Dallas Stars vs. Calgary Flames Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 22, 2025
Use Code WWWC Dallas Stars (13-5-3) vs. Calgary Flames (6-13-3)
The 2025-26 NHL season continues Saturday, November 22, with the Dallas Stars taking on the Calgary Flames in the Western Conference showdown at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB, so we have prepared the Stars vs. Flames prediction to get you covered.
Dallas meets Calgary for the first time this term. The Stars swept their three-game series against the Flames in 2024-25, and Dallas has won five of its previous seven encounters with Calgary.
Let’s take a closer look at this Stars vs. Flames prediction, one of our NHL picks for Saturday’s 12-game slate. The puck drop at Scotiabank Saddledome is set at 10:00 PM ET, and the Stars open as -145 moneyline favorites with a total of 6.0 goals.
The Stars are back on track
The Dallas Stars have been playing very well of late. They’ve only dropped one of their previous seven games overall, and the Stars have scored 28 goals during that stretch. After stopping their five-game winning streak with a 3-2 home loss against the New York Islanders, the Stars beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-2 last Thursday to open a four-game road trip.
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The Canucks outshot the Stars 36-24, but Jake Oettinger had a big night in the crease. Four Stars found the back of the net, including Jason Robertson and Mikko Rantanen, and this duo has combined for 22 goals and 32 assists so far this season.
The Stars score 3.24 goals per game (tied for 11th in the NHL) and allow 2.76 goals in return (10th). Oettinger is 9-4-2 with a 2.72 GAA and a .902 save percentage this season, while Casey DeSmith carries a 4-1-1 record with a 2.29 GAA and a .913 save percentage.
Dallas cannot count on defensemen Thomas Harley (G1, A9) and Ilya Lyubushkin (A4).
Center Matt Duchene (G1, A1) is recovering from an upper-body injury, and he’s questionable for Saturday’s clash against Calgary.
The Flames aim for a rare consecutive win
The Calgary Flames have dropped five of their previous seven games overall. Last Wednesday, they snapped a two-game skid. After consecutive defeats against the Winnipeg Jets 4-3 in a shootout and the Chicago Blackhawks 5-2, the Flames routed the Buffalo Sabres 6-2 on the road.
The Flames outshot the Sabres 35-30. The game was tied at 2-2 at the end of the second period, and the Flames exploded in the third. Joel Farabee led the way with a couple of goals, Rasmus Andersson accounted for a goal and two assists, and Devin Cooley posted 28 saves.
Cooley advanced to 1-2-1 on the season. He holds a shiny 1.80 GAA and a .935 save percentage, while Dustin Wolf is 5-11-2 with a 3.08 GAA and a .892 save percentage in 2025-26. The Flames allow 3.05 goals per game (tied for 17th in the NHL) and score just 2.27 goals in return (32nd).
Calgary’s offense has been pretty bad this season. Center Nazem Kadri is the Flames’ leading scorer with 14 points (G4, A10), which tells a lot.
Defenseman Zayne Parekh (A1) is on the IR, while winger Samuel Honzek (G2, A2) is probably done for the season.
Stars vs. Flames Pick
Spread Pick for Stars vs. Flames
- Dallas Stars (5 units)
I don’t want to have anything to do with this Calgary team. Yes, they just scored six goals at Buffalo, but the Flames’ offense has been awful for most of the season, and their defense is mediocre at best.
The Stars miss two defensemen, but they are arguably a much better offensive team than Calgary. Dallas’ top two lines are loaded with talent, and the Stars rank second in the NHL in power-play percentage (31.0%).
The Flames are 31st in power-play percentage (12.5%) and 32nd in shooting percentage (7.7%). Give me the Stars.
Over/Under Pick for Stars vs. Flames
- Over 6.0 (5 units)
Dallas boasts the third-best shooting percentage in the NHL (12.6%). I mentioned their stellar power-play execution, and I expect the Stars to torture the Flames, who are 17th in penalty killing (79.4%).
Dustin Wolf is expected to return to the crease, and he’s been far from his 2024-25 form. Wolf has allowed at least three goals in four of his previous five starts.
Hereof, I will take the over despite the Flames’ offensive shortcomings. The Stars are not a great defensive team, and they miss a couple of players on their blueline. Dallas is 24th in penalty killing (76.6%).
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