Chicago Blackhawks vs Dallas Stars Picks and Predictions for Sunday March 8 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/08/2026, 06:35 AM ET
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The Chicago Blackhawks head to Texas to face the Dallas Stars on Sunday, March 8, 2026, at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. The puck drops at 6:00 PM and the game will be broadcast on ESPN+. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. If you are looking for more predictions from around the league, be sure to check out our free NHL picks for expert analysis and daily selections.

Blackhawks Trying to Find Consistency on the Road

The Chicago Blackhawks come into this matchup with a 23-29-10 record overall and an 11-14-5 record on the road this season. Chicago has struggled to build momentum recently, going just 1-4 in its last five games. During that stretch the Blackhawks recently lost to Vancouver 6-3, recently lost to Winnipeg 3-2 in overtime, recently won over Utah 4-0, recently lost to Colorado 3-1, and recently lost to Nashville 4-2. The inconsistent results have kept Chicago near the bottom portion of the standings as the team continues to search for stability.

Offensively, the Blackhawks have averaged 2.62 goals per game this season while generating 24.5 shots per contest. Chicago has had difficulty sustaining pressure in the offensive zone, which has contributed to the team’s below-average scoring numbers. Defensively, the Blackhawks have allowed 3.12 goals per game while facing 29.4 shots against per night. That defensive workload has often forced the goaltending unit to carry a significant burden.

One area where Chicago has performed well is on the penalty kill. The Blackhawks have allowed just 26 power-play goals against this season while killing penalties at an impressive 85.9% rate. Chicago’s power play has also shown flashes, converting 19.7% of its opportunities with 35 power-play goals. The Blackhawks have also scored five short-handed goals this season while not allowing any short-handed goals against. If Chicago hopes to stay competitive in this matchup, their special teams will likely need to play a major role.

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Stars Continue Dominant Season at Home

The Dallas Stars enter this contest with one of the best records in the NHL at 38-14-10 overall and an excellent 18-7-4 mark on home ice. Dallas has been playing strong hockey recently as well, winning four of its last five games. Over that stretch the Stars recently lost to Colorado 5-4 in a shootout, recently won over Calgary 6-1, recently won over Vancouver 6-1, recently won over Nashville 3-2 in overtime, and recently won over Seattle 4-1. That run of success has helped Dallas remain firmly in the upper tier of the Western Conference.

Offensively, the Stars have been one of the most dangerous teams in the league. Dallas is averaging 3.41 goals per game while generating 26.0 shots per contest. The team has been extremely efficient when it comes to converting scoring chances, which has allowed the Stars to maintain one of the top offensive outputs in the NHL.

Defensively, Dallas has also been solid throughout the season, allowing just 2.66 goals per game and 26.4 shots against per contest. Special teams have been another major strength for the Stars. Dallas has scored 54 power-play goals this season while converting at a remarkable 30.0% rate, one of the best power-play percentages in the league. The penalty kill has also been reliable, operating at 80.6% while allowing 36 power-play goals against. When a team combines strong five-on-five play with elite special teams, it becomes very difficult to beat, especially on home ice.

Chicago Blackhawks vs Dallas Stars Pick

Chicago Blackhawks vs Dallas Stars Pick

  • Pick: Dallas Stars Puck Line

Dallas has been one of the most consistent teams in the NHL this season, and their home record speaks volumes about how well they perform at the American Airlines Center. The Stars are scoring more than three goals per game while allowing fewer than three goals per contest, giving them one of the strongest goal differentials in the Western Conference. Chicago, on the other hand, has struggled to generate offense consistently and has lost four of its last five games. The Blackhawks also allow nearly 30 shots per game, which could create plenty of scoring opportunities for the high-powered Dallas offense. With the Stars’ elite power play and strong home performance, they appear well positioned to win this game comfortably.

Chicago Blackhawks vs Dallas Stars Total Pick

  • Pick: Over

I like the over in this matchup because Dallas has been scoring at a high rate all season and has produced multiple high-scoring games recently. The Stars scored six goals in wins over Calgary and Vancouver and continue to show excellent offensive efficiency. Chicago’s defense has struggled at times and allows over three goals per game, which could open the door for Dallas to produce another strong offensive outing. At the same time, the Blackhawks are capable of contributing a couple of goals themselves, especially with their solid power play. If the total is set at a typical number, I believe this game has a good chance to go over.

Final Score Prediction: Dallas Stars 5, Chicago Blackhawks 2

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.

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