Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, December 6, 2025

By: Bosun Akinpelu Published 12/06/2025, 03:10 AM ET
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Montreal (14-9-3) will be trying to avoid losing consecutive road games when they visit Scotiabank Arena on Saturday night to face Toronto (13-11-3) at 7 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs prediction. If you’re looking to cross-check the books and put some cash in your pocket, check out our free NHL picks!

The Canadiens are coming off a 3-2 win over Winnipeg. The Maple Leafs are coming off a 5-1 win over Carolina.

Toronto is 8-2-0 in its last 10 games against Montreal.

Canadiens Going For Second Consecutive Win

The Canadiens snapped their two-game losing streak with a win over the Jets in their last game. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their second straight win when they play on Saturday.

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Montreal averages 3.31 goals per game. They scored three goals on 31 shots in their last game.

Nick Suzuki has 31 points from eight goals and 23 assists. Cole Caufield has 29 points from 14 goals and 15 assists, while Lane Hutson has 21 points from four goals and 17 assists.

Montreal is giving up 3.54 goals per game, which is 31st in the league. They’ve killed 77.4 percent of their penalties, which is 25th.

Jakub Dobes saved 30 of the 32 shots that he faced. He is 9-3-2 with a 3.11 GAA and a .891 save percentage.

Maple Leafs Going For Fourth Consecutive Win

The Maple Leafs bounced back from their loss to Washington with wins over Pittsburgh, Florida, and Carolina. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their fourth straight win when they play on Saturday.

Toronto is giving up 3.48 goals per game. They scored five goals on 24 shots in their last game.

William Nylander has 32 points from 11 goals and 21 assists. John Tavares has 29 points from 13 goals and 16 assists, while Matthew Knies has 28 points from seven goals and 21 assists.

Toronto is giving up 3.37 goals per game, which is 24th in the league. They’ve killed 81.8 percent of their penalties, which is 13th.

Joseph Wol saved 22 of the 23 shots that he faced. He is 4-3-1 with a 2.44 GAA and a .927 save percentage.

Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Picks

Money Line Pick for Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs

  • Toronto Maple Leafs-130 (4 Units)

The Maple Leafs have won three straight games, while the Canadiens have lost two of their last three games. Toronto has the edge here because they’re playing well offensively and scored 16 goals in their last three games. They haven’t been as good on special teams, converting 14 percent of their power play opportunities. The Canadiens aren’t very good at killing penalties, and they struggled defensively in recent games, giving up 11 goals in their last three road games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Maple Leafs.

Montreal won’t be as successful offensively because they struggled in recent games, scoring seven goals in their last three games. They’ve done a better job on special teams, converting over 26 percent of their power play opportunities. The Maple Leafs are good at killing penalties, and they’re playing better defensively, giving up four goals in their last three games, so expect them to keep Montreal’s offense in check. Take Toronto on the money line.

Over/Under Pick for Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs

  • Over 6.5 (4 Units)

The Canadiens average 3.31 goals per game. They averaged 2.33 goals per game in their last three games and converted 67 percent of their power play chances. They are facing a team that killed 86 percent of their penalties in their last three games and gave up four total goals. The Maple Leafs average 3.48 goals per game. They averaged 5.33 goals per game in their last three games and converted 18 percent of their power play chances. They are facing a team that killed 66 percent of their penalties in their last three games and gave up 14 total goals. Expect these teams to score enough goals to push the score over the total. The Canadiens and Maple Leafs played over the total in three of their last four meetings.

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