Dallas Stars vs. Ottawa Senators, Picks and Prediction, Tuesday, November 11, 2025

By: Mike Fink Published 11/11/2025, 10:24 AM ET
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The Dallas Stars face the Ottawa Senators with both teams looking to improve on strong seasons. The Stars are 9-4-3, and with two wins in a row, they have the second-best record in the Central Division. The Senators are 8-5-3 and with two consecutive wins, they have the third-best record in the Atlantic Division. Who will win this game? Check out our Stars vs Senators prediction!

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Stars are looking to improve on defense

The Stars are having a great season despite their offense struggling and scoring only 2.94 goals per game. Mikko Rantanen and Wyatt Johnston have scored 18 goals and 20 assists but the rest of the offense has struggled. Only three skaters have four goals or more, and opponents can limit the top-heavy offense as a result.

The offense has struggled, but the defense has also played poorly, allowing 3.13 goals per game. Miro Heiskanen and Esa Lindell have combined for 2.0 defensive point shares but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net with ease. In addition, goaltender Jake Oettinger has struggled with a .893 save percentage and a 2.99 goals-against average on 309 shots with -0.9 goals saved above average.

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Ottawa has been great on offense

The Senators are having a great season with their offense stepping up and scoring 3.44 goals per game, with seven goals in their last two games. Tim Stutzle and Drake Batherson have scored 13 goals and 19 assists to lead the top line, but the rest of the offense has been great as well. Shane Pinto, Dylan Cozens, and Claude Giroux have combined for 17 goals and 20 assists, while defensemen Jake Sanderson and Thomas Chabot have added five goals and 16 assists from the point to open up the offense.

The offense has stepped up, but the defense has struggled, allowing 3.63 goals per game. Thomas Chabot and Artem Zub have combined for 1.8 defensive point shares but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net at will. In addition, goaltender Linus Ullmark has struggled with a .866 save percentage and a 3.24 goals-against average on 321 shots with -9.7 goals saved above average.

Stars vs Senators Pick

Money Line Pick For Stars vs Senators

  • Senators (+105) (4 units)

The Stars are having a great season but the Senators look to step up on their home ice and take over this game on their home ice. The Senators, who average 3.44 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Tim Stutzle, Drake Batherson, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Senators should limit the Stars offense, which averages only 2.94 goals per game, with Jake Sanderson, Artem Zub, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Linus Ullmark to make plenty of big saves. The Senators should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice.

Take the Senators money line as home Underdogs.

Over/Under Pick For Stars vs Senators

  • Over 6.5 (5 Units)

Both teams have struggled on defense, and I see this game being a high-scoring one from the opening puck drop. The Stars should pile on the goals against the Senators, who allow 3.13 goals per game, with Wyatt Johnston, Mikko Rantanen, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Senators, who have scored seven goals in their last two games, should run up the score with Tim Stutzle, Drake Batherson, Shane Pinto, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with effective puck movement while Jake Sanderson and Thomas Chabot pick apart the Stars defense from the point. The Over should cover in a high-scoring game controlled by both offenses.

Take the Over on 6.5 goals.

The Stars face the Senators with both teams looking to build on recent hot streaks.

 

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