maple Leafs with both teams looking to improve on rough starts to the season.

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