Colorado Avalanche vs Edmonton Oilers Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Monday April 13 2026
Use Code WWWC When the two best players in the NHL share the same ice on a Monday night, the NHL picks board pays attention — but the real handicap in Colorado's April 13 visit to Rogers Place is not about Nathan MacKinnon versus Connor McDavid. It is about the Avalanche's elite team defensive structure meeting an Oilers lineup that has lost Leon Draisaitl, Zach Hyman, and enough supporting depth to leave McDavid as the primary and sometimes singular offensive engine. Colorado enters at 52-16-11, allows just 2.47 goals per game, and generates 33.7 shots per night — numbers that describe a complete team rather than just a star-driven one. Edmonton is dangerous at home and still has McDavid, but the market has shifted sharply toward the Oilers after early Colorado consensus action, which tells a story worth understanding before puck drop.
Quick Picks and Prediction
- Puck Line Pick: Avalanche -1.5 (+205)
- Total Pick: Under 6.5
- Projected Final Score: Avalanche 4, Oilers 2
Odds and Line Movement
Opening Odds
| Market | Colorado | Edmonton |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -113 | -106 |
| Total (Over/Under) | Over 6.5 (-105) | Under 6.5 (-115) |
Current Odds
| Market | Colorado | Edmonton |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -120 | +100 |
| Total (Over/Under) | Over 6.5 (-114) | Under 6.5 (-106) |
Line Movement - Puck Line
| Date | Time | Colorado | Edmonton | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/13 | 08:19:27AM | -120 | +100 | EDM 100%, EDM 66% |
| 04/13 | 03:04:29AM | -114 | -105 | EDM 100%, EDM 66% |
| 04/12 | 09:39:34PM | -111 | -108 | COL 100%, COL 100% |
| 04/12 | 08:36:24PM | -114 | -105 | COL 100%, COL 100% |
| 04/12 | 08:35:17PM | -115 | -104 | COL 100%, COL 100% |
| 04/12 | 08:34:44PM | -111 | -108 | COL 100%, COL 100% |
| 04/12 | 08:34:21PM | -113 | -106 | COL 100%, COL 100% |
| 04/12 | 08:34:16PM | -111 | -108 | COL 100%, COL 100% |
| 04/12 | 12:55:10PM | -118 | -102 | |
| 04/12 | 12:54:23PM | -113 | -106 |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/13 | 08:19:27AM | 6.5 (-114) | 6.5 (-106) | |
| 04/13 | 03:04:29AM | 6.5 (-115) | 6.5 (-105) | |
| 04/12 | 08:36:24PM | 6.5 (-118) | 6.5 (-104) | |
| 04/12 | 08:35:58PM | 6.5 (-114) | 6.5 (-106) | |
| 04/12 | 08:34:55PM | 6.5 (-115) | 6.5 (-105) | |
| 04/12 | 08:34:44PM | 6.5 (-112) | 6.5 (-108) | |
| 04/12 | 08:34:21PM | 6.5 (-128) | 6.5 (+104) | |
| 04/12 | 08:34:16PM | 6.5 (-110) | 6.5 (-110) | |
| 04/12 | 01:24:02PM | 6.5 (-108) | 6.5 (-112) | |
| 04/12 | 12:55:10PM | 6.5 (-102) | 6.5 (-120) | |
| 04/12 | 12:54:23PM | 6.5 (-105) | 6.5 (-115) |
Avalanche vs Oilers Key Matchups and Handicap
Avalanche
Colorado's 52-16-11 record is not a product of a soft schedule or fortunate puck luck — it reflects a team that has been the most complete two-way club in the Western Conference for the majority of the 2025-26 season. The Avalanche average 3.70 goals per game while allowing just 2.47, a differential that ranks among the elite in the entire league and describes a club that wins games through sustainable process rather than just high-event offense. Their shot generation rate of 33.7 per game consistently creates offensive zone pressure and limits the opponent's transition opportunities, which matters especially in a matchup against an Edmonton team that thrives on transitional speed and quick counters off turnovers.
Nathan MacKinnon has posted 126 points, 52 goals, and 74 assists to give Colorado the best second-best offensive player on either team's roster in this matchup, and his production has come in a system that does not lean on him exclusively to generate offense. The Avalanche have built enough depth around MacKinnon that even with injury concerns on the blue line heading into Monday night, the team's offensive output remains dangerous from multiple line combinations. Colorado's penalty kill is operating at 84.1 percent — a number that becomes especially significant against Edmonton's 30.6 percent power play, which is the Oilers' primary structural weapon. Keeping the Oilers off the power play and converting one or two of their own power-play opportunities is the game-script formula that gives Colorado the win.
Oilers
Edmonton's situation entering Monday night is one of the more complex roster management puzzles of the late season. Connor McDavid has been the most productive individual player on either team's roster all year with 133 points, 47 goals, and 86 assists — numbers that make him one of the best offensive players in NHL history on a per-season basis — but the supporting cast around him has been significantly depleted by injury attrition. Leon Draisaitl, who forms the other half of the most feared offensive duo in hockey, is on long-term injured reserve, and his absence fundamentally changes how much of the offensive load McDavid is asked to carry on a shift-by-shift basis. Without Draisaitl available to draw defensive attention and create second-unit power-play opportunities, McDavid has to be the engine for every scoring chance rather than sharing that responsibility with an equally elite linemate.
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The Oilers' power play at 30.6 percent remains the most dangerous special-teams weapon in this game, and if Edmonton can draw penalties against Colorado's aggressive defensive structure, that unit becomes the primary path to overcoming the team-wide metrics gap. At 5-on-5, the Oilers' 3.44 goals scored and 3.29 goals allowed create a profile that is more balanced than dominant — a team that can win with McDavid carrying, but a team that struggles when the opponent limits transition opportunities and controls the neutral zone. Colorado's 33.7 shots per game against Edmonton's 29.7 reflects exactly that kind of systematic advantage, and in a game where the Oilers' most recent result was a 1-0 shutout loss to Los Angeles, trusting Edmonton to break out offensively against the league's best defensive team requires a leap of faith the handicap does not fully support.
Betting Trends - COL and EDM
The moneyline movement in this game is the most dramatic and revealing story on Monday's late-night board. Colorado attracted 100 percent of both public money and public bets across multiple consecutive Sunday evening snapshots, and the line moved predictably in the Avalanche's favor — from -113 at open toward -114 and -115. Then, in the overnight hours, the money flipped completely. By 3:04 AM, Edmonton was drawing 100 percent of public money, and by the most recent 08:19 AM snapshot, the Oilers still held 66 percent of public money despite Colorado moving back to -120. That kind of sharp directional reversal — from 100 percent COL to 100 percent EDM — almost never happens in a vacuum. It reflects an overnight sharp-money correction landing on Edmonton at plus-money odds, buying value on the road underdog after the initial Colorado public wave pushed the number too far.
The total has shown more stability but still tells a story. The game opened with the Under priced at -115 in the earliest recorded snapshot, reflecting book confidence in a low-scoring game. The juice has oscillated through Sunday evening — touching -128 on the Over at one point before reverting to the -112 to -115 range — and settled at -114 Over and -106 Under at the most recent check. A total priced within that range for a game featuring Colorado's 2.47 goals-against average and Edmonton's compromised forward depth is a market telling you the expected game script is controlled rather than explosive. The Under lean at -106 represents meaningful value against a game projected to be decided by defensive structure and goaltending rather than sustained offensive pressure.
Key Injuries and Notes - COL and EDM
Colorado is carrying meaningful uncertainty on the blue line entering Monday night. Cale Makar is listed as day-to-day, which introduces the possibility that the Avalanche's most important defenseman and primary power-play engine may be unavailable or limited in his effectiveness. Makar's presence changes how Colorado runs its power play, how they manage zone exits, and how aggressively they can pinch offensively from the back end — his absence would represent a significant structural adjustment for a team built around his ability to quarterback the defense. Josh Manson is also day-to-day, adding a second blue-line depth question to the Avalanche's lineup planning. Nazem Kadri remains unavailable, which costs Colorado a versatile two-way center who provides depth across multiple line combinations.
Edmonton's injury list is more impactful in terms of forward depth and goal-scoring capability. Leon Draisaitl's long-term injured reserve status removes the second-best player on the roster and fundamentally alters the Oilers' offensive structure at even strength and on the power play. Zach Hyman is also out, which costs Edmonton a net-front presence and a goal scorer who contributes the kind of dirty-area finishing that supplements McDavid's playmaking in high-traffic situations. Mattias Janmark remains on long-term injured reserve, and both Max Jones and Jason Dickinson are day-to-day, further thinning a forward group that was already relying heavily on McDavid to generate the majority of its offensive production. The combined effect of these absences means Edmonton has to play an almost perfect defensive game and maximize every power-play opportunity to stay competitive against Colorado's complete team structure.
Avalanche vs Oilers ATS and Total Picks
- Puck Line: Avalanche -1.5 at plus money — Colorado's team metrics, shot generation advantage, and deeper roster even with injury concerns all project a multi-goal Colorado win. Plus money on -1.5 against a depleted Edmonton forward group is strong value.
- Moneyline: Avalanche — The overnight sharp-money flip toward Edmonton is worth monitoring, but Colorado's 52-16-11 record and 2.47 goals-against average represent the dominant profile in this game. The puck line at plus money is the sharper extraction of the same lean.
- Total: Under 6.5 — Colorado's defensive structure limits Edmonton's transition offense, the Oilers are missing their second-best forward, and the total has been priced with Under lean throughout most of its line history. The Under at -106 is accessible and supported by the game script.
Final Score Prediction
MacKinnon drives Colorado's offense through the neutral zone consistently while Edmonton leans entirely on McDavid to create dangerous situations at 5-on-5. The Avalanche's defensive structure limits Edmonton's transition speed, Colorado converts on one power-play opportunity, and the Oilers cannot generate enough sustained pressure without Draisaitl to close the gap in the third period.
Final Score: Avalanche 4, Oilers 2
How to Bet the Avalanche vs. Oilers
The puck line at plus money on a 52-win team against a depleted opponent is the kind of value that does not stay on the board indefinitely, and the overnight sharp-money flip toward Edmonton makes acting on Colorado at the current number more urgent before the line adjusts further. For bettors in states without regulated sportsbook access, social sportsbooks offer a fully legal option for tonight's late-night matchup, with competitive odds on puck lines and totals across the full Monday night NHL slate.
In regulated markets, the bet365 bonus code gives new users one of the most competitive welcome offers currently available, and bet365 consistently carries sharp NHL puck-line and total pricing on marquee Western Conference matchups like tonight's Avalanche-Oilers game. For a lower-stakes or introductory betting experience, the fliff promo code pairs a generous onboarding bonus with one of the most intuitive social platforms available for late-night NHL action. MacKinnon against a depleted Edmonton roster, a total priced at Under -106, and a plus-money puck line on the Western Conference's best team — Monday night at Rogers Place has everything a sharp bettor could ask for.
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