Canucks vs. Lightning, Picks and Prediction for Sunday, November 16, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Vancouver Canucks (8-9-2, 18 points, 7th Pacific) continue an East Coast swing on Sunday with a visit to Florida to play the Tampa Bay Lightning (8-6-2, 18 points, 6th Atlantic), who will be completing a back-to-back after playing on the road Saturday versus the Florida Panthers. Vancouver lost to the Carolina Hurricanes 4-3 on Friday night, and the Canucks have dropped three straight. Vancouver is 7th in the Pacific Division. Tampa Bay lost to the New York Rangers 7-3 on Wednesday night, but Tampa Bay has won seven of the last 9. The Lightning are sixth in the Atlantic Division. Make sure to read this in-depth Vancouver Canucks vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction. Ice-cold accuracy: trust our NHL picks for the Vancouver Canucks at Tampa Bay Lightning prediction to guide your bets.
Vancouver needs Improvement on both attack and defense
The Vancouver Canucks are 23rd in goals for average at 2.8 and 28th in goals against average at 3.5. Vancouver is averaging 27.6 (19th) shots per game and allowing an average of 30.2 (26th). Vancouver's power play scores 19.3% of the time, which is 18th, and the penalty kill is successful 66.7% of the time, which is 32nd or last.
Kiefer Sherwood has scored 11 goals to lead Vancouver, and Brock Boeser is second with 8. Quinn Hughes is the leader in assists with 12, and Elias Pettersson is second in assists with 11 and the leader in points with 15. Three players are tied for second in points with 13 each. Vancouver has scored 12 goals on the power play in 19 games. Marcus Pettersson is the leader in plus/minus at 5. With No. 1 goalie Thatcher Demko out injured, Kevin Lankinen has taken over between the pipes. Lankinen is 3-5-2 with a 3.58 goals against average and a .886 save percentage. Vancouver has lost six of the last eight games that the Finn has been between the pipes.
Injuries: Vancouver will play without Thatcher Demko, Filip Chytil, Derek Forbort, Guillaume Brisebois, Jett Woo, and Nils Hoglander.
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Tampa Bay is performing average at both ends of the ice
The Tampa Bay Lightning are 16th in goals for average at 3.1 and 14th in goals against average at 3.0. Tampa Bay averages 26.9 (25th) shots per game and allows an average of 28.5 (19th). The Lightning’s power play scores 17.0% (24th) of the time, and the penalty kill is successful 88.2% (4th) of the time.
Jake Guentzel is one of four players for Tampa Bay with seven goals apiece to lead the Lightning, and the center is the leader in points with 16. Victor Hedman is the leader in assists with 12, and Guentzel is second with 9. Nikita Kucherov (7 goals, 7 assists) is tied for second in points with Brandon Hagel (7 goals, 7 assists) with 14 apiece. Tampa Bay has scored 9 goals on the power play in the 16 games. Anthony Cirelli is the leader in plus/minus at 6. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy is 5-5-2 with a 2.92 GAA and .896 save percentage. Jonas Johansson is 3-1-0 with a 2.83 GAA and a .913 SV%. Johansson may be in goal on Sunday as the Lightning will be playing the second half of the back-to-back, with Vasilevskiy likely starting in goal on Saturday.
Tampa Bay will play without Dominic James, Ryan McDonagh, and Nick Pau.
Vancouver Canucks vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Pick
Spread Pick for Canucks vs. Lightning
- Tampa Bay Lightning -159 (4 units)
The Tampa Bay Lightning are not off to a great start, but will be on their home ice and will likely have Jonas Johansson between the pipes, who is 3-1-0 with a 2.83 GAA and a .913 SV%, giving Tampa Bay a solid backup to No. 1 Andrei Vasilevskiy. Tampa Bay has won two of its last three and four of the last six, while in comparison, Vancouver has lost three straight and four of the last five. The Canucks are giving up far too much on the blue line and in goal, with a goals against average of 3.5 (28th). Vancouver’s penalty kill is last in the NHL at 66.7%. Tampa Bay is in the top half of both goals for at 3.1 (16th) and goals against at 3.0 (14th). Vancouver goalie Kevin Lankinen has a 3.58 GAA.
Over/Under Pick for Canucks vs. Lightning
- Over 6.5 (5 units)
As previously mentioned, Vancouver has a goals against average of 3.5, and the total has finished over in 8 straight for the Canucks and in nine of the last 10. Tampa Bay has had the total finish over in two of its last three, as the Lightning are 14th in goals-against at 3.0. Tampa Bay goalie Jonas Johansson has a 2.83 GAA, and Vancouver goalie Kevin Lankinen has a 3.58 GAA.
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